when he takes this line considering he is a mtt reg why does he check the flop. Its a good spot for him to bet with most of his bluff. I think yes this may be a GTO call but most live pros are rarely over betting bluffing rivers with these lines and are GTO balanced.
It doesn't take much to figure out which live pros are balanced and to start making calls when the live pros are always betting with value hands is in my book a losing strategy.
July 15, 2016 | 9:05 p.m.
Fold is fine. He wouldn't 3bet bluff much with his 4betting range considering your tight image. Even if you flop a set you are not likely be going to get paid much because of your tight image and him being a good player.
March 10, 2015 | 2:28 p.m.
Against a TAG player I am mixing it up based on the frequency for value and game flow for exploitation value. Keep in mind AJ is not a great 3 betting hands because AJ is not doing so great against a lot of the 3 bet calling range which has QQs, AQ, KQs, JJs, 1010. But if he calling a 3 bet with worse and doesn't have a 4 bet bluff range then its fine.
Oct. 15, 2014 | 3:41 p.m.
I think raise flop especially when fishy guy leads. Because he is likely to call you with worse and gives protection to your hand from draws and also gives you info where you are in the hand. I like raising the flop in this spot make it 550 or 575. Good reg is calling mostly a drawing hand or hand like KQ, QJ hand on the turn because he is raising most value hands on the flop like Q 10, 10 10, 77 and huge drawing hands like combo draws Jd9d, KdJd, Kd9d, 8d9d. I think turn bet is fine for value and protection he is likely going to fold his drawing hands like 89, J9 off. Which gives him a narrow range which has KJ and Jd9d or Jd8d. I think check decide the river but I don't know if folding would make you exploitable. As played the reg has KJ most of the time. That's how I feel because most of his just flush drawing hands would fold turn and or big combo draws would raise flop. I think 77s wouldn't bet so quickly on the river.
Oct. 14, 2014 | 8:16 p.m.
Thanks for the reply Mr. Sneeze I think you are right it coming down to the opponent and the way the table plays. I am in UK. You rightly point out that If someone tanks raises then it favors a call depending on the player. For a standard opponent snap raise the river, its a fold.
What you think is the bet on the river to avoid being exploited on the river?
Aug. 12, 2014 | 1:07 p.m.
I am not likely to win 19-20% after his raise but someone rightly point out that AQ is at bottom of my value range and its also better for my range then the callers range which favors a fold.
Why you think 120-140 OTR bet is good. You think 80 bet is exploitable ? It looks like a KQ ?
Some players would raise AJ or AK would raise to that bet by putting me on KQ ?
Sometimes I do that with nuts like AAs or QQs, if I suspect my opponent is super strong. I think it's a case balancing right ?
I think this small bet is designed for two things against different players.
1. Bet small to induce a bluff or make someone spazz aka call.
2. Bet small to get paid by a worse hand and fold to a raise If I think the opponent is not capable of exploiting the river bet.
Aug. 12, 2014 | 1:02 p.m.
Middle age guy aka Villain 900
small blind 1400
This is a hand from a full live 2-5 game. I raised UTG +1 with AQ off suit to 15 Cut off calls and SB calls. Flop came Q 10 9 Rainbow. I bet 45 into 60. Cut off quickly calls and SB folds. Turn 9 of diamonds. I bet 80 into 150. He quickly calls. River A. I bet 80 into 310. He raises to 225.
How would you guys see this hand?
How many times I would have to make this call to be profitable?
What is the best course of action on the river?
If betting what is the best bet on the river?
My thought process on the river was to get a call from KQ.
Aug. 11, 2014 | 12:25 p.m.
Good question. I think having a solid starting range like 89+ suited connectors are fine, all pairs and Broadway cards. The more money would be made by attacking weak limper from early position by isolating then with a big raise 5 times for value and semi-bluff from late to mid position. Open too wide can have its disadvantages because we could lose the edge we have over the players for playing too loose and out of position. I think exploiting weak players and fish individually is a way to go. Raising 5 times big is absolutely fine because you know fish are going to limp call any way and you put more money in the pot in position for value and exploitation against a weak player.
July 12, 2014 | 1:16 p.m.
I am looking for material/tips for small stack PLO strategy for live games. I am basically a 5-10 NLH playerbut sometimes you get great PLO games 5-10 and 10-25. I would like to know about a good short live stacking strategy ?
June 9, 2014 | 9:48 a.m.
Your videos are interesting. I have a basic question to
understand your videos better is how do you calculate the odds of
hitting your outs in pineapple? Could you please give me an example lets
say we have 6 outs and two rounds?
June 9, 2014 | 9:37 a.m.
Hi Jen, Your videos are interesting. I have a basic question to understand your videos better is how do you calculate the odds of hitting your outs in pineapple? Could you please give me an example lets say we have 6 outs and two rounds?
Best Wishes, N