Pre is good. Objectively speaking... :)
May 7, 2014 | 11:41 p.m.
I'm not a fan of the 1 betsize camp. Due to the handcuffing nature of this spot for villain (this board smashes your tight 3b range making it almost suicidal to bluffraise/lightshove) betting small (1/3 or less) with some hands that can't get it in will work quite well and can be balanced with the type of hand that you have + some other potential negative implied odds generating hands. Now, it's hard to calculate the EV of checking back so alot of the marginal hands might, as you said, work better to check back but I do think that in this particular spot you are burning money bet/folding too large. Bet big with the rest.
Just to clarify, when you bet small what usually happens is that you induce more lightshoves/bluffraises and widen your opponents callrange. In this particular spot i think you only widen villains callrange which means that alot of marginal hands will play out quite well for you, probably making the EV higher than checking back/betting large. /jedi
Dec. 10, 2013 | 2:54 p.m.
SB: jedimaster82: $2867.75
jedimaster82 raises to $40, w00ki3z. raises to $120, jedimaster82 calls $80
May 27, 2013 | 12:42 p.m.
Good video, Tom! Just a side note: In the first hand (KK9xr), I don't think you should snap-decide to check fold as KK9 is one of the best hands to bluffraise with on that board since you are blocking both AK and A9. And if called, you should have 4 outs, maybe 7. It is also a board, as you mentioned, that people tend to always steal as pf aggressor and often have a linear cbeting range (meaning people usually will bet even their bad Axxx which puts them in a tough spot when raised). I think I would bet 10 points of my daughters IQ that it is a profitable bluffraise vs an unknown. /jedi
May 15, 2013 | 11:39 a.m.
April 2, 2013 | 12:54 p.m.
April 2, 2013 | 12:31 p.m.
Feb. 26, 2013 | 3 p.m.
I take issue with this particular advising because I have seen it before and don't agree with it and it is dangerous to be so absolute in game that is so complex. Also, if you are a small stakes plo player wanting to progress up the stakes, as you mentioned, only learning to play an ABC strategy is not the way to go (IMO).
Feb. 24, 2013 | 12:28 a.m.
Then you have the non-believer type of stations that herocall a ton because they hate getting bluffed or run over or have it in their game as an overall strategy. These players exist all the way up to the highest stakes (even within this category there alot of subgroups). Take Oddsen for example. He is not the most fold-happy guy but does this mean I should stop bluffing him? If I did, it would be christmas for him every time we play (it probably is already). Since he is smart (allthough unbelievably retarded) he will notice that I become unbalanced and my bankroll will move to Norway... A proper adjustment to these players is rather to valuebet lighter and maybe cut down an inch on your bluffing but keeping your bluff-to-valubet ratio balanced instead of just stop bluffing.
Also, there are plenty of situations where bluffing a station is more profitable than bluffing a non station since their range is alot weaker in many spots.
Feb. 23, 2013 | 9 p.m.
Feb. 6, 2013 | 9:31 a.m.
Benefits of flatting (if my handreading is correct):
* we get more value when he is bluffing
* we can bluff any 78QK (and possibly hearts)
* loose slightly less vs a set
* strengthens our turn callrange
* I think we play the river better than him
* Win less vs. worse 2pairs (this might mean alot)
* something I'm missing
So, I think by calling we do alot better against his sets, bluffs, and 109xx and we do worse against his inferior 2pairs.
Dec. 31, 2012 | 2:42 a.m.
This is a spot from a match I played recently vs a good aggressive/creative player and has left me with uncertainty
about the best play on the turn. I think folding is out of the question but there are some good arguments for both calling and shipping. I have a decent amount of thoughts about this hand but I want some other opinions before I post them to see if I missed something.
Full Tilt Poker Game #31735668853: Table Williams (heads up) - $25/$50 - Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 20:51:40 ET - 2012/12/25
Seat 1: HERO ($10,658.25)
Seat 2: VILLAIN ($14,828)
VILLAIN posts the small blind of $25
HERO posts the big blind of $50
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [Jc 9c Tc Jd]
VILLAIN raises to $100
HERO raises to $300
VILLAIN calls $200
*** FLOP *** [Td 4s 9h] (Total Pot: $600, 2 Players)
HERO has 15 seconds left to act
HERO bets $410
VILLAIN raises to $1,050
HERO calls $640
*** TURN *** [Td 4s 9h] [2h] (Total Pot: $2,700, 2 Players)
VILLAIN has 15 seconds left to act
VILLAIN bets $2,150
HERO has 15 seconds left to act
HERO has requested TIME
(I tried to run it through the converter but failed, sry)