shakesbear's avatar


526 points

- Don’t be afraid to XXB. And bet the worst hand given how we work out our range
- We gonna have to check a lot out of position. Don’t sweat it. Construct a range around a flop check. If they get aggressive, we will make more money on our bluff catcher.
- 88 flat in sb, often result in 3 way pot, which really “eat into our equity”
- 3 way in bb, we can fold some hands that we would call HU, because the cold caller really eats into our equity and we are under realizing our equity.
- On low paired board, 80% of the time should be bet and check raise. But we live in the real world not in the world of GTO
- We are a little sky on low paired board, we should bet a lot with small sizing.
- 3 bet A8ss with 25bb against a loose open EP open
- Playing our range with Q9 on Q45K turn, not just our hand

Great video as always. Thank you and GL on the tables.

July 8, 2017 | 1:57 a.m.

Hey Sam:
After some heavy shit from uncapped cash games, I decide to take a break and go play a $1100 live tournament tomorrow. As part of my routine before tourney, I always watch one of your videos to refresh my tourney memories. I’m so glad that you made this video. The format is fantastic and there are tons of interesting spots. Thank you so much for putting this content out. Can’t wait to see how you handle the final two tables.
Anyways, here is the cliff.


  • Shove 89ss for 23bb on HJ close to bubble. Strong play but theoretically correct making half a bb. But is it worth the variance ? The answer is yes if you want to keep it gangsta.

    • Shoving 49ss for 15bb effective sb vs bb. Standard

    • AKdd on KK7hh 9h. Sam says its close to a check raise. That would be a strong play imho.

    • 21 bb shove with 55 on lo jack. Slightly +ev given the bb is a good player. He would defend correctly if we just raise.

    • good player open in co. 10 bb stack jam. We reshove with AQ. Standard spot. We have a lot of his hand dominated.

    • sb raise 2.5bb with 20bb stack. We shove KJ in bb. Try to not worry cuz we have good blockers.

    • strong sizing with AJdd on A75dd6d7 river. 120k into 160k seems a little too strong

    • J9os shoving 15bb stack blind vs blind is fine. Barely +ev

    • c bet AQos on 746rb against a bb defend seems lighting money on fire in cash game but I guess its okay in tourney.

    • 15bb qjss utg shove very standard. Our opponent calling 77 with 4 players behind is just barely okay.

    • we open A7os otb. Sb shove 15bb. We kinda have to fold here. But we calling A9 and probally A8

    • when I was 7 years old, my mom told my uncle if he wants to see me growing up, he had to quit smoking. So he did. But it was too late, he died of lung cancer 3 years later anyways. To this date, I have never smoked a single cigarette. I kinda regret it though, because Piosolver gave me cancer anyways. It way over complicated much simple problems. Like on the board of 9T8J, flop check check. Turn villain donks out. This spot just way underbluffed and we have plenty of better hands to defend. This is an easy fold with 86. But pio thinks we should smoke some crack and call here sometimes.

    • misclick is okay. Everyone does it. Don’t ever tilt over it.

    • A7ss on 984dsd. We check and fold on the flop but this is should be a call according to pio.

    • 88 with 11bb is almost always an all in against a raise.

    • QJos 11bb in BB against a shove from sb. Slam dunk call

    • 21 bb AQ we shove against a open, but if we are slightly deeper, we can 3 bet to induce some rejam.

Thanks again. Hope you are running good in poker and life. GL

May 13, 2017 | 6:12 a.m.

I have been doing well. Hope you are too.
I played a live donkment two days ago. I made the money with 1.5bb. I was dancing like a clown on my way to the cashier and everyone was laughing and giving me high fives.
The bubble boy made a really really really strong play with 20bb on the bubble. I busted like 2 hands after him hahahahahaha

April 27, 2017 | 7:53 p.m.

Good to see ya still making strong plays. For a lot of the HH, I'm gonna quote one of your dear friend " I would fold, but I know you raise"
Thanks a lot for the video. It's always educational and entertaining.

April 23, 2017 | 6:54 p.m.


I'm 4 years behind in learning

March 1, 2017 | 8:09 a.m.

i doubt villain has any back door flush draw in his turn check raising range. We have KThh, Ah is on the river. What's the check call on the flop that contains 2 hearts ? one combo of QJhh ? and yes, he could have turned 78 into bluffs. But if this is the same villain that saw us flat QT straight to his over bet on the turn on AKxJ the hand before. He has to know that we protect our range somewhat. So we could have a lot of the full house combos here at the river and we could also just hero him with a flush or even trips. I think "Generally I'm not trying to move a guy off a range of trips or better" said it best. in this spot, we just rarely see a bluff, he is never value shoving anything less. He has 12 combos of value that beats us and i can hardly think any bluffs he could have. and given the A hit on the river, it discounts it even more.

Feb. 9, 2017 | 1:10 a.m.

