I am a currently winning 50z player (600K hands database) and am looking for a fellow 50z winner to study the game with. I would like to start analyzing player pool tendencies in a bit more detail which is why I am looking for other 50z players specifically.
100z winners are also welcome for PIO related study.
Nov. 27, 2019 | 12:11 p.m.
The randomness factor of your opponents at 10NL will be far too high to make folding a set on this flop a real option.
You would need a very predictable as well as nitty opponent to be able to fold here. And though they might be nitty, they are not predictable enough. There are still so many hands they can reasonably do this with and only 6 combos of those beat you.
Nov. 22, 2019 | 10:31 a.m.
Kruzer see it as insurance. As with any insurance there are costs involved. In this case its 1% of your EQUITY (not the pot).
If the cost is worth it to you (no one can judge this but you) then go for it. Just realise you are paying for it.
When I was doing the math I came to a cost of about 0.3bb/100 in my database. I got this number by taking all the hands I was all in on and taking my all in EV from them. Take 1% from that number and you have the amount youre paying in total. Turn it into bb, divide by total hands played and multiply by 100 to get the total cost in bb/100
Nov. 21, 2019 | 10:37 a.m.
It seems to me like we just have to flat a 4B with quite a few hands in the SB when 4B by BU. If we don't we either can't 3B very much, have to 5B a lot, or fold way too much to 4Bets.
But it also seems like it is very hard to play a hand like 76s OOP after calling a 4B by BU. Would we prefer hands like KQo for their high card value and the potential to make big pairs?
Or do we just not care enough about defending enough at stakes like 100NL and 200NL?
July 14, 2016 | 12:25 p.m.
I was wondering if anyone knows of a good way to build a notecaddy statistic or note to show how often someone is bluffing when they bet the river. Clearly only hands that went to showdown would apply as we won't know whether they were bluffing or not if opponent folded.
I would like to either import or create a stat/note in HM2 that would do this.
Thanks a lot in advance guys!
July 5, 2016 | 6:52 p.m.
I agree on the WP. I would not bluffcatch river on a blank though. At 10NL (but even at stakes like 50NL) almost no one is bluffing enough to make it worth the call.
Only call the river if you believe you can beat some valuehands or are getting really great pot odds.
May 19, 2016 | 4:34 p.m.
I would be interested in taking advantage of your free trial offer.
May 10, 2016 | 12:55 p.m.
You always have a bottom of your range. Whether that is AA preflop or 72o. Just because the weakest hand you open is +EV doesnt mean youre not at the bottom of your range.
You could open more hands that would be either +EV or breakeven but again that doesnt mean youre not at the bottom of your range.
May 2, 2016 | 8:14 a.m.
I would assume the equilibrium for SB v BB in 6max shows the same traits as HU equilibrium. The situation is almost identical except that the blinds are reversed. (I know this is a big difference, but I would assume the strategies used are the same, only the frequencies change).
April 16, 2016 | 1:46 p.m.
So far I have been either 3Betting or Folding in the SB. I have started thinking about cold calling some hands as my current strategy restricts me a lot. However an issue I see with cold calling is that it is pretty face up, there are only so many hands we would want to cold call in the SB imo meaning our range is pretty narrow (hands like AQ, AJs, KQs, a few other suited broadways and some pairs and SC). It seems very hard to put together a good cold calling range, while at the same time balancing a 3B range.
What are your thoughts on this subject?
April 16, 2016 | 8:16 a.m.
Yeah you have much less implied odds with sets cause people stopped calling down with TP all the time.
Btw what is your sample sizing like guys? You need a SHITLOAD of hands before you can determine whether one hand (or even a group of hands) is profitable.
April 16, 2016 | 8:06 a.m.
I was thinking of discussing with someone (or a couple of players) over skype (sorry should have been more clear) as it is probably a bit quicker and more efficient. Building a strategy is probably too much to do on a forum.
April 15, 2016 | 5:33 p.m.
I was wondering if anyone is up for discussing preflop range construction and the things to consider when building them. Anyone like to help me out (as well as themselves maybe?? :P)?
April 15, 2016 | 2:28 p.m.
Thanks for your reply, that was certainly helpful! So what you are saying is that as mentioned before, QQ already folds on turn. Meaning on the river their range is almost always calling?
If so is this also true for 100bb spots?
Btw I was playing 200NL not too long ago so you could be right about me overthinking this for this particular limit.
April 15, 2016 | 9:35 a.m.
How big is your database Vayne? I think he could be right though, I have seen higher stakes players defend a shitload too.
I also think you may be right about overbluffcatching. It is such an obvious spot to bluff for hero with the K turn (even though it may be bad) that a lot of pplayers do this.
April 14, 2016 | 12:49 p.m.
I did build that alias and I was hoping to confirm my findings with others (or be proven wrong).
While I dont deny there is a lot of value in PIOsolver (I use it a lot) its value depends 100% on the input, aka the ranges of you and your opponent.
It is those ranges that I am trying to find. Once we have those its pretty easy to set up PIOsolver and study on our own. Therefore I do not see much value in discussing PIOsolver outcomes. I guess I differ in that respect.