Just call down most runnouts and depending on sizing. Villain is a weaker player most likely given stack size so can show up with all sorts with this line. Also think i would prefer a smaller size on this flop multiway
Jan. 21, 2019 | 7:11 p.m.
When you bet the flop you should have a plan for later streets and also consider your range. You don't have many hands that want to bet 3 streets for value so checking full range in this spot makes sense and makes your range easier to play on future streets. Also with your sizing, you don't get more fold equity with your bluffs and you fold out hands that you crush so it doesn't make sense. If you're betting (which I probably wouldn't suggest anyway) a smaller sizing works better for your range
Jan. 21, 2019 | 7:08 p.m.
54dd has a bit too much equity to be X/r here imo. If you had a hand like A2hh or K2 I could get behind this more. Also his sizing isn't so small that you should have a huge X/r range, maybe if he makes it 1/3pot on the flop this becomes more acceptable. Ripping it in isn't a mistake most likely but your reasoning for doing it is questionable - you say that villain might think you're raising him light but this automatically assumes that villain is operating from that level of thinking which most likely is not the case
Jan. 21, 2019 | 7:05 p.m.
Would just call the flop raise and go from there. It's a bit hard for him to have bluffs when you have the Ah but you can never exclude random button clicking and Vs those players I prefer to keep their ranges wider instead of shoving and isolating against a stronger range. Getting it in is probably fine too though
Jan. 21, 2019 | 2:56 p.m.
Imo you shouldn't really have ended up on this river in the first place as flop is a clear fold facing this action. Also as said above, I would be looking to check this flop very often and your sizing when betting is way too large. You say you have better odds when BB cold calls the raise but that just means that there is one more player with a strong range and you have very little outs to improve. River I'd either check or block bet as you still get raised by boats and he might fold a flush Vs this sizing. As played there's no way getting away from it, you have top boat
Jan. 21, 2019 | 2:49 p.m.
Would bet larger on the turn for sure and river isnt great but prefer block bet/fold as he's never folding a flush and will probably only raise Kx. Not too many random air floats either on the turn that will bluff raise as most of them are likely A high that will mostly call or fold.
Jan. 21, 2019 | 12:17 p.m.
Tbh I think I'd prefer just to check back the flop, especially 3 way. You say SBs continuing range is strong after calling flop but you try and bluff him off this strong range at a limit where people love to just call down so theres some inconsistencies in your thought process.
Jan. 19, 2019 | 6:30 p.m.
Mid month update and thoughts on mindset
Posting a mid month update really just to vent more than anything. Month has been quite swingy so far. Dropped a quite a few buyins over the past week and although there were some coolers and set ups, definitely was a large chunk of poor play and spew. For a couple of sessions, I stayed on far longer than I usually do and played 3 tables (normally play 2 tables for max 30 mins at a time) and think my play definitely deteriorated. Because of all this, ended up dropping down a limit to try and regain some confidence and try and put some focus back to playing solid.
To be honest, I think I was feeling quite burnt out and looking through HEM, I don’t think I’ve been having enough days off from the tables. Downswings also bring out some of the negative thoughts that are masked when we are upswinging, such as doubts whether we are playing solidly and whether we are even winning at all. I’ve been trying to challenge these thoughts but also need to accept that this is all a learning process and even if I’m not winning, that’s OK too and is why I’m working on fixing some of my leaks.
So plan is to take a small break, consolidate some of the studying I’ve been doing and come back with a fresh mindset in a few days. GL
Jan. 17, 2019 | 12:45 p.m.
Don't think raising makes much sense with your range as you don't have nut or equity advantage and you rep very narrow. Would probably just opt to pure call, especially vs this sizing unless you know that he only uses this sizing with value, in which case shoving seems OK to stack him before the board gets too wet.
Jan. 8, 2019 | 9:26 p.m.
Just raise the flop because hes cbetting mw so his range should be stronger and therefore less likely to fold. As played would probably bet a bit larger on the turn and calling the x/r to hit a boat . Seems quite optimistic on the river to assume he's x/r AcX into a range that is quite strong. I don't think this line gets bluffed too often either and this guy is a tight reg. You also get here with a lot of flushes so wouldn't mind just folding this hand although it is exploitable (but you're also exploiting population underbluffing this spot)
Jan. 6, 2019 | 1:56 p.m.
You're not that high up in your range depending on your cbet strategy. You're going to have two pairs, sets and flush draws which all make better calls than this so this looks like a pretty easy fold on the turn.
Jan. 3, 2019 | 11:43 a.m.
