Williemarto

very well explained Josh. excellent vid.

once in a while Pete you put out a vid that connects with players/students in a way that transends the "standard" instructional vid, imo this is one of them. thank you .

Awesome commentary, one of the best reviews ive seen Pete. looking fw to part 2.

I like the shorter to the point format. the style/content makes a great launchpad into studying the spots further myself.

great vid great way to wrap up the year. all 10 things are enlightening, and having followed you pretty closely last year the "Landing Range" concept has been highly impactful and I would say imo learning to use the rng protocol of defining strat then rolling (if required) as you said really forces one to think in more correct terms and gives a much better overall perspective imo. I appreciate everything you have taught me thank you. ps; the term fold equity ...its not really equity its not calculated on the equity side of the EV calc its a frequency. Don't like MDF either , misleading then there's "over realizing" maybe a new poker dictionary is in order. lol.

I really enjoyed this video, your take on fast fold vs regular tables is interesting. the main reason I wanted to post is to clarify which fold to 3bet stat hero is using on pt4? I play 25-50z on Stars and these fold to 3b stats look very high? is hero using "fold to 3b" (Percentage of the time that a player folded to a 3 Bet on any street in any situation regardless of prior action, given that he had a chance to do so.)
or "Fold to PF 3b after raise" (aka 2bet PF & fold)(Percentage of the time that a player folded to a preflop 3Bet, given that he had previously opened the action and had a chance to do so.) There is quite a diference in these stats and would sugest the Fold to PF 3b after raise to be more accurate?

Great Vid, the Carbon theme looks good. A pretty common thing I hear about MW pots is our solvers arn't much good lol.. I've tried to study MW with Snowie when I had it. (say what you will it's pretty good at MW pots imo). What I would like to see is a HH replayer vid entirely looking at hands played MW. No Solver, just discussion of concepts and ideas to add to our (almost non existent) MW tool kit. for example ... how 3 ranges interact, bet sizing (small on flop even on wet boards?) Can't value bet as thin?, ability to continue? how important is the player to our right?.Turn donks/probes and OB's,.Geometric combined fold frequency.. etc... I don't think it would be an easy vid to make but I would really appreciate a great teacher givin' it a go. Considering the lack of MW study imo means its an edge to be had. Thanks as always!

great vid, I wanted to add that as someone who has studied and (tried to) implemented these sizes it has been largly successfull. using some pretty large sims Sb vs BU 3bp here are some examples of the kinds of flops that I have found applicable. pot is 24bb so 2.4bb is 10%psb ....
I have also found that the BU facing 10%psb on many flops, folds much greater than the math(alpha) . another huristic is continuing on the turn after being called is often another small 25%psb.
thanks really happy to see you looking at this.

" If he checks you realize your 10%. If he bets you likely have to fold, not realizing that equity.

exactly if he checks he has seen all 5 cards and realized 100% of his 10%equity.
obv its easier to get to SD IP as OOP can face a bet.
I am sure were saying the same thing just coming from a different angles. i just dont feel comfortable with insinuating a usable math equation can correlate EV with Equity. Dont get me wrong looking at pot share is a fine tool just cant bide by the term "realization" i think about it more like a combo can return more or less EV than its raw equity. to realize my equity i must get to the river. symantics im sure. i appreciate the descussion Shawn. thank you.

Shawn "If this would be the case then we would not have a single hand below 60% equity realization as all off them have seen a flop. Yet we see some below 60%..

This is what i mean by confusing terminology, Our hand has X amount of raw equity. when we see the flop we realize 60% of our possible full equity (x%) if we get to see the turn we realize 80% of our possible full equity (x%) and when we see the river we have realized 100% of our possible equity (x%) in order to realize our full equity we must be able to get to the river and see SD. Some hands easily realize 100% of there equity buy seeing all 5 cards.
Some, because of thier abililty to continue by betting /raising have a higher pot share than thier raw equity implies. Equity and EV are not correlated , so i end up back at EQR "as calculated" is just a way of saying that some hands have more or less EV than their raw equity may imply.

