Resolve's avatar

Resolve

183 points

I use snowie for RFI and cc IP, thats all. Don't you think the cc ip range are quite tight for midstakes? Before I used snowie's I was coldcalling about twice as wide BUvsCO.

March 15, 2019 | 11:02 p.m.

7+ bb/100 at 200z is crazy in my opinion, these days.

I'd call 0-2 struggling, 2-4 decent, 4-6 good, 6-8 very good, and higher crushing. (including rakeback in the winrate)

Maybe you can just play some 500z now and then when you feel like you're in the zone (playing your A+ game), feel confident and the pool is softer than average, while keeping 200z your main game if moving up is such a big issue for your mental game.

I'm really curious how well you would do and don't understand what you're waiting for. I played almost 200k hands at nl200 it looks like I'm basically just a rakeback grinder at the moment and it fucking sucks.

March 14, 2019 | 1:16 p.m.

With taking a shot I basically just mean moving up stakes (with a 10BI stop loss or so). I usually did it when I had 50 buy-ins for the next stake.

Variance can really skew a 50k sample but you're never going to get a big sample without making one. You're winning over 8bb/100 at 200z over 1 million hands, it's very likely that you're profitable at 500z. You have one of the best winrates I've ever seen...

March 14, 2019 | 7:44 a.m.

Comment | Resolve commented on Nut Advantage

I'd have to look up the math to do the calculations for this betsize but I can simplify the explanation with pot sized bets. (In the example the betsize is even bigger so IP can bluff even more hands.)

IP can bet a balanced range (make OOP indifferent to calling) by betting 2 bluffs for every value hand on the flop, 1 bluff per value hand on the turn and 0,5 bluffs for every value hand on the river.

If IP has 12 value hands he can bet 24 bluffs on the flop with a pot sized bet, but he only has 20 bluffs in the example, so OOP should always fold.

March 12, 2019 | 12:07 p.m.

Comment | Resolve commented on Nut Advantage

In the example IP just doesn't have enough bluffs for OOP to be able to call a flop bet.

The betsize is set to 1,2x pot and IP has 12 value and 20 bluff combo's. (IP won't give up often enough on later streets.)

March 12, 2019 | 10:22 a.m.

Comment | Resolve commented on Nut Advantage

IP can overbet as big as he wants when his valuebets can´t lose. IP can add the appropriate amount of bluffs so OOP can't profitably call or is indifferent between calling and folding.

If OOP can have the nuts it stops IP from overbetting as big as he wants because above a certain betsize he´s only going to get called by the nuts.

The consequence is that IP will have to bet smaller and can bet fewer bluffs.
->IP has to give up with more of his bluffs.
->OOP gets a bigger share of the EV with his bluffcatchers.

March 12, 2019 | 9:22 a.m.

I'd just call flop but I don't think raising is horrible. Against small cbets it's good to xr wider to deny equity to overcards (which is a big part of UTG's range if he's betting his whole range) but I think this hand just goes better into a x/c range. Hands like 66,55,22 would be better because they can turn more equity with OESDs and gutshots and need more protection against overcards.

I don't like the turn bet. UTG has all TT+ and more Jx than you. (offsuit broadways)
Check/calling would be great because the turn gives him more draws that he could bluff and might prevent him valuebetting QQ+ twice for value.

March 11, 2019 | 11:08 a.m.

Check/raise flop. I think this board is better for BU and he also has a lot of draws that he might bet/fold. Overbet turn if he checks back. Balance with combo draws and maybe some 8x.

Rest of the hand is good as long as you also have flushes in your range OTR with that betsize.

March 11, 2019 | 10:29 a.m.

Hey, is it enough to use your own database for h2n research or is it necessary to have millions of hands?

Why haven't you taken shots at 500z yet? If I was you I don't think I could resist trying with such a winrate :p

Good luck.

March 11, 2019 | 9:07 a.m.

I don´t know but I guess it´s because of the flop subsets that are used to run the sim, they´re not a perfect representation of every possible board and its frequency.

The EV of the hands around the border of two actions is probably very close and all it takes for an anomaly in the solution is a Q6x board and no Q7x board in the flop subset or a K8x board more than there are K9x boards in it for example.

March 2, 2019 | 2:44 p.m.

Comment | Resolve commented on Take Two, 2019

Interesting blog. Thanks for doing this, subbed (y)

Dec. 31, 2018 | 2:14 a.m.

You can see how much rake you pay in Hem2 and calculate how much bb/100 it is.

I agree that everything below midstakes is a huge rake trap. But if that winrate is sustainable you will move up fast.

Dec. 9, 2018 | 11:15 p.m.