Don't really like the idea of range betting this flop as you don't have nut advantage and equity advantage isn't going to be huge. Cbet is fine but sizing up. Turn would either bet or x/sh. You get middling pairs to fold and have plenty of equity when called. You also block villains strongest Tx. Would also expect villain to be slightly capped as hes probably raising a lot of sets on the flop. Can X/sh with some overpairs and 7x too. X/c is probably ok but seems a bit weak.
Jan. 3, 2019 | 11:38 a.m.
Think betting smaller on flop might be better as keep his range wider and can check back turns to realise quity. Betting big on the flop also makes the turn spr quite weird if he calls. Not sure but checking back might also be fine 3 way so don't really think the EV between all 3 options will be that different when you flop so strong
Jan. 2, 2019 | 3:17 p.m.
2019 and onwards
Wrapping up another year and there’s a lot to think about poker-wise. Looking back, I started the year with the aim of trying to move up in stakes and to improve my game. To those ends, I feel as though I’ve achieved what I set out to do and have definitely put in a decent amount of study. On reflection though, things could have been better and I feel as though there are some areas of my game where I am leaking heavily. Graph for December:
Just looking at the past month for example, I found at least 7 buyins worth of pure spew where I didn’t consider my whole range and was being way too assumptive in my thinking. This is the sort of thing I’m keen to cut out of my game and to do that I’m going to be putting a lot of effort into playing my A game and not going into autopilot. I would like this year to be one I can look back and say I’ve given my best into trying to get better and if things don’t go to plan then I’ll find a way to overcome that. The fear of failure is something that’s constantly plagued me, not only in poker but my own life and sometimes by holding something back, there is less disappointment when we don’t hit our goals.
This year, I’d like to set myself goals that I believe are possible but also challenging. The reason I started playing poker was because it was fun and I liked the learning curve so keeping it enjoyable is key.
Goals for the year
1. Put aside dedicated time to study every week and vary study schedule enough to break through plateaus
2. Aim to have a few days off every now and then to consolidate and to avoid burnout
3. Aim to be playing 200z by the end of the year
Thanks and best of luck for 2019
Jan. 1, 2019 | 10:19 p.m.
Sorry I misread the hand when I replied before. If we 4bet and he calls, we have more overpairs and QQ in our range. Villains range is also more capped and quite well defined so we can get away just betting range for a small size to simplify things,
Dec. 29, 2018 | 8:58 p.m.
flat 3b will likely be better than 4betting if villain is this tight. If he's wider pre then 4betting becomes more attractive as we'll have more fold equity and we deny villain equity with the weaker parts of his 3betting range.
Dec. 29, 2018 | 8:55 p.m.
4betting this small is giving villain way too good a price. Vs someone on the tighter side, I'd just flat this pre and get in QQ+/AK. Flop you can cbet range for a small sizing and hope to x down on this runnout. River is whatever but this is a card that probably isnt getting overbluffed on and villain doesnt have too many air floats on the turn other than AK and JTs (which you block).
Dec. 28, 2018 | 12:45 p.m.
agree that sq should be a touch bigger. Also I think your cbet sizing is too big, especially being deep. Vs x/r, think you should just call and hope to showdown. The minraise is a line used mostly by recs so you have to include the random factor that he could be showing up with all sorts.
Dec. 28, 2018 | 12:37 p.m.
folding flop is seems like the standard play without a club and even with a club its probably close to breakeven. You're actually quite low in your range and even random overcards have a good amount of equity vs your hand. Have a look at his cbet turn frequency though because if hes cbet happy on the flop and gives up a lot on the turn then calling one street is more OK. Definitely just fold turn though as played.
Dec. 24, 2018 | 10:37 a.m.
Dec. 21, 2018 | 6:04 p.m.
The way i see it is your range is perceived to be very capped after calling flop so it is easy for villain to be overbluffing this spot. It is quite assumptive to say that villain is going to be going for x/r on this turn very often after leading flop as would expect the most common play to be betting turn with his straights. Also he has a ton hands on this river like Tx and 6x that were trying to lead flop for a cheap turn that he can turn into bluff. And then you include his stats as being very laggy so I'd be calling.
Dec. 20, 2018 | 11:19 p.m.
SB: $75.27 (Hero)
Dec. 20, 2018 | 6:09 p.m.
BB: $56.47 (Hero)
Dec. 20, 2018 | 6 p.m.
That does make sense in that IPs betting range will be more polarised and therefore favour the larger sizing on the higher boards. On lower boards IP can be betting merged and also getting called wider so smaller sizing makes sense.
Regarding the bet sizings, you just need to put a comma after each sizing. I just copied what I saw from the PIO vids and it worked lol