Posting this HH for a friend so forgive me if I'm light on details.
Day 2 of 2, down to the final two tables. Top heavy payout structure with about $25k to first and current payout about $1500.
Level 6k/12k with 12k BB ante
Hero in BB with ~350k holding ATs
CO opens to 26k
BU flats 26k
Let's assume they both have similar or covering stacks since I don't know for sure. I do know from experience that stacks are usually pretty tight at this stage in these events. CL might top out around 100bb but probably more like 60bb and many people in the 15-30bb range.
It looks like a juicy spot to 3bet jam but I'm not sure. Clearly want to 3bet/GII with better aces like AQ+ but what about AT and AJ? I feel like AT and AJ (both suited or non) are too strong to 3bet/Fold and too weak to 3bet/GII. Do these hands therefore become 3bet jam candidates?
Reasons I think it's a good squeeze spot:
-Opener will be wide on average
-Caller will be more narrow but folding a lot (looks like small-mid PPs and suited broadways in general)
-Fold equity given we're just under 30bbs
-Increase stack by ~ 23% if it gets through
-Also considering we are 8 handed (with BBA) at the final two tables, we should probably lean towards being more aggressive than passive.
Thoughts? ATs just seems borderline to me since it's a hand we want to see a flop with. I just think this jam will get through often enough and the few times it doesn't we still have ~30% equity vs anything that calls.
July 30, 2019 | 10:35 p.m.
Multi-flight event, 500 runners in this flight, top 60 advance to day 2 ITM. 61 left and this is the first hand of hand-for-hand play. Stacks are very shallow as the structure was fast.
Level: 20k/40k - 40kbb ante
Hero starts with 400k before posting in BB
UTG min opens to 80k (table big stack of about 1.2m)
Button jams about 750k (a few hands prior he just lost half his stack doubling a shorty)
Hero in BB with AKo
So I have 9bbs effective here and in most bubble spots like this I'm never folding. One consideration, however, is that blinds on Day 2 roll back to the earliest level finished in out of the 6 flights. So in this case blinds will roll back to 15k/25k - 25k.
People have been busting at warp speed and the field is still VERY soft. Is it ridiculous to consider folding here to try and squeak into the money/Day 2 with 12bbs (since blinds are rolling back)? The min-cash doesn't mean much to me FWIW.
March 17, 2019 | 2:10 p.m.
3rd or 4th level so very early. 25k starting stack, most at table have between 18-30k at this time. Villain seems decent and aggro. Maybe a touch loose. Table is pretty soft overall and he seems like one of the few decent players.
Blinds antes- 100/200 with 200 BB ante. Hero effective stack at ~23k.
Villain opens MP to 700
Folds to Hero in BB with AA 3bet to 1800
Flop Q99r (Pot ~4k)
Hero cbets 2k and villain calls.
Turn Tx (Pot ~8k)
River Jx. (Pot ~17k)
Thoughts on all decisions appreciated. As played this is an easy fold OTR imo so not much to discuss there. I doubt he's turning something worse into a bluff (QJ, QT, JT). I'm thinking my 3bet should be a little bigger (2100-2800) and then maybe want to start with a check OTF?
March 11, 2019 | 2:18 p.m.
Not deep enough to be calling a 3b here. We need to consider that sizings in live low stakes are much bigger than online. We'll be OOP with 5-high and an SPR around 2 if we call. Not a great spot. With a loose-passive player behind and a strong, presumably aggressive player OTB we probably shouldn't be opening 54s from the HJ at this stack depth.
Feb. 8, 2019 | 2:07 a.m.
About 6:10 can you comment on the river with KK? What bluffs will we have here betting 2/3 flop, pot, pot on this run out? Should we have any?
Nice vid. Keep up the good work! Thanks.
Jan. 30, 2019 | 11:52 p.m.
Pre is a little loose but fine if you're going to play well post. I think you can consider checking this flop. This is a fold on the turn imo. We don't have odds for our draw and we're not beating much. Live 1/2 players are rarely taking this line as a bluff. They just don't bluff enough on average. With reads you can find calls but against average player its a fold. I disagree with earlier poster saying he will have weaker Aces and other spazzes.
His range after calling pre and C/R flop is something like 22, AQ, AK and less frequently AJ, AT. Min C/R is SO nutted from the average 1/2 player (who is really bad).
Jan. 10, 2019 | 11:59 p.m.
