Mad_DOG_33's avatar


65 points

I am currently analysing recent hands at NL100 and NL200 with GTO wizard cash game. I am wondering about the mistake frequency, and average EV loss. What sort of level is good/bad/decent? obv. 100% is not achievable so what should a good player aim for here?

Feb. 18, 2022 | 12:14 p.m.

Very helpful video and great format. the combination of testing out your hypothesis and explaining your reasoning while using GTO wizard works really well.

Feb. 15, 2022 | 1:40 p.m.

I dont mean this the wrong way, but it seems in many videos you end up taking a line that you afterwards disagree with. this is actually very helpful for us as you go through the thought process and why you think another action would be more +EV than the line you took. the Pio sims afterwards are then really beneficial as well as the discussions on how population plays and what deviancitions we can do to exploit. Thanks for being honest

Aug. 30, 2021 | 8:15 a.m.

I am a big fan of this format, and your clear concise explanation of thought process and reasoning! look forward to more

April 25, 2020 | 8:13 a.m.

Comment | Mad_DOG_33 commented on Pwndidi Plays a $5k

Great video . Like the structure.

April 24, 2020 | 6:49 p.m.

when he checks the turn i he has to call the river bet of that size. vs an overbet he can consider folding. i would not mind a small block bet on river though

June 25, 2019 | 5:23 p.m.

Pre, you want to 3bet larger when beeing OOP, and especially considering rake structures. 4,5 X is good but you can do close to 5X as well. Flop, turn and river is good. Checking turn is good i think as he can have plenty of two pairs and sets and he will just fold worse hands to a 2nd barrel. he can have draws but we cannot bet every hand on every board that contains a draw

June 25, 2019 | 5:22 p.m.

yearh pretty standard call pre and OTF and now we fold the turn. He has overpairs and top set in his range and even though you both have some good Q's he still has the range adcantage + its a 3bet pot at NL5 = people playing more straightforward

June 25, 2019 | 5:18 p.m.

yes. K high boards is generally good for PFR but with two other midling cards i think it is a close spot and would probably just check back already OTF as the flop connects well with BB's range. We are only folding out worse hands that dont have any equity anyway and we have position. if we bet flop, then Turn we are incentivized to NOT barrel again as we now have good showdown value. on Blank rivers we can call a small bet or make a thin value bet if villain Checks again

June 25, 2019 | 5:15 p.m.

yes, but over a sample of 400 hands, that may not be accurate. he might have that 98s some of the time

June 24, 2019 | 10:49 p.m.

Thanks - i do think 98s is in this range though but otherwise agree

June 24, 2019 | 10:13 p.m.

Thanks for that - very valuable as i dont have snowie or PIO. Would be interesting to adjust for population tendencies regarding turning made hands into bluff which i dont think happens with near GTO frequency. yearh analyzing it now i should probably check flop

June 24, 2019 | 5:01 p.m.

Pretty much my thinking, and with SPR on the river villain should not perceive to have a lot of fold equity. Only need to be good 1/4 though, but still dont think this is bluff more than 1/10 maybe

June 24, 2019 | 12:05 p.m.

Good input, and villains seems somewhat competent so i guess he could do that. I think you are right about the line, when i then check River i seem very capped. It would probably have been better to check the flop, and i will do that sometime here but i thought that my hand 1) needed protection, 2) can get value from plenty of holdings. But year on a lot of runouts an overpair is not a 3 street value hand. Villain can have KK or AQ here as you mention but in game i was sure he would check them back. I think i do have a good portion of hands i can check call with here like QJ and maybe JJ to protect a hand like AA when i check. I did think he could bluff with T9 or KT - but i dont see it so often with this SPR.

June 24, 2019 | 9:36 a.m.

Hand History | Mad_DOG_33 posted in NLHE: NL50z AA from the SB in 3bet pot
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $142.73
SB: $50.00 (Hero)
BB: $27.18
UTG: $67.47
MP: $83.25
CO: $75.47
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with A A
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.29, 2 folds, Hero raises to $5.50, BB folds, MP calls $4.21
Flop ($11.50) J Q 6
Hero bets $5.46, MP calls $5.46
Turn ($22.42) J Q 6 2
Hero bets $14.06, MP calls $14.06
River ($50.54) J Q 6 2 T
Hero checks, MP bets $37.38, Hero folds
Final Pot MP wins $48.54
Rake is $2.00

June 24, 2019 | 5:39 a.m.

