vs a tighter CO player I am folding this PF. As played probably still has to a fold, likely need to make 2p+ to win at showdown and is going to be hard to have the best two pair without someone having a better 2p or straight (which is why I just dump this vs a tighter player PF).
July 15, 2015 | 6:03 p.m.
3b is more then fine, probably going to go a head and call the 4b too. Its not a slam dunk, but we are going to have amazing relative position and a small SPR with a hand that plays well multiway.
I doubt that the players behind are going to ship unless they have some slow played weak AA hands however that is so unlikely with your A blocker and the CO player repping AA.
July 15, 2015 | 5:37 p.m.
Pretty sure you should open this nearly 100% of the time on the button. Biggest consideration to not would be the stack sizes and 3b tendencies. As played with the Q pairing on the river I would probably fire a third barrel, however I would check this on the flop since this flop does contain a lot of draws and would hate to get raised.
July 15, 2015 | 4:40 p.m.
Seems like an easy river bet with the hand. Considering how often we are going to have hands of value on the river that we are betting this seems like it should be a must bluff (block second nut flush on a board I expect the NFD to have been x/r a high portion of the time), and blocking JJ for the broad way straight. Also have no show down value
Also not firing river after barreling turn seems criminal. Kind of think that if we are firing turn with this hand and giving up river we are probably not bluffing often on the river (only bluffing Ah, and only those worse then AK?)
Jan. 26, 2015 | 12:15 a.m.
I am pretty torn here. I really think that we should be shipping the to get value. I think that when we check there are not a lot of busted draws or air in his range that he will bet, and he will likely check back worse two pair. The 4 would also make him more two pair hands then it would straights.
Jan. 21, 2015 | 4:14 p.m.
Thanks pokergirlcruz. With time and effort its possible to move up at Stars. Also getting some good learning here on the forums, some decent videos at the essential level to help with the move up.
Jan. 21, 2015 | 3:53 a.m.
Bit harder of a week, I have been fighting a bit of the flu. Volume was down, did little to no reviews, and actually had to bail on the Skype group this week. Also was running pretty bad most of the week, which really started to make it difficult to play my A game. I did very poorly with my pre flop game, and terrible on river play. Part of the problem was adding too many tables. I was trying to increase my hands an hour since my hours where down. This really hurt my win rate, and attitude.
Also there was a few times that I cheated and looked at my results after my sessions. First time was a terrible session where it felt like I did not win any of the 3b or 4b pots. I was actually worried that my tilt breaker was not set up properly since I was sure that my session was worse then -8bis. However after looking I was at -7.5bis. Not a huge victory but a small one none the less.
The next time was after the start of my Sunday. I was hotter then the sun, pretty sure that I won every pot over 200bbs, and had to see where I was. I was at about +13bis for the hour and it felt nice to actually get moving up in the right direction again after a difficult week.
Any how here is the year to date graph. I am still looking like I should be at 100plo for February. Also next week going to get back to playing no more then eight tables and try to get back into more A game poker.
Jan. 21, 2015 | 3:47 a.m.
Pretty good start to the year. I broke my rule of not looking at the cashier when I was up over 2k after the first week. So I decided to take a shot at 500ploz. Played four hands, ran into quads twice (once I had FH blockers and bluffed it off, other time guy hit it on the river after gii on the turn). So I dropped ~$750 of the profits pretty quickly. Grinded back threw the weekend. My hand count is down, had a few problems with HM2 on the first Sunday of the year, so I played only three to six tables at a time, with some MTTs. Managed to ship the $16 PLO MTT for a few hundred and that was a nice little boost.
All in all pretty happy with 2015 so far. I will not be looking at the cashier and graph until next Tuesday when I get an update again.
Unrelated to poker, I have painted the majority of the miniatures for my new Star Wars Imperial Assault board game. They look pretty good, and will be getting some pics up at the blog soon and get a few of the better ones linked here by next Tuesday.
GL on the tables everyone
Jan. 14, 2015 | 6:56 a.m.
So made it to the end of the year. I managed to get supernova status for next year. It was getting close at the end, and I actually had to add some tables, and put in longer hours in order to clear the rake. In the end I am not really sure what kind of mark/grade I would give myself. I really wanted to get in more hands over the last four months, but I had some work come up in October, and running bad every time that I moved up and then let that affect my play and causing me to lose more.
In the end I managed to break through in November and put in a lot of volume at 50plo over December. As I mentioned I probably sacrificed some EV on the tables in order to get of a bunch of time for the holidays, but I think that I am in a pretty good spot to move forward in 2015. I have got a lot of my HUD and note definitions completed. I would still like to put something together that can help me make notes for when I catch people making plays with blocker (either bluffing, calling or checking IP with good bluffing hands). I am not sure how or if this would be possible but it is something that has been rolling around in my mind.
