PrankCallRiver

1st week:
Graph:

By stakes:

Not much to say, solid week, put in a ton of volume. 200rush going really well so far

There’s a lot high tier content and tools for NLH and not so much for other forms of poker. So usually other forms of poker is softer. I think if your goal is to make as much money as possible best choice is to get good at NLH MTT’s as it’s easiest to put in a ton of volume as it’s most popular NLH format and there’s more recreationals so it’s softer than cash and rake isn’t as high for most stakes. I think your best choice from US is to play on Ignition, as far as I know winrates are the highest on that site compared to Stars/GG/WPN for NL cash.

Have a nice one too!

I guess that was my long way of saying that analysis wasn’t precise enough for such caliber players. I didn’t mean to come off as a coach and I don’t have anything personal against the coach, nor against you. I didn’t think analysis was sharp and I explained why in the post above, if you think that’s ironic and you don’t think my analysis was accurate I’m happy to hear your technical or exploitative arguments why

I did like 2 hours of studying to post this analysis, I looked at like 5 different sims on gtowizard, ran my own pio sim with adjusted preflop ranges for deeper stacks, ran node locks, so I know what I'm saying. My point is, I think analysis of the hand was lazy for an elite coach

Why?

I though analysis of the first hand was sloppy given you're analyzing a hand played between two world class players. One of main reason why your analysis was off is that you're assuming they're playing 100bb ranges, when stacks gets deeper Stefan isn't 4betting QQ-TT with nearly as high frequency as it would 100bb deep, which reflect in his preflop 4bet size, so Linus start playing his QQ-TT almost as a pure flat call, sort of like 'bluffcatching' to put it simply, because putting 130bb's against a range of KK+ and AK isn't very effective play w QQ, and you don't really push too much equity against Stefan's 4bet 'bluffing' range, because it usually have 1 over card to the Q, or no over cards to the Q, so shoving QQ for protection isn't very effective either. On to the post flop, Stefan probably shouldn't be range betting the flop, because when Stefan range gets polarized to mostly KK+ and AK and semi bluffs, on a board where AK and his his semi bluffs doesn't hit a pair or additional equity, his range contains a ton of unpaired hands, so Linus can start exploiting a range C-bet by check raising most of his pairs for protection/value, and Stefan will be put in situation where he either overfolds flop, call flop/fold turns unimproved or shove flop to realize his equity and stack off being a reasonable underdog against Linus calling range. So Stefan should play his range slower on flop and start doing a bunch of mixing, to make Linus indifferent between check raising/calling his pairs, and often play AK for showdown value against give up's and worse A high's. As for QQ's on the flop, it's just basically slow playing the flop by calling, while most other pairs will be often check raising because they require more protection. Turn play by Stefan I think is a mistake, I'm pretty sure he knows that he's suppose to be betting his hand, but he was probably trying to lure Linus into over bluffing the river, which I think is optimistic to pull such tricks against Linus with AJ, because this combo requires too much protection against KQ, so I would rather choose other combinations to try to cheese someone into bluffing river too much

In your shoes, I would trim some of the tables and play up to 6 or 4 regular tables at a time. I would put all my emphasis on quality instead of trying to grind volume, so I would maybe start a session with 4 good regular tables, observe everything that's happening on the table very closely and thinking of how you should optimize your win rate at that table, and then maybe later on add few more tables as you get warmed up and have a good idea how you want to play on the first 4tables to maximize your edge.

Second point about shot taking, I wouldn't shot take until I totally have to move down the stakes, I would just add one, best table, you can find of 25nl and warm up that way, and if I would lose a buy-in or two, I just turn off that table and comeback taking a shot next day/week or whenever feel comfortable

That's a common miss conception, you could argue for widening rfi range in some cases when playing such player, but mostly not

Preflop play with J5s is quite a bit too loose, if someone’s playing looser than they “should”, you should adjust by opening tighter range, in this situation both BTN and BB players are playing overly loose. In a preflop solution CO starts opening only from J7s, I’d suggest you to get the preflop ranges and fundamentals right first and work from there. Your turn call is quite a bit too loose as well, I guess you coming from a HU background playing everywhere a bit too loose at 6max, so I’d work to fix that. Good luck

Good luck

glgl

There's no conspiracies, nor magic pills in poker

haha, that's very funny

How you build this RNG?

16:13 Do you think it would be a mistake to play 4bet/fold vs this large 3bet on table 1 w A4s? I've seen some preflop simulations in higher rake environment where against larger 3bet sizes OOP playing close to 4bet or fold.

These are SS's I have from preflop solver, HJ play vs BTN 3bet, approximately 200NL rake, sizing scheme: HJ RFI 2.5bb, BTN 3bet 8.5bb. Lowest PP's and bunch of suited connectors are opening w low freq. 5-10%, so I guess EV of call improves, so you see them calling quite a bit. It does seem quite crazy to fold nearly 70% to 3bet, but I guess solver compensating that with very high reraise freq? Do you think these ranges are reasonable?
BTN 3bet range

Makes a lot of sense. Thanks

5:15 Do you have an idea why different solvers produce different results?

It folds out bunch of 6-9x. 5x not showing down for any EV after this action so it get mixed as bluff

I have few questions regarding your previous video, do you think flop agg% of 36.9 is a leak? I try to play more complex flop strategy than most regs, so I use decent amount of big cbet sizes on a bunch of textures witch leads to both lower cbet and agg percents. Do you think it's still a leak or just result of a more complex strategy? Maybe a measure of how much money player puts on different street is a better measurement than only a frequency of a cbet?
And what's optimal 4bet% OOP ?

Do you think flop agg% of 36.9 is a leak? I try to play more complex flop strategy than most regs, so I use decent amount of big cbet sizes on a bunch of textures witch leads to both lower cbet and agg percents. Do you think it's still a leak or just result of a more complex strategy? Maybe a measure of how much money player puts on different street is a better measurement than only a frequency of a cbet?

HoldemManager Is there Std. variance dev. stat on HM3?

Thats regular tables rake

Rake is 5% w 3bb cap at rush. With all the promotions, leaderboards, afilliate deals I think rake is somewhere between 7-8bb/100

yes

GG graphs isn’t

It's normal graph not including rake/rakeback, you can see all the filters in the screenshot. I cannot add the rake because the graph is from GG. graph in bb