This leads to looking at a hand and a board with a view of can i get to SD by seeing all 5 cards with my draws and realize my full equity. Thats the equity part. (ie checks down to river EV = EQ ) Now how often the hand has the ability to bet and raise future streets is where the EV is captured , Thats the EV part. Sometimes that EV as a share of the pot is a higer percentage/proportion relative to its raw equity , EV and Equity are not correlated. vicious circle isnt it? the concept that a hand can realize more than 100% of its Equity buy calculating its pot Share which is an EV calculation tries to mathmatically correlate Equity and EV which doesent make a lot of sense imo , Im pretty sure this EQR calc came from PIO and a way to compare the equity of a hand to its EV as a portion of the pot. which is fine as it identifies hands that have more or less of the ability to bet and raise future streets and increase pot share. The high EV hands given the board.

I think equity "realization" in a misnomer imo. when we're ahead (equity part) we want to build a bigger pot (EV part) some hands capture EV better than others relative to thier raw equity .
but theres no real mathamatical corrilation.this EQR is just a way of saying that some hands have more or less EV than their raw equity may imply.

Shawn imo sometimes poker terminology can be confusing and/or misleading. imo the term Equity Realization is one of those terms so i welcome clarification. so imo...

Realization is just how many streets you see. so if you see the flop you’ve seen three of the five cards, if you check back the flop you’re seeing a fourth card if it should go check check again you see a fifth card, so by that definition it means the IP player can realize their equity more easily than the OOP player because they have a decision to end the street by checking back, the OOP player doesn’t get that positional advantage

I think the Equity Realization "as calculated" or EQR is just a way of saying that some hands have more or less EV than their raw equity may imply. Imo the reason some hands have a higher pot share than thier raw equity implies is due to these hands having the ability to continue betting and raising on future streets increasing the size of the pot therefore increasing the EV. This means hands with a higher EV preflop than thier raw equity would imply(over all possible flops) will have different expectations (relative to their raw equity) on diferent flops, which is based on the hands ability to continue betting on future streets. for example a strong hand on a dry board will have and retain the ability to continue betting or raising future streets , While a strong TP on on a wet board can lose its abililty to continue betting on future streets and unable to increase the size of the pot. So our expectations preflop for a hand like AA over all flops can be vastly reduced when a flop comes 987 , Yes one can calculate pot share or EQR on a specific board but again its just a way of saying that some hands have more EV than their raw equity may imply. these hand will always be the ones that have the ability to bet future streets like strong hands and draws (+bluff) . we could say that the ability of a hand to continue betting or raising future streets over all possible runouts says a lot more about its ability to capture EV than its pot share relative to its raw equity. thoughts?

Eldora Josh is a brilliant addition to RiO well done.

Like in the dark. Welcome Josh i am ecstatic to see you here. This is great news!!! looking foward to your content.

Emmit_Seed MisterNick Stars Caption.

Luke Johnson " I mean that the ranges are not going to be as good as they may seem; they are going to stem precisely from the simplifications the user decided to set. So often, the simplifications set are poor."
yes agreed. cheers !

your comment on all ranges being "budget" was interesting, obv. they're a model built off a relatively small game tree , sure, like you said if they were not a simplified model they would require massive amounts of Ram and a couple years to solve lol. I dont beleive any of them are meant to be copied exactly but if studied they build intuition , If I had access to the most accurate preflop ranges available with multiple open, 3 and 4 bet sizes i could never memorize them, but if i studied and practiced i would build intuition. I think great intuition through study is the best us humans can strive for . So having said that it only follows logically that the post flop sims we study are budget too for the same reasons, they are a toy version by definition , i think we build intuition studying them but they too are far from the real thing imo. maybe its your use of the word budget (they're expensive btw) thats awkward Imo Simplified ranges is more accurate and less condescending?
(I highly recomend an older vid by Francesco Lacriola on Essential " A Rational PreFlop Guide" for building preflop intuition. ) Also i got to check out your Like a Boss series and thought it was super good makes me want to upgrade again , however I do think Here at Essential ,presenting Theory and Exploitive as two seperate things and pick one and stick to it is to say the least problematic , i surely dont want to get into this debate but isnt it obv by now they are two sides of the same coin. I'm sure telling a less experienced player to go be exploitive and stick to it without a basic theoretical baseline just doesent work imo. Thanks for doing an Essential Vid