Hand History | Mad_DOG_33 posted in NLHE: NL50z - 5way 3bet pot with TP
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $87.01
SB: $109.91
BB: $89.59
UTG: $210.89
MP: $79.84 (Hero)
CO: $65.04
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is MP with 5 A
UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.37, CO calls $1.37, BN calls $1.37, SB raises to $7.00, BB calls $6.50, Hero calls $5.63, CO calls $5.63, BN calls $5.63
Flop ($35.00) A 3 K
SB bets $9.98, BB folds, Hero calls $9.98, CO folds, BN folds
Turn ($54.96) A 3 K 7
SB bets $15.89, Hero folds
Final Pot SB wins $52.96
Rake is $2.00

June 23, 2019 | 12:13 p.m.

as it is a 3bet pot it is okay to range 3bet 1/3rd here, but still think C/C is better . Generally i think most reggish people are starting to know how to play against 1/3rd range betting, atleast they are calling more

June 20, 2019 | 7:38 p.m.

actually that is not a good idea. if you want to tighten up you want to get rid of A6s-A8s before you get rid of the suited wheel aces as they can make straights which give them more equity

June 19, 2019 | 9:58 p.m.

3bet a little bigger OOP pre, i would say 4.5x atleast. flop is just a C/C mostly X/R is not a good option. Generally when oop we dont want to c-bet flops that are T high or lower atleast in Single raised pots. when it is a 3bet pots and you have a stronger range, i guess a range 30% cbet is not bad either.

June 19, 2019 | 8:52 p.m.

almost - except ATo. might open 89s,78s,67s,65s as well pending on table and if blinds are nitty / never 3betting

June 19, 2019 | 8:48 p.m.

Yearh, as weird as it is, with this board here we are at the bottom of our range and most people will not find a bluff here. we can call river with AQ, QQ and AA as well as AK . We have an insanely strong range here and villain should know that if he is a reg so it is a good trap spot on river for him with AT or AQ

June 19, 2019 | 7:23 a.m.

Comment | Mad_DOG_33 commented on fold set on flop?

yearh, its rare that you should fold bottom set on flop but here it is that you need to let it go. BB and have all sets as well as straight and top two combos as he was priced in with almost ATCs and btn definately has a alot of sets in his range.

June 19, 2019 | 7:17 a.m.

June 19, 2019 | 7:14 a.m.

Preflop is standard yes. You are in a very narrow spot, UTG vs MP 3bet and BTN cold calling. i think flop check is fine , dont lead out here unless you have a solid plan for how to balance that range. Turn - i prefer to still just check/call and play the hand as a bluffcatcher. Btn range is probably TT-QQ, AK and AQs, maybe KQs. He shouldnt really cold call wider than that as he can still get squeezed from you pre. i think the value bet is too thin. He has JJ, QQ, AKhh that beat you (5 combos) all which are reasonable flop checks and he has AK and TT which you beat but he will probably only call the combo's with a heart. As played, yearh Check and folding to the shove seems like the most sensible play. Block betting river seems bad since his range is very polarized and a large portion of it is nutted so he can comfortably shove over your block bet

June 18, 2019 | 1:20 p.m.

no need to apologize :-) i was curious as i didnt think it was clear at all, in game. Its a 4bet pot UTG/LJ vs MP though so dont think 44-88, QT JT is is villains range at all to begin with... its a pretty narrow spot i think

June 16, 2019 | 8:29 p.m.

why do you think the river is a clear shove?

June 16, 2019 | 5:43 p.m.

yearh, open hands like this rarely but if blinds are weak and generally passive i might

June 16, 2019 | 5:42 p.m.

Villain had AQ so yearh we take down a nice pot and its always nice to make a correct read and see it work. i dont think villain has Q5 and Q3 here he was not that loose calling out of SB against early position. The turn is the tricky spot here. in game i was thinking that if he made it 70+% of pot i just call, i just think i miss out on value from his one pair hands when he just half pots it. lots of rivers will be difficult for us to get more value on though as we cant comfortably bet two small pairs for value

June 16, 2019 | 3:32 p.m.

Hand History | Mad_DOG_33 posted in NLHE: NL50z - two small pairs
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $63.06
SB: $57.95
BB: $161.88
UTG: $114.76 (Hero)
MP: $38.79
CO: $55.61
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is UTG with 5 6
Hero raises to $1.12, 3 folds, SB calls $0.87, BB folds
Open is loose. I open here rarely, but table was passive with almost no 3betting
Flop ($2.74) 3 5 Q
SB checks, Hero bets $0.86, SB raises to $3.00, Hero calls $2.14
small blind is recreational, runs 30/17/0. range betting on this board seems good. when raised small'is standard call with pair + BD's
Turn ($8.74) 3 5 Q 6
SB bets $4.15, Hero raises to $15.11, SB calls $10.96
against recreational here we just play in a vacuum and dont worry much about balancing. Villain was still tight enough that i dont see alot of two pairs in his range here and his sizing seems small on this texture after a flop C/R. i raise for value and to charge his draws.
River ($38.96) 3 5 Q 6 5
SB checks, Hero bets $95.53 and is all in, SB calls $38.72 and is all in
When we boat up we against 33 as well as all of his Q's . I shove for value

June 16, 2019 | 7:12 a.m.

Yearh, i agree. the turn C/R was a bit creative , but betting against fishy player seems the standard

June 15, 2019 | 11:04 a.m.

Load more uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy