PrankCallRiver's avatar

PrankCallRiver

108 points

Yup, in my case it’s around 80% I think, but it depends on how much rb u are able to get. Rush

Aug. 18, 2019 | 9:54 p.m.

graph this month so far, most of my downswing occured on other site, I lost about 600$ there. I had pretty bad session yesterday,missplayed couple of hands got some bad run, and started to tilt a bit. I used to pretend I'm coach and talk about hands while playing, and last session I didn't so, maybe that got me of the track

Aug. 17, 2019 | 1:23 p.m.

No, I havent, thanks a lot! Not sure how I’ve missed those, ty again

Aug. 16, 2019 | 3:29 p.m.

Thanks a lot for support and tips!:)

Aug. 16, 2019 | 3:27 p.m.

Quick update, after last post im up something like 2k lol

Aug. 15, 2019 | 10:51 a.m.

Calmed myself get a little bit motivation, got back on tables on lost 3stacks in 50hands, AA outflopped in 4bp, Nuts OTT stacked vs set, QQ < KK late positions. I'll close thread as it gets too negative. gg

Aug. 7, 2019 | 3:56 p.m.

I got a big breakdown after continously floping sets over sets, bluffs getting called by top range, I just started shoving stacks 4way with air, as I dont feel like strategy helps, I just turned off tables after punting couple of stacks

Aug. 7, 2019 | 2:07 p.m.

decided to give a shot to rush and cash format on GG, started out pretty well, and then lost 5buy ins in one hand, nuts over nuts both holding different FD's get all in OTT xd
biggest lost pot so far

lost another like 5 buy'ins Nut Flush over FH, Top Two over backdoor str8 etc.. I'll take a break for sure

update: I keep fighting xd
top full house over quads

Aug. 4, 2019 | 8:28 p.m.

I have no idea how to play anymore, people are opening limping all around and just taking my stacks away xd I honestly start to think games are rigged or smth, and yes I know how pathetic that sound in poker strat forum ;dd so I guess I need to take a break

Aug. 4, 2019 | 7 p.m.

Most interesting hands of yesterday:
https://www.weaktight.com/h/5d460130d3904338288b4640
I think river sizing is no good given my range
https://www.weaktight.com/h/5d45fcf9d3904338288b45e0
Tough one ag weaker reg, not sure if it's winning when there's a decent chance he will choose to bluff with smaller sizing, and this sizing will likely be only quads lol

Aug. 4, 2019 | 11:42 a.m.

2158hands played, yesterday had off, because didn't feel like playing after a bad first session. Today as well lost around 4buy'ins

Aug. 3, 2019 | 10:02 p.m.

2173/2000 hands today.

Aug. 1, 2019 | 8:21 p.m.

Nah, I live in a cheap country, so I would make like 500$ per month in regular job, and there's no decent jobs around where I live, working in factory not appealing to me.

Aug. 1, 2019 | 4:13 p.m.

I set myself daily volume goal witch is 2k hands for now on. I'll try to update every day how I did

Aug. 1, 2019 | 12:23 p.m.

I love dogs, looking forward to support this idea

July 31, 2019 | 7:52 p.m.

I don't really think that variance calculator is legit from what I've seen, models seems off, even in category ''About this tool'', 5th paragraph says: "All models are wrong, but some are useful" - George E.P. Box. We use confidence intervals to estimate our ''real'' winrate, not to estimate how we can run with our real winrate, because no one know their real winrate in ball park of few bb/100

July 31, 2019 | 11:29 a.m.

You too!

July 30, 2019 | 10:25 p.m.

Once again got on a downswing, basically whole month was recovering from downswing, eventually get there, and then another one hits and I'm trying to recover again. Lately it feels like I just sit down and lose couple of pots in some ridicilous ways, then get tilted and turn off tables and it feels extra disgusting when tables are super soft. Idk anymore maybe I'm just bad at recognizing variance and I don't have such edge I imagine I do then everything would make much more sense, because atm It feels so fucking unfair, what I treat as a bad regs zooming with 500bbs on several tables and I just get screwed by them in some ridicilous fashion. Have played quite bad, and spewed couple of stacks due to a bad mindset/tilt, hoping next month will be better.
graph so far

won around 250bucks on other site as well

July 29, 2019 | 8:26 p.m.

Google poker variance calculator. 1k hands is nothing, you can end up losing or winning 50bb/100+ over this sample even if ure winning or losing player

July 29, 2019 | 11:26 a.m.