Henry thanks for doing this it was a really great experience. at 6:28 ish i really hated the fold, however though a insignificant sample 47 hands Vil was 11/4/0 3b , just hard to think i'm ahead there , i would call vs any reg. Yes a preflop mistake at 17:00, KThh is 3b or low freq call from CO. at 27:54 that was an odd one very occasionally I go random lol , intuition raise. further to what you said about my play i think ive improved a lot over the past 12 months by organizing my study time more effectively , Tbo at first I tried very hard to record a video to impress you but that went very badly, then i gave up and just recorded a few sessions and picked the most average . your comments where highly informative and encouraging. thank you Cheers!
BTW The title "One Last Time" , creeps me out! like one of us aint gonna be around much longer. part# 2 sounds better imo. lol.

Henry thank you for doing this i am very grateful. so yea at 8:20 ATo is pure open UTG i missed. at 16:50 UTG vs BB srp on 844 i agree small bet is better in this formation on low paired board, in theory i dont think there's any big bets. at 18:00 i found what you said about playing the T9s very interesting, why? because i dont have a cc range in the CO , however i have recently been looking deeper at pre flop node locked sims and vs loose passive opponents this hand is never a fold its even 3b at high freq. I am not really applying pre flop exploites yet i'm trying to map them onto the pop. this first thing ive learned about this is pre flop exploites seem to be more about vs the aggragate table than targeteting a specific player , this is hard but i plan on studying pre flop exploitive play and working on application. at 38:00 in the MW pot def agree too loose the individual fold frequency here is higher than the combined fold frequency so fold here is good. at 40:00 the KTs was uncomfortable i liked and will impliment your "abort the mission" phrase in similar spots. In conclusion, in regard to what you said at the end about feeling stuck at the micros your right its a mix of all those factors plus confidence and plus a BR , i will also add that darkening out the HUD is a recent change that i wish i would have done earlier i feel the less i use it the better i think. Thank you again Henry this really meant a lot to me and its great to hear your thoughts on these spots. I would love to see part 2 but i am biased lol , thank you..

not only do you give us excellent information , and share your spreadsheets, on top of all that effort you take the time to research RiO vids and provide referals to similar concepts. So glad your here.

The value of an essentail sub just increased. That was an excellent!

awesome amazing usefull and informative ... cheers!!! and Thank you .

perfect amout of coffee Pete. i really appreciate the way you map your knowledge of theory onto the pool explaining deviations. very well done.

thanks for this Henry, excellent vid. your efforts are very much appreciated.

Lukich.io (not affiliated in anyway)

Very glad to see you mate! teaching the reality part of the game. cheers.

After catching the teaser on your previous vid i was really looking forward to this one. extreamly useful teachings, Pete, your content reminds me of a very old saying, Better than a thousand days of diligent study is one day with a great teacher. or something like that? cheers and thank you.

Henry , thank you as always for your efforts and the excellent way you communicate your ideas. not 1 of your vids has ever failed to meet expectations. Ive watched them all multiple times and learned a great deal. I am looking forward to another year of great content. cheers mate.

Great vid , at about 2min in you refer to a recent vid you made The Tier System is this yet to be released? or am i missing something? cheers!

excellent vid, this is also a good thought process perspective to have when analyzing a solver output imo ! thanks !!

Great Vid Pete, live in the heat of battle. the 65s hand at like 2min in i agree its mixed but i thought
a small bet on the flop with the hearts unblocking bd's and folding villains AKo and GS's w/o BD as played vs the 1/2pot on the turn i think Villain should have enough KJ,AJ to make it a call getting EV from the branch where river goes xx. def tricky spot. and at 26min the 4bp with AKs vs < 1/2pot is a call imo i was suprised you folded there? looking forward to your upcoming vids for 2021.