I think when you add in some AQ combos to the above range it becomes a fold. I think its quite tough to come up with enough bluff combos to make this a profitable call. He has a handful of FD combos but I dont think many people are going to rip in enough BW combos to make this a profitable call. We can also have a decent chunk of AK combos ourselves give positions so I would advocate for a fold here
Feb. 7, 2019 | 12:15 p.m.
Hey guys. Im somewhat new to PIO and was just solving a spot where I couldnt really understand why PIO was doing what it was. Maybe someone could help me :)
Situation is pretty simple. 6max 100bb co 3bp vs mp and flop 884r. So this is a spot where I would have considered it standard to simplify and cb range 33%, but looking at the EVs of certain strategies with the ranges I was using, IP actually retains more EV by cbetting range for 66% sizing
EV comparison (Starting pot 16)
Ranges I used
Anyway, the part that really confused was how big a difference there is in OOPs x/r frequency vs IPs flop sizings. PIO check raises way more vs the 66% size, which seems quite counter intuitive to me, as I wouldve thought we want to x/r more vs the small sizing from IP in order to stop them from seeing turn and river for very cheap. Can anyone explain why this is? Here is OOPs strat vs each sizing.
OOP vs IP 33% range cbet
OOP vs IP 66% range cbet
Feb. 7, 2019 | 11:57 a.m.
This is a question i should really know the answer to :D but how do i decide on how many bluff combos i want in my 4bet range?
Lets say im 4betting AA/KK 100% QQ 80%, and then AK combos at a frequency that rounds my total combos out to around 27 combos, how many bluffs do i want to have?
I presume sizing has an impact, so lets just say for example i raise 2.5bb, v 3bets 8bb, and my 4b sizing will be 22bb.
Jan. 28, 2019 | 5:34 p.m.
MP: $75.65 (Hero)
BB wins and shows two pair, Aces and Tens.
BB wins $114.75
Rake is $2.00
Nov. 22, 2018 | 3:14 p.m.
Ye Im not really sure how our cbet strategy should look here when his range is pretty well defined after he cc the open and the squeeze. This board should hit him quite well considering the amount of suited broadways he is likely to have. But then again this is a very good board for the squeezer, which is why I decided to go for this small bet with majority of my range. There is for sure merit in the bigger bet otf imo. It allows us to lower spr and simplify our decisions on later streets, so this could well be the better option.
Nov. 2, 2018 | 11:44 a.m.
Hey guys. As the title says, Ive been on a pretty big downswing over the past few months. I moved up to 50z in June and eventually moved up to 100z in mid July. Everything was going quite well and over the 3 month of June/July/August I managed to have 6 evbb at 50z/100z.
Around the start of September I got a bit of a reality check and went on a pretty sick downswing. I continued to work on my game consistently throughout, and as I continued to lose I dropped back down to 50z.
I have recently been comparing the stats over the two samples, where I was winning 6 evbb/100 and the past two months where i've been losing -4evbb/100. The thing that stood out to me most was the increase in my loss rate(?) in the blinds. I haven't consciously changed much in my game in these positions, so it could just be variance, but the dramatic increase in my loss rate in the blinds seems quite worrying. Another thing that stands out to me is my low WWSF.
I have attached the stars from both samples below, if anyone would be kind enough to give me feedback on them. A few questions I had were 1) Does anything other than my large loss rates in the blinds stand out as a potential leak?
2) Where would you recommend I start when trying to go about decreasing my loss rate in the blinds?
3) Any tips on where to start adding aggression into my game in order to increase my WWSF?
Nov. 1, 2018 | 1:14 p.m.
Without taking his stats into account, I think this is quite an underbluffed spot in general. I agree we have an easy fold with the Qs, especially combined with the general population probably not finding enough bluffs to go along with a perceived value range of 2p+. With regards to calling AK no spade I think it is player dependant and vs the player described in this hand we couldntt fold imo. I dont think we should have any issue building a 3b range on flop considering we have 77/TT/AA, most two pairs, and a number of combo draws to balance.
Oct. 31, 2018 | 12:05 a.m.
SB: $65.33 (Hero)
BN wins and shows a straight, Nine to King.
SB wins $50.00 BN wins $50.00
Rake is $2.00
Oct. 30, 2018 | 11:58 p.m.
WP imo. Really like the flop raise for the reasons you mentioned. Turn is pretty close and I might find a fold but Id imagine call or fold are both fine. Even tho we probably dont have many Kx on turn, id imagine a rec will perceive the K to be good for us so it is kind of strong when he bets imo. Definitely folding river AP.
Oct. 30, 2018 | 8:26 p.m.
I thought about betting small on turn actually, but came to the conclusion that it didn't really make much sense considering I dont have many hands in my range that benefit from this as I am not betting many hands for protection. This led me to believe that I should bet a bigger sizing with a more polar range. But maybe betting small does make sense to fold out his Khigh/Qhigh hands. I think I was probably too worried about getting x/r on turn which puts me in a kind of annoying spot
Oct. 28, 2018 | 6:52 p.m.
Rake is $0.77
Oct. 28, 2018 | 1 p.m.
I like the turn bet and then just going for a small block bet on riv assuming we never induce him to turn some random hand into a bluff with our smallish sizing. I agree with James wrt folding turn vs this min click. It find it very difficult to believe a rec is ever bluffing in this spot or taking this line with a worse hand.
Oct. 26, 2018 | 10:52 p.m.
Hey Paul, great video! I was wondering about your cbet strategy at 2:42 on the AK3 board. My understanding of this spot is that this a board where we want to be using quite a polar cbet strategy with a lot of near pot sized cbets and then checks with middling hands like KJ. I was wondering if you use multiple sizings on a board like this? Thanks
Sept. 29, 2018 | 6:55 p.m.
Nice video Tyler! You said that there was no need to raise 3x in these games. Im not sure what the rake structure is on ignition, but on pokerstars rake isn't paid if the hand ends preflop. I was wondering if it makes sense for us to raise 3x in these games in order to avoid getting flatted as often as we might if we raise 2.5x, therefore pay rake less often?