What about the WSD and call 3bet stats? I think they are relevant in the situation.
I am not sure that we have excellent blockers because you block hands that might fold such as Qx and Jx, while you unblock all the nut flushes and straights. I think having the AhTs would be much better in this regard.
I think AhKx should always 3barrel, here mostly, as we still have the Kh.
Nov. 11, 2018 | 6:49 a.m.
EDIT: Disregard the following :)
The problem I have with this is, that you are telling him exactly what you have, unless you are balancing this a decent amount with AK. So, you are capping your range and make yourself very vulnerable to later streets - Not loving the situation.
Nov. 10, 2018 | 2:47 a.m.
If we want to do explotaible plays, don't we need some pop tendencies or villain specific stats to base that on?
If we are to assume. I think a set is almost always raising your small cbet on the flop, so the only hands that beat you to me are two pair from suited aces which are around 5 combos. However, I have seen this line with a medium strength like AJ and even TT.
Another thing is that it's an Ace which you are to bluff very often I guess, so the thing goes - you have a lot of air (assuming cbetting range otf) that wants to rep the A, and a small raise is profitable with almost ATC.
Nov. 9, 2018 | 8:05 p.m.
You can squeeze larger pre given that you are deep.
On this types of boards, that deep, I think you are much better off being very very passive with one-pair hand. If you think about it, every suited connector or pocket pair has you beat on the river.
Nov. 9, 2018 | 8:24 a.m.
I don't know if that counts as professional, but I was curious about the spot myself, so I ran a couple of PIO sims to "justify" my intuition that it was a good play.
With somewhat standard input ranges (assuming you would not have QQ and JJ as those would be 4bet mostly preflop.), it seems that with Ad3d you would have more than 55% equity vs the checking range which seems like a clear candidate for betting.
After the min x/r you still should have around 47% equity and about 44% against his shove-calling range. The loss of equity is not that high which is more than offset by the gain of 30-35% fold equity.
Nov. 7, 2018 | 11:28 p.m.
It's not as if you have played 100k hands.
I would suggest you start doing some database analysis and look for spots where your winrate is very negative and focus on them. For example, cold call from MP, calling 3bets oop, ip etc. You can pay a coach to help you or use the videos here on RIO to get a feel for how to do it. I don't think it's a skill you can do without in 2018. There is a dedicated playlist in the Learning Paths.
Nov. 2, 2018 | 4:43 p.m.
I would rather start 2 -tabling with 40 BI at 5NL. Focus on thought process, spots, hud use -> Prove my winrate there over say 50k-100k sample and then move up. You can become the bankroll nit gradually when you are moving up stakes as your winrate decreases and your swings become non-trivial. 50 BI - NL10, 60 BI NL25, etc.
Oct. 26, 2018 | 7:04 p.m.
I agree with your post, Eldora, just wanted to extend it a little bit.
Not beating the games does not mean you are not playing very well. For example, you can be -2bb/100 in a tough 10bb/100 rake environment, where the average reg is losing -6bb/100. So be proud to be a -2bb/100 "loser" since you are beating a good chunk of the regs. If you want to, however, make money and not just be a good player, you need to a) find better environment, b) find better rakeback deals and of course c) improve further.
Oct. 26, 2018 | 2:47 p.m.
Thanks for the encouragement. I appreciate it!
Regarding the studies part - I think this is actually hurting more in downswing times because I come to new conclusions, new game plays etc which I am not fully confident to start applying and introduce more doubt in my thought processes.
What really shook me was another downswing I recently had (I posted in another thread) - 25BI (13 BI under EV) for 5k hands. I had no doubt about almost any of the hands. Minimal to no tilt during the sessions. So this illuminated the fact that you can lose 25% of your bankroll in a day just due to variance. This is a chilling conclusion to come to.