Given your sample and winrate in 70% confidence interval your real winrate is between 8-12bb/100, I don’t expect your wr to drop down more than 2-3bb/100 after you will get psychologically comfortable in higher stakes, lets take worst case scenario and lets say you will win at 5bb/100, your minimum bankroll requirement for less than 5% risk of ruin is around 22 buy-ins, so yes, you can definitely can go a head and take some shots higher. You can google poker variance calculator and tweak parameters as you wish, pretty useful tool, especially when running bad using it as a “reality check” helps to maintain confidence in place

July 25, 2019 | 2:27 p.m.

There’s bunch of great hu content here at rio, but at least for most of them you need an elite membership

July 23, 2019 | 9:51 p.m.

Preflop 3bet or fold in this rake environment, unless there's big fish, or at least few weaker players behind. On flop with this much equity anything is fine and likely similar ev, I would mix probably like 50/50, unless there's any exploitative reason to shift our mix strategy hand one way or another, in this particular case given villain sizing witch is likely unbalanced I would probably go with raise because I feel like that range consist of medium strengh hands and bunch of draws/backdoors, so I like raise to deny equity and get value from dominated draws. I don't like turn sizing, you should have only one size imo witch is small overbet (110-120%), because your value range is pretty strong, besides A10s there's basically nuts or bluffs. OTR standart check, blocking both A-high FD's and couple combo draws with 5x. You should sometimes get to the river with hands like A5,A2 no diamonds, who I suspect to be pure bluffing, but that's far from enough bluffs because your value range is quite wide here, so other bluffs should come from suited connectors most likely, who you really cant profitably call preflop, so finding enough bluffs is pretty tough given your range, witch points out that you're either making -ev calls pre because of rake, or your preflop range construction is pretty fucked, so I would suggest not having a flatting range here as standart

July 21, 2019 | 4:33 p.m.

Open limp and 0/0 even over 12hands, strikes me as tight passive, so even flop call is close imo, I would never fold myself because I'm not disciplined enough, but I think it would be a reasonable play against this player type, even though it sounds crazy. I would mostly play my AA combos as check on flop, because it's not only correct optimally, but as well plays pretty well in practice, at least from my experience

July 21, 2019 | 3:42 p.m.

At least caught a little heater after pretty bad stretch. Doing quite well, regained my confidence and playing way better, probably part of it because I got more volume in and feeling more sharp.

Couple hands:

UTG: $50.00 (100 bb)
MP: $63.69 (127 bb)
CO (Hero): $57.61 (115 bb)
BU: $50.00 (100 bb)
SB: $27.13 (54 bb)
BB: $50.00 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.75) Hero is CO with K♣ 9♣
1 fold, MP calls $0.50, Hero raises to $1.70, BTN calls $1.70, 2 players fold, MP calls $1.20

Flop: ($5.85) T♥ J♦ K♦ (3 players)
MP checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($5.85) 7♠ (3 players)
MP checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $7.12, MP folds, Hero calls $7.12

River: ($20.09) T♣ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $41.18 (all-in), Hero calls $41.18

Total pot: $102.45

Showdown:
BU shows 9♥ 9♠ (two pair, Tens and Nines)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 66%, Flop: 13%, Turn: 11%, River: 0%)

CO (Hero) shows K♣ 9♣ (two pair, Kings and Tens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 34%, Flop: 87%, Turn: 89%, River: 100%)

One of the better regs at player pool, capable of exploiting so decided to bluffcatch, 9x is pretty decent. As well I think it's a sizing tell from him, as I feel he would value bet w smaller sizings because player pool is pretty capped at this spot and super nitty what comes to bluffcatching against big sizings.

UTG: $86.33 (173 bb)
MP: $52.75 (106 bb)
CO: $233.37 (467 bb)
BU (Hero): $70.16 (140 bb)
SB: $50.00 (100 bb)
BB: $54.69 (109 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with 5♠ A♠
UTG raises to $1.50, 1 fold, CO calls $1.50, Hero 3-bets to $6, 2 players fold, UTG calls $4.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($14.25) A♥ 8♣ T♦ (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($14.25) T♠ (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($14.25) J♣ (2 players)
UTG bets $4.50, Hero raises to $27.75, UTG calls $23.25

Total pot: $69.75 (Rake: $3.48)

Showdown:
BU (Hero) shows 5♠ A♠ (two pair, Aces and Tens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 33%, Flop: 86%, Turn: 95%, River: 0%)

UTG shows J♠ J♥ (a full house, Jacks full of Tens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 67%, Flop: 14%, Turn: 5%, River: 100%)

Bluff gone wrong, not sure if he wanted to slow roll me or was thinking of folding because he used whole minute of time bank. I thought maybe sizing is a little bit unbalanced and this is a lot of AK,AQ type of stuff, quite happy with my bluff as he likely was seriously considering folding second nuts on board.

