Hopefully I worded myself right and you guys get what I'm asking for. Thanks in advance!
I find a lot of poker decisions are player dependent (even against the best of the best), but doesn't game theory revolve around knowing at least the basic probabilities before skill/choice comes into play? Anyway, that's what I'm doing now, even if it's not called "Game Theory".
I can only use a holdem example - but doesn't (preflop) game theory mean removing all player dependant strategy and playing Q7o - the computer hand - and folding EVERYthing less than 50% equity...? I want to do get a good idea of how often my opponent will hit straight draws/straights/2pairs flushes, etc. with his range (and to get this idea they are playing 50% of their preflop hands, all the way to 99%)
In omaha, you are likely for a straight to be the winner by the river about 11% of the time if everybody is playing 4 random cards and checking it down to the river source: https://wizardofodds.com/games/poker/
But we are not playing, for example, J223 unsuited - a hand which is going to make much less straights with than say JT98.
My same question applies for flushes and playing suited and double suited hands (I assume almost all players play ANY double suited hands, even as crummy as 2239ds - so I could be wrong, but I would just round up the number to 100% of the double suited range that I'm constructing for my imaginary villian to play).
Where can I get info of how often I'll make a straight, a straight draw, a flush draw, trips, etc. ?
Sept. 3, 2017 | noon
I've watched a lot of training videos and just got back into Online poker last spring. I'm a winning reg at mid stakes (going to move up, my goal is to make 200k per year, not playing much)... Mixing in live is in the plans.
Anyway, I appreciate that you clearly explain your concepts and spend very, very little time on each street (because I think you assume we know this stuff, and besides, I think there are better forums to go deeply into concepts rather than audio during recording).
Aug. 30, 2017 | 10:24 a.m.
A lot of the information and training sites is all about playing players who know what they are doing, and sometimes are very, very good. But I want to learn how to play against players who suck (PLO and NLHE, and PLO8)... There is actually no video I have ever watched (out off probably 100 or more) that targets specifically this, and we all play rec players.
Aug. 26, 2017 | 9:03 p.m.
Currently, I'm a mid winning PLO player. I want to make a significant amount of money this year, though. Several hundred thousand and up. I play in relatively soft games online, and I still find it's still not easy - you have to grind. Especially in OMaha, you rarely get someone to call you with almost NOTHING on the river (like an equivalent in NL would be, someone calling your 3rd barrel with bottom pair, which used to happen online back in the mid 2000's all the time!).
I want to play players with as few brain cells as possible! (If you don't think that's funny, you need to lighten up!)
So, What say you? Are the live games just THAT much better than online? I'm tired of grinding! I want stack offs with 80% equity. haha :D Whereas in PLO, a GREAT stack off is pretty much 70/30, that's a fact. A good stack off is 60/40 - yuck! Holdem is way different, back in the day, with people calling you with very bad holdings. I wonder if live today is still very bad on most days?
And I know this post probably sounds like I'm a loser reg, but I've been playing strictly online for 6 years, and made several hundred thousand playing very few hands relatively speaking. Just through great game selection.
Aug. 15, 2017 | 10:41 a.m.
I am way more of a feel player than a balanced range guy (I play a lot of weak players)... and I love your concept about underbetting because there are MANY times I FEEL the player just has nothing, and I don't know what to do - because if I bet - then I KNOW they will fold (on the flop/river, etc.), and I think I miss value on the Rivers. However, I saw you bet like 1/6th the pot, and while I respect your concept - I just think it's a little too extreme, why not 1/4th at the least? Tylko moja opinia! haha