I am using "Fold vs Donkbet Flop" stat in my hud and some players at PLO 5 -10 are over folding vs donkbet (+70%) but I like to exploit this tendency when agresor preflop range does not connect with flop very well and my hand is weak.
This spot is tricky cuz BB has high cards in his range and hero hand is not that bad.
I would take check - decide line and fold in most cases.
Jan. 29, 2017 | 8:33 a.m.
MP 3bet should be tight like 5 % and vs this range your hand has 35% equity. Against pot size 3bet you have 33% odds but playing OOP makes hard to make this spot profitable. You will have a lot of problems on low and paired flops.
I would fold preflop vs any unknown or tight player.
To call this 3bet I need to now about my opponent leaks.
For example vs over agressive player who 3bet light I like to call preflop and induce bluffs on flops like 722 etc.
Jan. 29, 2017 | 8:05 a.m.
A few days ago a famous Twitch streamer was playing high stakes PLO and 6k+ people was watching it live(mostly of them new to poker I guess, expectialy to PLO). He had made 2k $ deposit and at some point was up to almost 60k. I think that kinds of "adds" might help :D
Jan. 24, 2017 | 7:41 a.m.
BB: $14.60 (Hero)
He was playing 4 zoom tables with 22/16/2.3(VPIP/PFR/3bet). His RFI SB is 36% after 300 hands.
Jan. 23, 2017 | 6:17 a.m.
I would like to ask about yours RFI BTN sizing = 2,13 bb. Do you open like this versus week players with are not defending enough BB or SB and it is something special about 2,13 bb vs let say 2,5 bb? How it is connected with your RFI range?
Also, are you afraid an adaptation from regs? Their blind defend stats may be weak but versus yours particular sizing they may defend more.
My last question is about your sizing vs good players from the BTN. When your RFI BTN decrease to let say 50% which sizing you prefer? Your range is stronger so maybe even 3,5 bb?
July 26, 2016 | 1:44 a.m.
I am looking for an advice about my Donk Bet strategy from HM2 point of view. You can see my DonkBet related popups after recent 50k hands.
For example, my Donk Bet total is higher that Donk vs 1 Opp SRP with means that I do not bluff much my Donk Bet range is strong).
I think that this is a leak and there are some spots where I am check-folding instead of donk-betting (as a bluff).
How this coloration presents in your game-style?
What is more I am Donk-Folding 54% with is too high because of my strong donk bet range. I have read that this should be between 25 and 40%.
The worst part is about Fold vs Donk Bet. I am aware that they are some players with super strong donkbet (4-6%) but this tendency is quite rare. A lot of micro-stakes rages (like me) has Donk-bet around 15% and it is easy to find aggressive players with even higher Donk Bet.
So my question is about default value of this stat.
I hope that you will have some more comments about this and if someone is interested in analyzing game vs stats like this feel free to pm me.
July 20, 2016 | 9:49 p.m.
BB: $15.28 (Hero)
Rake is $0.11
June 24, 2016 | 10:14 a.m.
June 16, 2016 | 5:43 a.m.
Rake is $0.06
June 5, 2016 | 7:24 a.m.
I have the same problem but I can see improvment in my game so I have some tips.
In my opinion preflop play is not a big deal. Make sure that you do not have strong postflop leaks.
For example I was playing too tight on the river.
My river bet stat value was around 20% witch is super low. I did not bleff enough.
What is more I increased my thin valuebets frequency.
At the moment I am betting like 26-28% of rivers witch is ok.
The scond aspect of river play is bleff-catching.
You should look at two stats: river check-fold and river fold IP.
I discovered that I had been folding more then 80% in both situations.
I was giving players too much credit. It was a huge leak becouse thinking players were bleffing me on the river a lot.
At present I am paying a lot of attention to my opponents ranges and what they are representing by their lines and I am calling more on the river.
Sry for grammar leaks
June 1, 2016 | 8:08 a.m.
Thank you for the wonderful film which prompted me to analyze my game ..
I have some questions related to the issues discussed by you .
My first question is whether BB fold vs BTN steal statistics can be calculated using statistics Cold Call . I'm not sure because in the mentioned statistics we have HU and multiway pots . For example I cold call 25% hands on BB vs EP. You have recomended min 40%. Schould I cold call wider range and how to spread it between HU nad multiway pots?
My second question is about SB 3bet vs BTN. Do you use resteal statistics ( SB restal vs BTN)?
In my case, the difference between said statistics is very small and is equal to 1 % ( 15 % of 3bet vs 14 % of resteal ) .