UTG: $88.03 (176 bb)
MP: $12.86 (26 bb)
CO (Hero): $64.86 (130 bb)
BU: $39.35 (79 bb)
SB: $19.19 (38 bb)
BB: $31.30 (63 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.75) Hero is CO with 2♠ 2♣
2 players fold, Hero raises to $1.12, BTN calls $1.12, 2 players fold

Flop: ($2.99) T♥ 4♠ A♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $1.99, BTN calls $1.99

Turn: ($6.97) 5♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $7.96, BTN calls $7.96

River: ($22.89) 4♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $53.79 (all-in), BTN calls $28.28 (all-in)

Total pot: $79.45

Showdown:
CO (Hero) shows 2♠ 2♣ (two pair, Fours and Twos)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 50%, Flop: 15%, Turn: 14%, River: 0%)

BU shows 9♣ A♣ (two pair, Aces and Fours)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 50%, Flop: 85%, Turn: 86%, River: 100%)

One more fancy bluff gone wrong, wasn't my finest play against unknown

UTG: $59.59 (119 bb)
MP (Hero): $66.88 (134 bb)
CO: $94.39 (189 bb)
BU: $100.12 (200 bb)
SB: $24.21 (48 bb)
BB: $25.00 (50 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP with A♣ A♦
1 fold, Hero raises to $1.06, 1 fold, BTN 3-bets to $1.62, SB calls $1.37, 1 fold, Hero 4-bets to $6.04, BTN calls $4.42, 1 fold

Flop: ($14.20) 5♥ 7♣ 4♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $7.10, Hero calls $7.10

Turn: ($28.40) 8♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $86.98 (all-in), Hero calls $53.74 (all-in)

River: ($135.88) A♥ (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $135.88

Showdown:
BU shows J♥ T♥ (high card, Ace)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 22%, Flop: 9%, Turn: 14%, River: 0%)

MP (Hero) shows A♣ A♦ (three of a kind, Aces)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 78%, Flop: 91%, Turn: 86%, River: 100%)

MP (Hero) wins $131.88
Villain rep draw, still quite tough to click call button

UTG: $56.28 (113 bb)
MP: $50.00 (100 bb)
CO: $52.92 (106 bb)
BU (Hero): $52.25 (105 bb)
SB: $36.93 (74 bb)
BB: $112.77 (226 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with Q♠ T♠
2 players fold, CO raises to $1.50, Hero 3-bets to $4.50, SB calls $4.25, 2 players fold

Flop: ($11) 8♦ A♣ J♠ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3.13, SB calls $3.13

Turn: ($17.26) 9♦ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $6.99, SB calls $6.99

River: ($31.24) 7♣ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $37.63 (all-in), SB calls $22.31 (all-in)

Total pot: $75.86 (Rake: $3.79)

Showdown:
BU (Hero) shows Q♠ T♠ (a straight, Eight to Queen)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 52%, Flop: 56%, Turn: 100%, River: 100%)

SB shows 3♦ 3♠ (a pair of Threes)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 48%, Flop: 44%, Turn: 0%, River: 0%)

BU (Hero) wins $72.07
bluff catch gone wrong, lol

July 21, 2019 | 3:06 p.m.

If u play regulary those games and you only have 16hands on a guy that’s a great indicator you can fold all your bluffcatchers quite happily, only very best regs or spazzy whales at these limits are capable of bluffing here

July 21, 2019 | 2:20 p.m.

I have seen lots of hands by Linus so Im pretty sure its him. Other human players seems bad, from what ive seen so far

July 19, 2019 | 10:48 a.m.

if he's squeezing linear and go like 88/99+, all suited broadways etc., when for sure I would shove hands like A5s, A4s etc. with decent frequency

July 18, 2019 | 1:23 p.m.

if he would go 14bb's+ not having flat range and shoving whole continue range make sense I think

July 18, 2019 | 12:57 p.m.

Given 11x over 2.5x we want to have calls imo, it depends on what sb squeeze range is if it's polar or linear, he has flatting range or not etc. Against totally unknowns I tend to choose safer option and 4bet AK, KK or QQ+

July 18, 2019 | 12:55 p.m.

what do u want to know? 4bet size, preflop ranges?

July 18, 2019 | 12:36 p.m.

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