Nick makes grown man cry

But for real though, you inspire me to do what I always wanted to do.
Thank you

Feb. 7, 2017 | 2:24 p.m.

Great video but I dont know man. You seem to flop a set in 3 bet pot very high percentage of the time. Care to share the hack ?

July 27, 2016 | 2:50 a.m.

Hey Sam, I heard you repeated saying stuff like “hey we need 25% equity to call here, we certainly have 25% with this hand, it would be rarely a mistake to call here.” But we are talking about pre flop decisions here, yes the pot offers us 3:1 and our hand have 25% equity against their range. But that’s given we see all 5 cards, which we often wont. Like the hand at 28:00 when we have A6s. we open 500, and got 3 bet to 1225. We are getting 3:17 to 1, which we only need 24% equity. Of course we got 24% equity against their range, but that’s given our opponents check it down to us, which rarely happens. If we take positions (we are out of position), our hand strength (we are denominated by his value Ax hands and could lose a lot of money if A flops), we can argue strongly for a fold here.

Okay I just read through the comments, and you did address this topic. I think a better program to use than equilab is flopzilla. For example, for A6ss, we can see that we flop 2 pair plus 4.31% of the time, top pair 16.3% of the time, and flush draw 10.9% of the time. So around 30% of the time, we can flop good enough equity to go with the hand. I think use this program to evaluate preflop decisions are way better than equilab, because when we call preflop, we only get to see 3 cards, not 5.

Anyways, great video, Thanks Sam

July 26, 2016 | 7:10 p.m.

Hey Sam, it has been a long time since I view your videos. I used to do a lot of “cliff”. I hope everything is good with you. I’m glad you are still putting out a lot of strong plays. I have been playing deep stack private cash games mostly, but I just made to the final day of a 500K guarantee tournament at my local casino with 4th biggest stack (95bbs). I think the average stack is 30bb. The final is 2 days from now (I'm guessing about 150 players will qualify. So I’m spending some time refresh tournament strategies. Any advice would be greatly appreciated.

Anyways, here is my notes a.k.a cliff

-At 16:00 the AQJJQ hand, I thought in my head this is a fold before I see the result. The reason is that we have all the Qx and Jx in our range that would get to the river this way, it too much risk for him to turn his pair into bluff here. He is also unlikely to have totally air and decide to check flop and turn then pot river (he would bet flop mostly). So in my humble opinion, this is rarely a bluff.

-Strong play at 20:00 with AQ on 732cc8k triple barrel. “am I really betting QQ on the river? Possibly” but not really hahahah. I still like the play.

-23:20 I love this over bet with T9cc on 574cc8

-29:05 we have KcJ on AcAT7c6c, our opponent bets turn and we called, he then bet 72000 into 185722 at river. I think this is a good spot to bluff raise it. You got the nut flush blocker and you could have all the boats. Its gonna be pretty hard for him to call with a naked A or even a smaller flush. Of course he could have A7, A6, or some 77.

-30:30 the triple barrel with 3t is pretty cool. Our opponent is capped at this spot, and we have a huge perceived range advantage.

-33:57 I like the river value bet with QJ on 8QA4A, after he check the river to us.

-39:00 flop the nut, must be nice sir, must be nice

Great video as always. Keep making those strong plays. Good luck Sam.

July 25, 2016 | 7:26 a.m.

Thank you so so so much for the advice. I'm gonna go check out OO and propokertool. And also dive in the articles in your link. Again, thank you very much.

July 22, 2016 | 9:08 a.m.

Mike Basic told me some of the stories you guys had in those games, definitely very interesting.

July 20, 2016 | 2:57 p.m.

Is there any program like Flopzilla for PLO ? Also need advice on short stack PLO.

Is there any PLO program like Flopzilla, where I can see the percentage of different hand strength I can flop with different hands. For example, if I have JT87ccdd. It can tell me what percentage I can flop a wrap, what percentage I can flop two pair plus straight draw, and what percentage I can flop flush draw straight draw ?
I’m new to PLO, and there are very aggressive action preflop in my game. Knowing how often I can flop enough equity to go with my hand really helps to make those preflop decision. For example, the game is 5/5 but people often straddle for 50-100 a hand and everyone has like 500-3000. People often just go ape shit preflop, like couple people calls 75, then one guy pot it to 400ish, then it goes call call call. And there is often one pot size bet, or 1.5 pot size bet on flop. Any advice on how to play this game would be greatly appreciated.
Thanks guys.

July 20, 2016 | 2:20 p.m.

Let's go James. Ship it one time.

July 16, 2016 | 5:40 a.m.

Hey Teunuss I’m back!!! Glad to see you are still making bomb ass videos. I’m gotta check them all in the next a few weeks. I really like hand history review format. Hope you do more of them!!!

July 12, 2016 | 5:50 a.m.

yo yo yo thanks for reply me on crushlivepoker

April 18, 2016 | 11:49 p.m.

hey thanks a lot

you mean like this one ?