Hand History | Resolve posted in NLHE: NL200 Call or raise river with full house?
Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (5 Players) UTG: $208.79
CO: $200.00 (Hero)
BN: $1022.41
SB: $0.00
BB: $250.52
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is CO with 6 J
BN folds, BB raises to $6.00, Hero calls $4.00
It's bvb... I'm BB he is SB.
Flop ($12.00) 5 6 J
BB bets $7.52, Hero raises to $25.14, BB calls $17.62
Turn ($62.28) 5 6 J Q
BB checks, Hero checks
River ($62.28) 5 6 J Q J
BB bets $39.78, Hero calls $39.78
Final Pot BB lost and shows a flush, Ace high.
CO wins and shows a full house, Jacks full of Sixes.
CO wins $139.84
Rake is $2.00

Dec. 7, 2018 | 3:55 a.m.

Hand History | Resolve posted in NLHE: NL200 hero call in 4bp
Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $328.87
SB: $406.30
BB: $299.26
UTG: $251.45
MP: $300.95 (Hero)
CO: $178.11
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is MP with 3 A
UTG folds, Hero raises to $6.00, 3 folds, BB raises to $25.00, Hero raises to $56.00, BB calls $31.00
Flop ($113.00) 5 Q 3
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn ($113.00) 5 Q 3 4
BB checks, Hero checks
River ($113.00) 5 Q 3 4 4
BB bets $69.59, Hero calls $69.59
Final Pot BB wins and shows two pairs, Kings and Fours.
MP lost and shows two pairs, Fours and Threes.
BB wins $249.18
Rake is $3.00

Dec. 7, 2018 | 3:48 a.m.

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BB: $200.00
UTG: $200.00
MP: $62.29
CO: $327.51 (Hero)
BN: $291.12
SB: $251.59
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is CO with 4 K
2 folds, Hero raises to $5.00, BN calls $5.00, SB folds, BB calls $3.00
BN is 71/42 with 48 WTSD
Flop ($16.00) J 4 Q
BB checks, Hero checks, BN bets $15.20, BB folds, Hero calls $15.20
Turn ($46.40) J 4 Q J
Hero checks, BN bets $22.04, Hero calls $22.04
River ($90.48) J 4 Q J 3
Hero checks, BN bets $65.61, Hero raises to $285.27 and is all in, BN calls $183.27 and is all in
Final Pot BN wins and shows a full house, Jacks full of Fours.
CO wins and shows a flush, King high.
BN wins $585.24 CO wins $0.00
Rake is $3.00

Dec. 7, 2018 | 3:32 a.m.

I wouldn't 3b unless he's opening and/or calling 3bets too wide. Flop and turn is good. River is a check imo. You need 50% vs his calling range to value bet and too much stuff beats you which he won't always lead river with. He can even have AK lol.

Dec. 6, 2018 | 10:49 p.m.

-He has a lot of 2p+ so needs a lot of bluffs for this to be a call
-Your range looks very strong because of 3b pre and big cbet so he's less likely to bluff

-> without reads I would fold

Dec. 6, 2018 | 10:23 p.m.

Which Tx can you have OTR? Probably all AT T8s T7s and maybe all KT? That's quite a lot so your range is well protected, no need to call for a split with hands that block hearts.

If you have a read/note/stats that this guy is one if those recs who attacks every check with ATC it's a call. You need 21% equity to call and it´s always to split the pot so he needs to be bluffing 42% of the time right?

Dec. 4, 2018 | 4:07 p.m.

Yeah I thought folding was obviously the right play but I wasn't disciplined enough to lay it down. :(

Even if some people are capable of bluffing here, I probably block most of the hands they do it with.

Nov. 30, 2018 | 12:55 p.m.

You're right. With his sizing OTF - those aren't in his range anymore.

Not sure if it's better to bet turn to get value from his 2p+ or xc to protect my range on this turn that favors him.

Nov. 30, 2018 | 12:49 p.m.

I can't have 9xhh 4xhh because those are on the board. It's really hard to have too many bluffs here because I have so much 2p+. Combo draws have so much equity that they can't really be considered purely a bluff.

Nov. 30, 2018 | 12:43 p.m.

Yeah I was considering raising the flop but just calling everything makes my range easier to play. If I xr flop I probably have to mix some sets between xc and xr and I don't know what the right frequencies are.

I understand your point about raising smaller to get value from a bigger part of his range but I don't agree that he has more/stronger nuts than me. He does have KK which I don't but I have all QTs in my range 100% of the time which he probably never or rarely has. His value range is mostly AK and AA and it's really hard to call my shove with those because I have a lot of two pair+.

If I just call and miss I lose a $143 pot and if I hit something I don't get paid off most of the time. Check/shove makes me win the pot without showdown most of the time and If I get called I still win almost half the time.

