Don't mind the flop sizing. We block the nuts + are unlikely not to have nuts on turn.
Turn I actually think you can bet. I think you can bet small here.. say 1/3 or 1/4 pot. I'm guessing the player pool is loose passive so imo you will get value from a bunch of hands you bet small + if you do get raised you can get away cheaply. wouldnt expect pop avg to turn a lot of hands into bluffs here. they rather call at good price and see a river. and given the flop action they will have showdown equity a ton of the time. If they just call turn we can likely get thin value on river too with small bet, again folding to a check raise.
I agree with hellomwayne, I think its hard to expect many river bluffs given the flop action.
Jan. 2, 2018 | 6:57 a.m.
Cheers for the reply, but at what stack size would you say the CB GII line is not optimal here? Personally I just failed to consider the significance of the spr in this spot, so thank you for enlightening me there.
Jan. 2, 2018 | 6:06 a.m.
In a reply to a comment Lesezek you said that in the BB we should have a wider range multiway because of the increased pot odds, but I assume part of the reason we call so wide Vs one raiser in the BB is because our range will do better heads up than multiway, and its easier for use to realise our full equity. Although another player increases our pot odds it also decreases our equity and the playability of our hand, whilst increasing the reverse implied odds. So a hand like Jc 5c 9h 5s will do alright head up but multi-way it loses a lot of value imo. surely by defending wider multi-way we are putting ourself in tougher post flop spots with more marginal hands which might lead us to lose more money?? especially Vs tougher competition..
Sept. 24, 2017 | 8:35 a.m.
Does a CB of that size give the incentive to bluff though or would you think people are over folding to that bet? I mean the board hits his range pretty well so it would make it easy for him to peel with a lot of his range, + maybe just floats to take a stab depending on what I do on the turn.
Sept. 14, 2017 | 5:04 a.m.
SB: $23.65 (Hero)
Sept. 11, 2017 | 6:08 p.m.
I'd have probably called pre, but maybe i'm leaking. It cant be too bad if villaiins in the blinds are loose passive. anyway, i agree with restacks about the flop. think it's close. The way I see it you'l have a hard time getting enough value when you hit flush because villain will shut down on 3rd diamond if AA/AJ so then you got just gutshot and QQ and if he keeps betting he prob got nut flush then you'l loose a fair amount of chips. turn seems alright and river a fold, just don't see much he could have you got beat there.
Aug. 1, 2017 | 5:53 a.m.
Just wondering if anyone would be interested in joining my small study group? I already study with one chap once a week but wouldn't mind having a group of a couple more people to talk through hands, exchange information on the game like articles and other useful media. Also analysis of tricky spots and whatever else could be mutually beneficial.
Not too bothered about peoples skill level although it'd help (I'm no killer at the table but think I am holding my own playing PLO10), more valuable at this stage would be a good attitude and determination to improve and also reliability.. if your gonna flake don't bother. Anyway if anyone's keen and would be interested in studying a little each week send me a message and we'll work something out. Peace
June 18, 2017 | 2:12 p.m.
BB: $12.62 (Hero)
Rake is $0.23
June 16, 2017 | 8:51 a.m.
I'm think this is a massively played dependent spot, little more info on villain would make this a lot easier. But given the situation my thinking is that firstly you 3b so villain knows you have a strong range likely with AA in it. The board is dry. Given your perceived range I think it wouldn't seem like a good spot to bluff for him + there are little draws he can have.
I agree with seacombe a smaller betsize given the dry board would be better. Also in terms of him having a J here, how likely is that really? even strong jack has decent chance of facing AA/KK here. Also you say I don't think villain would play JJ that way but do you really have the information on him to make that assumption? Personally I don't think I could fold AA here but maybe it is the right play..