lospengin

Is there a board we don't gii with with this hand and an spr less than 1? Maybe red 567?

Based on your blinds 3 betting it looks like you're 3 betting all your AAXX oop. This may not be the case, so disregard this if it isnt, but it's better to flat your rainbow aces and some of the less connected ss aces oop especially in multi way pots.

Haven't poured over the numbers much but your c bet and turn c bet stats jump out to me. You're c betting too high and you're checking back turns ip and barreling oop. Barreling IP when flush cards board pairs and blanks roll off is pretty effective. A lot of people peel with naked top pairs and weak draws that will fold when they don't improve on the turn. Of course this is situational but it works well.

The 3 bet isn't bad. We do have to fold to a 4 bet, but the opponent seems reasonably tight so it's not a huge worry.

We need to bet this flop unless we have a good reason not to, and we don't. We get so many folds from a c bet. We need to bet this turn if we get checked to twice because we again are going to take this pot down very often. The river is the closest decision. I think it's a fold though. I don't think people are bluffing potsized in this spot very often.

I think you're right about turn donks being strong but our hand seems too strong to fold to one bet IP. Snap fold the river.

I know we have a wide Co range but this open seems loose to me. This is not a good hand. Maybe I'm being too nitty though.

It seems like he has a draw the way the action went. Spades is the most likely draw considering his 3 bet range is weighted towards high cards. If he has spades, after the ace comes a k high flush seems most likely because of the high card situation.

Seems like you get value from exactly j10 and j9 of spades and sometimes a stubborn AA and get owned the rest of the time. Best to check back like a nit I think.

Seems WP to me. We block all sets and I think we can include some kk and really raggy AA in his range. I think we are usually up against a 910J type hand in this spot.

I would definitely check his c/r frequency if I had any kind of a sample vs him and fold if it was very low, but would shove as standard.

I don't barrel the river. So many straights hit, plus we block hearts which is a big part of the range that he would call twice streets and fold river.

I think it's WP. He does have a strong range but it's pretty weak to fold to one barrel ip with a straight and fd. He could have 2 pair and NFD or a set or the same straight and we are free rolling diamond. Just too much to give up to 1 bet.

I'm shocked you have a UTG min raising range. What else is in it?

To be clear I would donk my entire continuing range here.
Also the only draw is 345 which is the only hand I might c/c but I still think leading is better.

I think pre and otf play are correct.

Ott I like to c/c because none of the outcomes of us betting a very good. If we bet he either folds a hand that has probably some, but not a ton of equity vs us, which is a mediocre result (best thing that can happen here is he folds a naked queen). He flats and probably has a ton of equity vs us with a Kqj type hand. Or he bombs and we hate life.

As played I think he is never bluffing here and has a set, usually queens almost all the time. Best we can hope for is Q10 so our 2s areally still live. Then it becomes a math problem and a fold.

I think flop is a perfect spot to donk/fold for about half pot. Then b/F again On The Turn If He Flats On The flop. I think you analyzed this hand correctly and I don't think he has enough draws on the turn for you to get your money in with much equity very often.

I agree with b/f turn. Against a weak loose player I think he calls flop with AJXX and then barrels turn when checked to but calls a bet and only raises with a full. We can then c/f river because I think he checks back all the hands we beat and only barrels bigger boats.

This sizing would make me want to call so bad with no reads and if I did call and was beat I'd make sure to note that he value bet half pot.

Looks perfect to me. You get so many folds in this spot I think this is the highest EV way to play the hand.

As long as there was a plan! =D

like 3 betting these aces IP. Our button 3bet vs CO open should be pretty high, and should include all aces to balance out our crappier holdings.

That being said I like raising OTF. If we are gonna disguise our AAxx we might as well use the deception when an ace comes.

In game I probably always call but I think its a clear fold. Fish usually aren't sophisticated to try this with JJ or 1010 blockers, an QJ10 makes all the sense.

I was at a table just like this yesterday. It's very exploitable but at tables with more than 1 maniac I only open raise my 4 betting range and limp the rest of my range so I don't end up in bloated multi way pots.

That being said I think we should 4 bet gii with the two fish and hope UTG folds his rundown heavy range. Our range dominates theirs and if we can get UTGs the 20 BBs in then fold we are in extra good shape.

QQ and Q7 make a lot of sense for you to have in this spot. And if he is worried that maybe you are bluffing, the larger sizing should dissuade him much better than smaller.

I agree with the bet sizing. I think we are pretty polarized in this spot, and when people should be polarized and bet small alarm bells go off in my head that they are bluffing. I think this is a good spot for a bluff, and if we are gonna bluff it should be near pot.

The only hands that make sense are nut flushes and nut flush blockers. I don't think we can ignore AhAxx in his flop c betting range that contain nut flush blockers if he's c betting 73%.

Even still I think it's a fold. WP.

Leading river is better than trying to c/r. I think he checks back all his hands with any showdown value and continues with only his air.

I know we have this board crushed, but I like to checkraise the flop and see if we can't get the villain to get stubborn with a big pair. c/c c/c lead is a strong line that will never get raised, c/c c/r is even stronger and I think we make the villain fold everything he holds. People don't expect you to play quads straight forward. Checkraising less than pot looks like youre just trying to pick up the pot on a dry board.

WP. I think ott we can bet bigger. We almost always have the best hand right now and there are a lot of draws we can get value from.

Good job figuring out the river.

I agree with ephedrine. We want to be pretty tight pre from the SB playing high equity concentration hands. This hands equity is very spread and it gives us these exact type of problems.

As played: I think exactly correct post flop.

I can't see myself folding this for 1 not potsized bet. I think we need to call here. If the button squeezes that sucks and we have to fold but he is folding most of the time and then we have position the rest of the hand. Sometimes we are in bad shape but we can't be scared of monsters under the bed. SB can donk here with a pretty wide value and semi Bluff range.

I think this is a leak of mine. I always b/gii in these spots but i think you are right that folding is best. Very interesting...

You're right, I wasn't considering what the SPR would be, just villains tendencies to bet pot with hands that have strong nut potential but need protection like AcXcxx. So I guess we b/f to any size?

Fold pre. We want to be really tight UTG and the 5 dangler just weakens this hand too much.

As played I think I bet call vs anything but potsized bet and probably bet fold to potsized. This is a pretty tough spot and it needs to be played cautiously. That being said we need to put some money into the pot to protect our equity against this many opponents. J9 J8 KJ 10xxx etc all have decent equity and we can get some of that to fold

With these hands I think he checks back the turn usually trying to fill up. I don't think villains bet twice with sets in this spot often at all.