BBB should cbet whole range and choose the smaller sizing on this slightly higher than average board for OOP.
OTT: I don't think that he is allowed to bet that sizing with under pairs like QQ and JJ where he should mainly bet 30% there with these combos.
If we look at how we should play our pairs in OOP shoes, betting 30% with close to 100% freq with QQ and lower after that, JJ around 70% of the time, TT around 33% of the time and checking any pair below that (88-77-55) seems a fine strategy.
TPs are allowed with the sizing BBB choose with high freq and the lower the kicker, the lower our bet size. For instance, KQ chooses the big bet almost always where KTs plays a mix of big bet and small which is totally logic.
OOP has a decent amount of good Kx due to offsuit combinations in his range, all of them beating K8hh. The double barrel turn bluffs region contain some kind of K blocker like AQ and AJ combos or the region aound 6x like 65, 76. Ultimately, he is allowed to add some Qx bluffs that have at least a GS like QJs or QTs.
OTR: Surprising that all Kx for IP are calling the river jam as well as hands like A9s. I guess blocking AA and AK has some merits. OOP bluff region has some T8s, T7s and 87s as well as missed nut FD like A5dd, A3dd. His bluffs seemed quite thin which made me usually fold the K low kickers in that spot.
Just thought analyzing this spot would be interesting for some ;)
Dec. 29, 2019 | 10:21 a.m.
Hey Ben! As always... your videos feel like Xmas :)
@ 6:06: 99 hand on QT6 flop
High EV flop for OOP who likes to bet 1/3 with pretty much whole range here.
OTT, If i'm not mistaken a J, K or A are the best cards for OOP. Here you seem to say that 99 is an easy x OTT. Are we not supposed to x with high freq 55, 77 and 88 and bet 99 with more than 60% freq in this spot considering IP never has AK + obvious blockers/outs situation?
As played, IP should choose the bigger sizing quite often, his bluffs being mainly Kx and 9x, especially the lower Kx (K2s, K5s), but higher 9x combos like A9o.
I also wonder if we are not supposed to mix in a raise with 99 OTT about 25% of the time considering we block K9, Q9, 98.
Betting 75% PSB turn about 66% of the time with 99 here seems alright to me. Am I missing something? Then, if IP bets 75% pot OTR, turning 99 into bluff with 4x raise seems fine as well.
Dec. 28, 2019 | 5:31 p.m.
Hey Antonio, I think this kind of video is the best way to improve. Really good format.
Thank you for this. Looking forward to more videos like this!
Nov. 27, 2019 | 9:28 a.m.
I think we have enough hands that x/r with a better EV like the open enders T7, 87, 53 or the GS type hands that still have a higher ev than Q8 (T8, T7, 85, 52, 32). I think that its important to unblock broadway type hands in CO range on low boards like this one. x/r A4, A6 type hands is alright i think as it is nice to be able to make 2 pairs OTT creating some kind of setups vs AK, AQ, AJ that decided to float. Also kind of nice to be able to turn trips.
Hope Saulo won't find me offensive trying to help answering :)
Hope that helped.
Oct. 27, 2019 | 2:45 p.m.
36 min QQ hand:
I don't think that developing an overbet strategy on this wet board that does not favor any range makes sense here. CO has a slight rng advantage due to overpairs that BB is not supposed to have but thats about it. BB has all sets (less combos of TTs but still has some)... depends how he constructs his defending range. BB also has less top pair here but thats about it really. All sets are in both ranges. BB has slightly more 2 pairs type hands though. What I mean by that is that CO not having a rng or nuts adv should not allow him to have an effective overbet strategy here.
33% PSB CB seems the correct play here with close to 100% rng.
If we decide to overbet this Flop, hands like QJs and QTs are supposed to x/r us aggressively but here we block those which is a concern. We also block possible floats like KQ... It looks like this sizing helps BB play an easier strategy and responds well to our bet size.
OTT 3h: Clearly a better card for bb rng. QQ does not need as much protection as OTF. Our range should be played with a high frequency check. QQ or KK included.
Oct. 15, 2019 | 11:33 a.m.
Hey Saulo, very nice video format, great pace, great content...
29:25 min CO: T8dd in 3b pot vs. BTN
You have a massive range disadvantage on this K53dsd board and a small nuts advantage as BTN is not supposed to have all combos of 55 and 33s in his range.
CO range contains way too many medium strength hands like medium connectors, under pairs and suited Broadways and not enough enough clear value combos to be able to justify x/ring all out FD. T8dd works better as a call here. If we start raising this kind of FD, we end up with too many bluffing combos. Hands like A5dd, A4dd are a clear x/r, and its fine to include the nut type FD. Simply x/c ing the medium type FD seems like the best play here. Other bluff candidates that show a better EV are hands like 76dd or 54dd for obv reasons.
A x/r OTF strategy on these K high boards with 2 low cards with FD =>
1/ x/r nut flush draws with a decent frequency but not always to be able to have some nut flushes OTT and protect your x range.
2/ Choose FD combos that connect with the lower cards OTF and can turn SD or GS as well like 76dd, 54dd, 65dd
3/ x/c medium strength FD like T8dd
Let me know what your thoughts are please.
Again, your videos are very valuable to the community!
Oct. 15, 2019 | 10:42 a.m.
on that flop, OOP player has a clear range advantage due to all the overpairs we very rarely have. sb has close to twice the equity... He is not supposed to have trips 55 most of the time but all other sets, as well as 2 pairs and all the broadways that form Top pair decent kicker. Against sb 3b range TT has roughly close to 85% equity...
sb value range: TT/JJ/JT/QQ/KK/AA/AJ/KJ with BDFD
These needs to bet in conjunction with our bluffs being low suited Aces & small suited connectors with BDFD
I understand that sb likes to bet bigger because of range advantage. However, this flop should not treated equally with AK2r for instance where CO never has AA/KK or AK or just very small portion. His sizing indicates drawy type of hands...
sb checking range includes medium type hands like AT/KT/QT/QJ/77/88/99/J9/T9
sb cbets this board close to 50% of the time.
once sb cbet 66 or 70% size on this flop, and considering how hard this flop hits sb range as well the amount of draws, a decent strategy could insist in jamming (which is the higher ev play) JJ/TT/ JT/ 55 for value as well as our bluffs 98 with bdfd/KQs
on this flop, we shouldnt really have a cbet calling range. Hands like KTs are only slightly +ev. A hand like QQ is a -ev call vs sb cbet sizing due to blockers to his AQ/KQ type of hands.
Great card for sb who should be betting this turn with close to a 100% range.
Once you call flop with TT in this spot, calling turns or jamming should not matter with that stack to pot ratio OTR left. TT cannot fold that river vs that size anyway.
Hope that helps.