I don't see the point in checking this flop. We're 5 ways here. Even heads up we need protection so a c-bet is mandatory. If we have AA-KK we can check sometimes heads up (maybe 3 ways) but 5 ways checking is a disaster.
I recommend including effective stack size in the future as well.
Dec. 24, 2018 | 3:39 p.m.
Note that if we were suited we could have a FD or BDFD on this board and may be able to continue. If you don't know how to play this KJo here you shouldn't be raising it pre imo. Limp behind is best option given stack depths.
Nov. 15, 2018 | 10:01 p.m.
I don't like raising this hand pre. Suited is a fine open to iso a limper or two, but off suit just isn't going to play well enough multi way especially this shallow. Deeper stacks and a bunch of weak players this would be a fine iso raise.
OTF we have a clear fold. We're likely drawing to four outs and could be drawing dead vs AT or QT. We're only 100bb effective here. Not nearly deep enough for implied odds.
Try not to apply logic of online players to these bad players in live low stakes no limit. You may be thinking he never will lead with an A or a T. Well, he will, because he's a bad player. Live players are on average much worse than even a bad online player. What is a 50 yr old live reg leading with here that you have more than 4 outs against? There really isn't much to discuss here.
Nov. 15, 2018 | 9:59 p.m.
This is a great spot to pick up dead chips with a very good hand if called. I think a 3bet and get it in here is pretty standard vs most solid villains. Flatting isn't great imo as we will be OOP without the lead. If he flats the 3b we can open jam a lot of flops still so I'm not too worried about it. 3.5x is a pretty big open at this stack depth. We're only 25bbs effective so just jamming him would be fine as well (to avoid the potential for not knowing what to do postflop). I'm not worried about ICM here myself as I'm playing to win and the jumps aren't really big right now. 30mins is a fast structure and we need to accumulate. No time to pussy foot around here imo.
Sept. 6, 2018 | 11:01 p.m.
~17bbs without any more info I think a jam is fine. If you are more comfortable playing post flop and the table is really weak I can see min opening being fine. Also depends on the stats of players behind. In a vacuum tho I think this is a jam all day.
July 28, 2018 | 1:04 p.m.
Thanks for the reply. This was 10 handed (unfortunately) and was a BB ante structure. Total pot when it gets to me is 4,900. That's nearly 1/3 of my stack so I see your point about it being a lot of chips to fight for. Not sure how you got 8900, perhaps you misunderstood the BB ante structure.
July 24, 2018 | 4:29 p.m.
Blinds 400/800 w/800 bb ante
UTG weak tight nit limps in 800
MP good LAG reg iso raises to 2100
Hero next to act in CO with KQs sitting on 16,200 (20bbs)
The reg has at least 60k, stacks behind are button 30k, Sb 14k, and Bb 12k.
A lot of weak players at this table but the structure is fast. KQs is such a good hand to see a flop with IP I felt it was fine to peel. Plan was to call it off if either of the blinds jammed. If either blinds shove and UTG continues I'm done. Thoughts? Should I just be re-jamming over the 2.5bb iso? It kinda sucks to call it off with K high if the blinds shove, but I think we're priced in getting 1.75-1 vs a range of something like: 66+, A10s+. Some players will show up with hands like QJs and J10s in a squeeze spot like this.
July 22, 2018 | 2:41 p.m.
We're $500 effective with villain. He is a decent regular with a LAG style. Limp calls often, opens often, peels 3bets often, peels flops often. Very sticky overall.
Vil opens $20 in MP
Hero 3bet to $70 with 1010 in CO
Vil calls. Heads up to flop.
AJ6r - Pot $140
Hero cbets $70
Hero checks back.
I c-bet figuring I have a range advantage and will be getting folds often enough. I can also pick up some value from hands like KQ, K10, Q10. He can be stubborn and may call sometimes with stuff like 88-99, 56s, 76s.
I gave up on the turn here figuring I picked up equity with the gut shot and have decent showdown value. Thoughts on my line here? Should I have 1010 in my check back range in a 3bet pot on this board texture? Thinking of hands I may 3bet and check back in this spot, AA, A5s, KK, some KQ are candidates that come to mind.
July 7, 2018 | 10:14 p.m.
About $600 effective, hero has been active and aggressive.
Hero opens MP to $20 with black 66.
Flop 10s 8s 5d , Pot $80
Checks to hero, bet $60
Folds back to BB who calls
River As, Pot $200
Notes on villain- Older asian lady (50-60), tight and very passive. Looks like a clear value bet after she checks 3 times. Thoughts on my turn sizing and value sizing now on river? I think she has worse hands that will call: A10x, Axdd, 56, 10x8x. I don't expect this player to ever hero call with a one pair hand that isn't Ax. Thanks for feedback!
