I think 99 can be either flat or 3bet, I would flat though.
As played I'm not sure about flop raise. he's on the btn so he will have wide range. by raising you are folding some weaker Jx, weaker draws like gutshots that might bluff turns. Sizing is huge also and with 5x you might even fold TPTK like AJ and OESD's. river is a fold in my opinion.
Nov. 2, 2017 | 2:35 p.m.
What range are you calling here? I suspect SB is isolating the fish. With KK I would snap call but don't sure about QQ.
How does the fact that he don't have full stack (so he might not be a reg) influence your decision?
Oct. 28, 2017 | 3:15 p.m.
What's your standard play on that kind of boards? Do you cbet flop? As played should I bet at the any point of this hand?
I really feel that checking three times is a weak play but on the other hand I don't feel comfortable bareling here.
Oct. 28, 2017 | 12:03 p.m.
Villain is unk. I have decided to 3bet 77 from SB although I think this is bottom of my 3betting range here.
I decided to go for a flop 33% and turn around 60% sizing. After I get minraise on the turn I don't know if I should call. I have around 22% pot odds but do I really have minimum equity here? I have 6 outs which don't give me enough equity. Can villain ever bluff here? I can say that after he minraises he can have only sets and sometimes straight from 87 (still unlikely because I have blockers).
Oct. 28, 2017 | 11:56 a.m.
Generally rooms that offer good rakeback are filled more with regulars. If you are playing mainly for volume on zoom tables then you should find a room with good rakeback deal like PartyPoker.
On the other side if you are playing mainly regular tables and aim for good table selection and fish exploit then try to find rooms that generally don't offer rakeback deals as through my observation they are much softer. Lack of rakeback shouldn't be an issue because you are not putting much volume anyways.
Oct. 27, 2017 | 1:10 p.m.
Has anyone encountered problem with uploading raw hand history here on the forum from HM2? I click export a hand, then copy and paste raw hand history but it always says it's invalid. I have this problem with few hands.
Oct. 20, 2017 | 2:58 p.m.
Ok he might have a flopped flush but if he's agressive combined with his stack size he can play like this with a 1 card FD or even some top pair. well played. Next time try to hide results, it really helps to be more objective.
Oct. 19, 2017 | 3:16 p.m.
Thanks DatpKay! I didn't notice the fact that he is unlikely to have a flush because of a checkback on turn, thanks for pointing that out.
I generally believe that vs potentialy weaker player an all in looks much more bluffy than something like 2x potsize bet. Also if he will call 2x potsize bet then I really can't see him folding to overbet shove.
As for donks do I really have to worry about playing good with my range vs potentialy unaware players? I believe that donking is far greater here than checking, I start building pot from the start vs weaker players. I wonder though what to do if any of these players would raise me... that would be hard spot
Oct. 19, 2017 | 3:05 p.m.
BB: $13.18 (Hero)
Do you consider check/raising this flop vs specific villains for example aggro regulars or aggro fish?
Oct. 19, 2017 | 2:39 p.m.
Party Poker rakeback is indeed very good. You can get up to 40% of cashback but the minimum they offer on the start is 20%. Also you have missions to complete which give additional $ and they propably reset after some time so you can do them again (i'm not sure about this).
Fastforward (zoom) games are reg infested but on the regular tables you can find a some amount of recreationals. I have the general impression that some decent Stars regs moved to PartyPoker just for the rakeback. Generally up to NL10 fastforward games are pretty tight and passive, the level increases dramatically at NL25 imo. (written from perspective of a player beating NL10 but struggling to win NL25).
Oct. 19, 2017 | 8:10 a.m.
I want to start a discussion here about aspects related to behavioral economics - especially a phenomenon called cognitive biases.
I am not sure it fits 100% into mental forum but I think in large degree it does. Knowledge about behavioral economics and cognitive biases is in my opinion very beneficial in many aspects of daily life and also in poker.
I became interested in that stuff while working on my master thesis which focused on explaining how cognitive biases and especially "status quo" bias influences business competition and why some succesful companies failed at some point. Let's start with some definitions:
Behavioral economics is kind of a different approach to traditional economics. Classic economics says that people or market participants always make rational and calculated decisions. Even if they make some kind of a mistake they instantly learn and correct bad approach. They always want to maximise EV of their decisions. That kind of ideal people are called "homo economicus". Of course this is not true. We are all driven by emotions and not always rational. The addition of psychology is most important factor that separates behavioral economics from traditional economy.
Cognitive bias on the other hand is a phenomenon when a person makes a decision which is not at all expected from a rational point of view. We are all biased but only few of us are aware of that! Why is that? Roots to cognitive biases can be linked to evolution. Our brains cannot process every information they receive so they are forced to make some generalizations which are of course biased (this is called heuristics). So combine those mental shortcuts made by your brain with other aspects like emotions, social influences and information noises and you have a recipe for being biased. Of course it's hard to avoid being biased since it's how our brains work but being aware of that is beneficial. It shouldn't be also seen as something bad.