2014 PLO graph, yellow is with rake back from making Supernova.
I think that I am going to spend the month at 50plo and work out some leaks in my game.
Definitely still playing a few too many hands OOP. Also I am still thinking that people are playing wider postflop then I would like, over the first few thousand hands that I have played over 25plo most raises are made hands and the strongest of them, a few people raise draws, but they are most always for value (nutty draws) and a lot less semi bluffing. Now that I have put in a bunch of hands over 25plo and 50plo I would like to look at some more population tendencies and make some more exploitable tendencies.
I have not put a lot of thought forward about my goals for January volume yet but I am thinking that i am going to aim for something similar to December but with about an extra week I should not have to be adding tables and without the end of year deadline looming over my head I can put back in some stop losses and do a better job at quitting sessions.
I think that my biggest goal for the month is going to be getting up a poker journal to keep a better log of my emotions before, during, after poker (did this in the past works well but have really fallen off the rails with it). Also I am going to do my best to not look at the cashier this month. I have my stop losses in place, and I just want to put in the hours to clear VPPs, and get my cash rewards from Stars.
Also as I mentioned before I have a big passion for games in general and in the new year I am going to really focus on blogging and sharing my passion for board games, and miniature games. I find that this is a great hobby away from the tables, and it probably is a way to still work on some tools that I can use at the tables, calculating odds, problem solving, leveling opponents, etc..
I will share some pics of models that I painted and I am going to be running a few games with my friend over Skype and will be adding these to a YouTube channel after and will share that for those who might be interested.
Jan. 3, 2015 | 11:50 p.m.
I am wondering how I should be adjusting my cbet ranges on heavy wet boards as I move up in stakes. At the micros, I would rarely see a x/r >10% from villains on heavy wet boards but I am noting a bit more at 50plo that players are willing to x/r wider hands. I still find that 3b ranges are pretty narrow from most regs so I am starting with a 30% range minus a 4%3bop range.
If I assume that villain is either going to x/r 20% or fold what should I be going with my range here. If he is x/r narrower ~10% and flatting more then. I am kind of curious if we can get a consensus on what we should be doing. I have broken the range into A-D,E is very weak, and F & G are more either blockers or TP+BDFD. The image also shows how often we flop each section of the range and these hands make up about 70% of the PF range..
Vs 20% x/r (Range A & B) should we:
How should we adjust this range if villain is only x/r the range A
Dec. 22, 2014 | 5:58 a.m.
So this hand came up and I was unsure of the best way to proceed on the flop.
I figure that I probably have something like 4% 4b here (a little wider since position/relative position is the nut worse when I flat).
I am really thinking about this hand in two ways. First what is best for our range. As you can see from the link we hit this flop OK with our range, trips or better 15.6% of the time, Over pair + FD 18% of the time, Bare OP 55% of the time, and spade another 4.5% of the time. This makes everything else ~7%.
So from a range situation, do we really need to be shipping all of our hands. If we can get just as many folds with a smaller bet size with our over pairs (the bottom of our range), this seems like the best way to proceed.
Villain is going to miss the board a lot, if we get played back by KK+ and/or ss then we are getting near 45% folds from villain. So since he is going to fold so often do we really need to ship, also doubt that he picks up on us cb/f this board and we are actually rarely cb/f (I think we have one bet size on this board either always GII, or always less).
In a vacuum I have AdAsXdh, I thought that this would be a hands that I might want to check. I could get action from his air and I am WA/WB at the moment. Also villain has a fold to cbet on paired flops of 100%. I have the backdoor nut flush draw so I don't need to worry about the diamonds rolling off am him improving that way. I could get him to check and improve to a hand that has <335% equity on the turn that he commits with (wraps, GS+FD)?
I also think that QQx, JJx flops are probably the best for his 3b range since he will have more bigger broadway cards and think that if we find that betting less and constructing a b/f b.gii range. FWIW the Ev of a shove versus a calling range of KK+,ss is $27.36 so we should be trying to figure if we can perform better then this.
Dec. 11, 2014 | 2:38 a.m.
CO: $72.39 (Hero)
Dec. 11, 2014 | 1:59 a.m.
Jam has got to be profitable here with out reads, also our visibility kind of sucks, and by calling we are setting up a bluff catching spot on turn or river with a near dry side.
Also any card between 5 and J will make a straight, which could give BB better or worse on the turn but enough that he will commit with and put us to a difficult decision.