April 18, 2016 | 5:09 a.m.

Okay I did a new sim with adjusted range of people behind me. I gave them a ready tight calling range QQ+ for smaller stack and a slightly bigger range for those 2 big stacks. But the result turns out 77 becomes a +ev shove here. And without FGS its even more plus ev.

Here is a link of this problem Can you guys see if my set up is wrong or something ? I have input the payout already.

Thank you very much guys

April 17, 2016 | 11:12 p.m.

Omg you are absolutely right. I forgot to set the calling range for the people behind me.

April 17, 2016 | 11:08 p.m.

Thanks for the input guys.
I put it into the icmizer. it turns out this spot is closer than we think. There are 4 other stacks under 10bb. I dont think he is opening too wide here given there are 2 big stacks behind him and 2 short stack in blinds. I just did a sim had him opening 14% of hands ( all Broadways and All pairs over 55s). It shows 77s is slightly -ev shove. On average we lose $20. 88s is slight break even. But it also shows how tight we have to shove here. AQ+ and 88+.

April 16, 2016 | 6:54 a.m.

Post | shakesbear posted in MTT: Is this ICM suicide here

bovada $75 knock out
1st $2296

Blind 8000/16000 1600 ante
UTG 130k
UTG+1 320k
Me 90k
UTG+3 578k
Dealer 330k
SB 163k
BB 127k

UTG fold, UTG+1 open 34k, I have 77 here. Do I have to go with my hand here given that I know I have no fold equity and I’m flipping at best? Can I fold in this spot ?

Thank you for you input

April 12, 2016 | 5:44 a.m.

thanks for making the games tougher guys.

Dec. 10, 2015 | 6:41 p.m.

Thanks !!!!! What a fantastic series. What do we have for next ?

Oct. 5, 2015 | 1:31 a.m.

Here is the cliff for the first 20 mins. I will cliff the second half after work.

- Numbers are slightly blurry, it’s a little hard to see.
- Q8ss we can 3bet or call 50/50 from sb
- “Q8sss is a fine hand to play 3 bet pots, even out of position”
- Q8ss gets into tough spot that needs Piosolver

Thanks. I am a big fan of your videos

Sept. 27, 2015 | 11:43 p.m.

It has been 3 weeks.


My depression finally got better, so here is my cliff
- @19:45 table 2 illustrate how should we be thinking about our value betting threshold
- @21:40 getting 3 streets of value from Tx on T67 is the paramount goal with our hand. If we choose a hand to trap or check back turn. We should pick a hand that removes his Tx combos. Choose 67 or over pairs are neglecting that part of ev.
- @23:30 A78hh25 is a good board to run triple barrel with no hearts. In spot like this we can also over bet turn.

I enjoy this series more than anything so far. It’s a really fantastic series. I love how you explain which combos to do what to yield the highest ev. I hope you bring more high stake content in the future. And I wish you the best luck in future high stake endeavors. Thank you very much.

Sept. 19, 2015 | 9:15 p.m.

That title makes me happy

Sept. 18, 2015 | 11:38 p.m.

gonna cliff this when my depression gets better. thanks sam your video always crack me up

Sept. 16, 2015 | 1:42 a.m.

- No balance is needed against fun players
- 78ss,9Tss no need use RNG, 3 bet that shit all day
- Bluff the lowest hand in our range
- Adx on K3qddd is a good candidate to bet flop, turn and jam river as a bluff. Don’t play too passive
- Call much lighter against fun player
- No its not boring to watch
- A2ss-A5 standard 3 bet bluffing range against ep,mp
- OP is tilting that the concept of the intended purpose is yet to be fully illustrated

Great video. Love your work bruh
Thank you as always.

Sept. 13, 2015 | 11:43 p.m.

Thanks guys. I had my winningest month in poker in July while being the top member for the month. This month I didn’t participate in the community as much as I used to, and I just suffered the worst downswing in the last year or so. Lessons learned !!! Keep learning or die.

Sept. 2, 2015 | 6:16 a.m.

- KJ is a fold in sb against mid open
- Op calls fish fun player
- Against a min raise, calling anything suited is okay in the bb
- “ It’s a spot we not gonna get a check raised…..” we got check/raised
- Against a fun player, we just gonna try to make max amount of money and forget about GTO
- On a board we don’t have a lot of value combos, don’t check raise with strong hands to protect our c/c range
- RNG can fuck you up pretty good
- Not a single spot about blind play hahahahha

@19:05 the QJ hand on 573AQ, why we don’t value bet river? We have the best hand here a lot and we also could have 68, 89 in this spot. He might find a call with 7x or TT, JJ. Do you think do something like ¼ pot bet is cool?

Glad to see you playing well and running good. That 75 hand float a check raise on AK7 is pretty cool. Thank you for making this video.

Aug. 30, 2015 | 11:45 p.m.

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