May 20, 2018 | 4:12 p.m.
Also at 18:55 with 55 in the sb vs HJ open and BU flat. What is the lowest pocket pair you will 3bet? I'm guessing 1010+ or maybe even wider like 88+? What type of hands will you be choosing to 3bet here in general, in this sb squeeze vs LP players? Thanks
May 14, 2018 | 10:55 p.m.
Hero starts $420 and is effective stack.
Villain1, bad passive reg, mostly tight but will overplay hands often and chase draws.
Villain2, loose passive reg, decent post flop player but can be splashy
Hero opens 20 in MP with 67ss
Both villains call in CO and BTN, everyone else folds.
Flop Q67r (none of my suit)
Hero leads 20
Vil1 raises to 60
Vill 2 calls 60
Hero raises to 220
Vil1 call 220.
Vil 2 call 220.
Turn Ah (brings bdfd)
Hero all in for 180.
Thoughts on my line? Vil1 range is heavily weighted towards AQ here imo so I really hate this turn card. She is passive and will rarely 3bet preflop so QQ-AA are also in her range sometimes. Vil2 can also have AQ, and will show up with 89s and 45s here. Should I be check calling? Check folding seems out of the question with this pot being so big and these players being weak. That being said, I'm not finding many hands I'm beating on the turn. Thanks.
May 13, 2018 | 3:35 p.m.
Good stuff as always. I'm always a fan of the 6 table format. Makes for a much more productive vid. 42min with AJo open UTG. Can you talk about why you checked here? Seemed like a default check for you. I feel like my default would be to bet and try to get 2 streets. Perhaps this is more of a "middling" Ace that we want to protect our checking range with? Thanks.
May 10, 2018 | 11:02 p.m.
Hero $650. I've been active and aggressive. Opening, iso'ing limps, and have 3bet once or twice in two hours.
Villain $900. Young-mid twenties Asian who I've never seen. He's been active and aggressive. A tad on the spewy and unpredictable side but I'm not ready to call him a fish or maniac just yet. He has been caught bluffing big on the river in a big pot and I've seen him payoff on the river in big pots as well.
Folds to Villain on the button and he opens $20.
Hero in BB 3bet to $70 with AKo.
Villain 4bets to $250
In general, in this player pool, I will be finding exploitative folds here vs the tight/predictable bad regs who only show up with QQ+ when they 4bet. I think 5bet jam is best vs more aggro/capable regs and spazzy types. Thoughts?
April 1, 2018 | 2:45 p.m.
-> why would you check If you think his range consists mainly of hands that would almost always check back for Showdown?
After I wrote that I was like, wow that makes no sense. I guess I just meant he would be more likely to bet if checked to twice than call a bet. I realize now that's wrong.
March 21, 2018 | 11:20 p.m.
Villain raises over a limper to $25 from MP, Fish on the button flats, Hero raises to $125 from BB with AcAd, only Villain calls. Heads up.
Flop 8s 3s 3c
Hero leads for $125 and Villain calls.
Hero checks, Villain checks behind.
Hero checks, Villain checks and Hero wins.
I feel like I played this hand poorly by not getting two streets. Villain is a reg that seems to be decent but I don't have much history with him. Based on the 1.5hrs or so I played with him I would say he is a winning reg but not a pro/crusher in this game. I perceive his defend vs 3bet pre-flop range to be mostly 1010-QQ, AK, AQs and occasionally wider hands like 99, AJs, KQs.
I decided to check turn to control the pot size as the flush just came in. On the river I went for a check call because I felt he was more weighted towards 1010-QQ and the K was a scare card for him. In retrospect I think bet-fold was the better line on the river as I don't perceive him to be raise bluffing river ever (very uncommon in small stakes). Also unlikely to raise river with worse value (namely AK). Thoughts?
Thanks for the feedback!
March 20, 2018 | 12:29 a.m.
The 54s hand where you 3b from the sb. What is your 3b range here given that you are exploiting the UTG opener and the button flatter? I'm guessing 54s is the bottom (and may even be a bit too weak). What hands would you rather flat than 3b in this spot? Maybe mid pairs and suited broadways like J10s, QJs, KJs?
Also I really enjoy this 6 table, full ring format. I may be biased because I play live (full ring). 6 tables makes for more in depth analysis which is more valuable to watch. Keep up the good work!