Dec. 2, 2014 | 11:17 p.m.
Probably checking almost 100% of rivers with this hand/board texture. We block no straight draws flush draws, and we block TTP with our top set. Would be more inclined to value bet worse sets TTP since he will check behind a lot of hands that he would likely call a bet with (A689 for example)
Nov. 27, 2014 | 7:32 p.m.
Yeah pretty sad spot, we have only two nut outs, versus the nuts, and we block no clubs, Q, J, K so I feel like the pot can get out of control and quick. With TT88 I would be tempted to peel this bet but we still need to be cautious with two more players behind.
Nov. 15, 2014 | 3:51 p.m.
I don't think that we can assume that all opens are AA from tight players. So I would 3b a lot of DS KK hands (maybe less if I wanted to bring weaker players behind along). If we get 4b it's a pretty easy fold if his 4b range is exclusively AA hands. Also by 3b preflop we lower the SPR significantly and that will increase the amount of hands that he will stack off with on boards we like (OP+FD).
Nov. 11, 2014 | 2:04 a.m.
Would be tempted to call river with second nut blocker on the river and blocking top set, not sure if anyone has done the math on the spot. I do agree though that we should probably just GII on the turn since we might get outplayed on the river.
Nov. 9, 2014 | 7:01 a.m.
At 5PLO I might be tempted to check to the raiser. I would lead if either the player with the lead checks a lot IP here and the ykt does not get out of line. At 5PLO you can get away with these bet sizes but be cautious in the future. With this bet size you are never bet/folding so you let villains play pretty well, they put you on a range, figure out equity and either go with it or fold. Probably want to have a smaller bet size to either bet/fold. or if you can not bet fold you might want to induce.
Nov. 9, 2014 | 6:57 a.m.
How do you use your joysticks with the xbox remote? I have one set to 5x speed so I can just jump all over the screen quickly and the right stick set really low to move more slower (however over HUD stats). Also there is a big difference between the joystick on an actual 360 remote and a generic one (had a rock candy one and it sucked).
Nov. 5, 2014 | 10:23 p.m.
Yeah I am flatting the 3b all day with this hand, the 4b just bloats the pot against a UTG range who we are 400bbs+ deep with and we are going to play poorly on future streets.
Also we have to be concerned about the leverage and equity in the side pot. Our equity looks like this for the main
and the side pot
You can probably run the math, but this actually might even have been a close fold if we had flatted and let UTG 4b, BN 5b since we are going to have to put in a ton of money into the side pot vs AA. I am not 100% sure how to treat the equity for the mp and the side pot.
GII lose -111 * 58.7% of time
GII win side lose main +88
GII win SP & MP +134
Oct. 4, 2014 | 6:45 p.m.
havent played much myself but might get in more in the new year. This might be of interest to you, i saw it the other day and think i am going to pick up a set. The details of the pieces look pretty good, and I think that it could be a fun take on chess mixing up the piece with random cards.
Sept. 30, 2014 | 12:42 a.m.
Think the flop size line is fine. The board is so dry and if you think that he is going to semi bluff a fair amount of the time we need to just protect our equity. If both players with sitting with an SPR of 3 I would maybe check and give up if it went bet raise sometimes but think that the board misses the tag often (This is pretty well the top of his range that he shows up with other then some random KK33 type hands).
Sept. 17, 2014 | 7:13 p.m.
I probably skip the 3b with this hand against the a decent HJ player here. The problem is that a TAG range here is pretty narrow, and unless you have some strange dynamic going on with him or CO this is about how PF will always play out. Would like the 3b more is the CO had fold because them we could be pushing the pot HU as oppose to MW, however think that we actually gain more by inviting the BB along at this point and try to find one more person to cooler on the flop.
The 3b leaves us on the flop OOP vs two players with an SPR ~3, and HJ whole range is going to play very well against your range in position. As good as this hand looks you are going to have bare OP ~55%, and AA+GS another ~18% (the is a decent equity difference having the GS since we will have some blockers to draws he will play aggressively in 3bp). The rest of our range is going to have amazing equity but now we are talking about <30% of flops and we probably allow him to play near perfect on A high flops which really sucks.
Flop probably comes down on how we expect him to play pair+GS hands or 89TJ. If you expect semibluffs from these then I just b/gii on the flop. With the GS it really helps our over all equity in the situation
Sept. 17, 2014 | 3:36 p.m.
HJ folds, Hero raises to $0.45, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $0.35
Sept. 17, 2014 | 2:47 a.m.
BB: $13.60 (Hero)
HJ calls $0.10, CO folds, BN raises to $0.30, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.05, HJ folds, BN calls $0.75