Nov. 30, 2018 | 12:38 p.m.

Comment | Resolve commented on Specifically Poker

Nov. 30, 2018 | 2:39 a.m.

Hand History | Resolve posted in NLHE: NL200 flopped straight and board gets ugly
Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) MP: $489.82
CO: $281.12
BN: $200.00
SB: $334.22 (Hero)
BB: $166.81
UTG: $253.53
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is SB with 9 Q
2 folds, CO raises to $6.00, BN folds, Hero calls $5.00, BB folds
Called because fish in BB
Flop ($14.00) J 8 T
Hero checks, CO bets $7.32, Hero raises to $28.27, CO calls $20.95
Turn ($70.54) J 8 T A
Hero checks, CO bets $44.58, Hero calls $44.58
Turn is a problem. I can't have KQ because I would 3bet it preflop.
River ($159.70) J 8 T A J
Hero checks, CO bets $202.27 and is all in, Hero folds
Easy fold. If the board didn't pair I'd call because he can shove worse for value.
Final Pot CO wins $156.70
Rake is $3.00

Nov. 30, 2018 | 2:35 a.m.

Hand History | Resolve posted in NLHE: NL200 turn xr in 3bp with monster draw
Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) CO: $314.60 (Hero)
BN: $240.13
SB: $200.00
BB: $829.21
UTG: $208.00
MP: $200.00
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is CO with J Q
2 folds, Hero raises to $5.00, BN raises to $16.00, 2 folds, Hero calls $11.00
Flop ($35.00) 4 9 K
Hero checks, BN bets $12.00, Hero calls $12.00
Turn ($59.00) 4 9 K J
Hero checks, BN bets $42.00, Hero raises to $286.60 and is all in, BN calls $170.13 and is all in
Felt like the best way to play my hand on the turn. I have so much outs against all his 1 pair hands and if he even only folds like 20% of the time it's +ev.
River ($557.73) 4 9 K J 8
Final Pot BN lost and shows two pairs, Jacks and Nines.
CO wins and shows a flush, Queen high.
CO wins $480.26
Rake is $3.00

Nov. 30, 2018 | 2:25 a.m.

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) MP: $200.00
CO: $247.15
BN: $349.43 (Hero)
SB: $201.00
BB: $670.66
UTG: $215.45
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is BN with 9 9
2 folds, CO raises to $5.00, Hero calls $5.00, SB calls $4.00, BB calls $3.00
Flop ($20.00) K K 9
SB checks, BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $9.50, SB folds, BB calls $9.50, CO folds
Turn ($39.00) K K 9 J
BB checks, Hero bets $27.78, BB calls $27.78
River ($94.56) K K 9 J 6
BB checks, Hero bets $91.00, BB raises to $628.38 and is all in, Hero calls $216.15 and is all in
Final Pot BN lost and shows a full house, Nines full of Kings.
BB wins and shows a full house, Kings full of Jacks.
BB wins $705.86
Rake is $3.00

Nov. 30, 2018 | 2:11 a.m.

Yeah that makes sense. I was wondering what's going on with regs 3betting to 4.5-6x the open raise size nowadays. It's pretty annoying because I can't really 4bet bluff them when anything much bigger than a min4b would make me pot committed, and a min4bet gives them good odds to see a flop with pretty much anything.

Would it be a good strategy to just call our entire defending range to those huge 3bets? Or maybe min4bet linear?

Nov. 28, 2018 | 5:13 p.m.

Comment | Resolve commented on Specifically Poker

I just moved up to nl200 shorthanded at the start of this month. I've played about 45k hands there so far with 2,5 EV bb/100 and I get over $2000 in rakeback per month so it's unlikely that I'll have to drop down but I want to be one of the best regs at the stake I'm playing. Apart from making more money it would be more fun if I don't have to table select as hard to be +EV and could just start my own tables and play anyone.

The one thing I wish I knew is what is the most efficient way to improve my game. The answer is probably solvers but there are millions of different spots postflop and I have to make a lot of assumptions about peoples ranges + the solutions are like a maze to me with mixed strategies with a lot of hands and a lot doesn't even make sense and I don't know where to start with it.

Nov. 28, 2018 | 4:33 p.m.

BTW, you have to assume one player or the other is a fish as the 3bet
size is sub-optimal. Either OP is not a strong reg and doesn't know
what stronger strategies look like or OP is targeting the CO being a
fish with his small size 3bet.

I just 3bet pot OOP and slightly smaller than pot IP when 100bb deep. For every 20bb that stacks are bigger I add 0,5bb. How big would you have made it and why do you think your sizing is better?

Nov. 28, 2018 | 12:05 p.m.

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