Let's look at few example biases:
Mental accounting bias - we attribute emotions into money. Losing money earned by hard work is more painful than losing money we have won on a lottery. This is obviously a bias because from an economical point of view 1$ equals 1$ no matter how we earned it.
Representative fallacy - when calculating possibility of something occuring we often use limited informations based on our limited experience. We also don't account how representative our set of information is. This leads to searching patterns in potential random occurences.
Illusion bias - informations that we understand better are more often seen as true. If they are repeated often enough we see them as true even if we perceived them as false before.
Self-attribution bias - if we are succesful we attribute it to ourselves. If we are unsuccesful we try to find some external sources that are cause of failure.
Hindsight bias, retrospection bias - we believe that the negative occurence that already happened could have been avoided.
Legend effect - people underestimate statistical information and they overestimate descriptive information.
There is also a bias which relates to a fact that we put more attention into occurence of something rather than lack of that occurence.
Status quo bias - we prefer things to stay the way they are. We are scared of the unknown even if that unknown has a potential to bring us benefits which are far greater than the risk taken. There was a resarch made which concluded that potential benefits of breaking the status quo need to be atleast twice larger than the potential risk for people to make a move.
Status quo is connected with loss aversion. Let's look at an example:
Okay so with this example you can see that in Problem 1 you can either finally have 1500$ instant or have a 50% chance to win additional 1000$ and have 2000$ total.
In Problem 2 you can either lose 500$ and have 1500$ or have a 50% to not lose anything at all and have 2000$ total.
In theory people should have the same preferences in either problems. Now lets guess how people responded to those problems in a resarch?
Problem 1: 80% of people prefered option for an instant 500$
Problem 2: Most people preffered to gamble for a 50% chance to not lose anything
So this is loss aversion - faced with a prospect of a win we prefer smaller but sure win. When we are faced with a potential loss we prefer to take an EV- gamble.
How knowledge about that can help at poker?
Okay so besides knowing what drives financial markets and why your grandpa doesn't want to convert all her savings into bitcoins knowledge about biases can be helpful for a poker player.
I think that it can be helpful with dealing with tilt issues, being results oriented even things like analyzing statistics. It also gives insight into how other regs and fishes might think. We can start questioning our game and stop blindly following others. For example I see a tendency in many poker players to follow some players they perceive as good only by their winrate. But this winrate comes from limited sample so how we really know it's big enough to be not affected by luck? Worth thinking about. Also we can identify situations where we made some assumption which based on some limited sample. For example we made a bluff here and there and it worked few times and we think this play is great. But it's still limited sample so how do we really know? But our brains still tell us GO FOR IT :)
Here are some biases related to poker I have experienced so far:
1. When I feel I'm running hot I often feel the urge to end the session earlier to not lose what I have earned so far. And when I'm losing my instinct says to play longer to minimise losses.
2. When I am not sure about some play for example making a bluff or something and I do it and it ends bad in future similiar situations, I recall the one when I lost. I have an urge to not repeat that play even if I never really checked if it is correct or not. On the other way if I do something stupid and it pays off I sometimes find repeating that error.
3. I tend to remember times when I got bad beat and tend to forget when I suckouted somebody.
What about you guys? If my post interested you let's look for some more poker bias examples or ways how knowledge about them can be beneficial for us. Still lot's to explore! Also if you are interested in that stuff check out the book of Daniel Kahneman "Thinking Fast and Slow".
Oct. 11, 2017 | 10:39 p.m.
MP: $24.91 (Hero)
Rake is $0.34
Oct. 11, 2017 | 8:10 p.m.
CO: $20.79 (Hero)
Oct. 11, 2017 | 6:12 p.m.
Hi, I am looking for a new room to play 6max micro games on. Can anyone recommend some soft site with acceptable traffic and maybe some good rakeback offer? Looking for some suggestions besides Pokerstars and Ipoker network. I am playing mainly NL10 with hopefully moving to NL25 sometime.
Oct. 11, 2017 | 10:33 a.m.
With ur reads on him: punish him with bigger size PF
If he's passive u can't expect so much river bets and if he bet's it will be really hard to call if he bets some big sizing.
I think 3 streets of value is too much and i would go for bet flop/bet turn/checkback river.
Oct. 9, 2017 | 1:11 p.m.
I assume UTG is a loose aggressive player. On the BB we might have a fish because he is not fully stacked.
I would flat with a higher frequency from the SB given fact BB is probably fish but here with QQ we have a clear value 3-bet. I would personally 3bet higher to like 0,22-0,24 $.
I think cbet flop is not good. Yes we have a FD+gutshot but when we hit one of our draws nothing worse really calls so we can't extract value.
I would check flop and give incentive for UTG to bluff. I don't want to fold a hands that can bluff with flop cbet.