
props101
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Howdy grinders,
I'm studying maximum exploitative river play.
I used a spreadsheet to compare the EV of checking versus betting for different equity values / bet sizes. I then ran a bunch of trials to determine the minimum req fold % (salmon coloured cells) for betting to be better then checking, based on different pot equities (yellow) and bet sizes (green). I've attached a screenshot for reference.
For simplicity let's say we're HU on the river and villain checks to us. We can either check or bet. Any bet will be all in, regardless of which size we choose.
My question: am i able the infer the following from the spreadsheet?:
- max exploitative river play (assume we have 1 PSB in effectives and we can only jam or check) goes something like:
1: value bet all hands with >50% equity
2: for hands <50% equity, if req. FF based on our holdings' pot equity (furthest right column) is exceeded, then bet - otherwise check. e.g.,:
-bet all hands w/40% equity IF villain folds 70%+, otherwise check
-bet all hands w/30% equity IF villain folds 65%+, otherwise check
Very grateful for any feedback I receive!! :)