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31:35 what is your thought on the 99 checking the turn vs delay value/deny equity bet. As it's kinda hard to call and play vs bet. Do we need to consider to bet for protection vs KJ/AJ/AT type hands.

great video!

sample size too small and from you 25nl graph, you running a lot above ev and you think you running bad? (graph bit small can't really see the numbers)

I rather have KThh to call the jam than this hand, since he could be jamming some Ahx,
pretty sure it's a fold, could be a call vs some villain since we are capped at 22/QT at most and are always b/f KJ

don't people 3b really huge at reg tables?
turn has to be bet ,
curious on people's thoughts vs a c/r on that turn
otherwise I don't really see you have a calling range after taking this line if you are folding AK(A4s is probably the only one if you don't check back KK)

and for the river I guess you can find a fold if you are vb/bluff really wide (as low as 99 etc)

I think people tends to bet more when checked to, especially when we have the fd+2 overs. and it depend on the villain more. you haven't said anything about villain. Vs a random I prefer a bet on the turn.

as played definitely raise river bigger. at least 90.

any reads?
looks fine as villain is folding a lots of one pair hands ott

think checking does cap our range to a few combo as we should be betting our QQ/KK/AA hands,(don't think we would 4b JJ though). But then again his range for calling twice is pretty strong which make betting not a very favorable option. I also dislike checking as if villain is decent,he could probably bet twice with hands like TT/KQ/KJs and we are folding like 90% on the river unimproved

I'd raise flop with our mid pair+BD FD.
otr both vb/checking back is fine. I actually think we could b/c river here as he is betting most of his flush otr and he isn't turning his two pairs/sets into bluffs. so he is repping pretty thin. So I think we could b/c and expect to see Adx a decent amount from a good reg

looks fine except I bet a bit smaller ott

meh, didn't know I hide it by mistake

since we are deep vs both CO and BB, we should make our 3bet large pre, something like 24.
post flop sizing is just too big everywhere, and you mentioned BB is a loose on average reg, and vs your sizing, I won't be surprised it he looked you up with TT-QQ.

how would you played your AK/AA/KK combos? would you have sized differently?

firstly you are in position, so you don't really need to make it that big, anything between 100-115 should achieve the same thing, you didn't mention anything about UTG. if he is also a fish/rec player, then your sizing does make sense. The problem of making it this big is that it leaves you with the weird SPR post, which you did realize on the flop. if you think his majority of his range consist of suited broadways and 99-QQ, then obv you shouldn't bet, as we dominating/doing very well vs his broadway hands and he is very likely to check jam his pairs which we have to fold.

I think you could comfortable check back this flop being HU and could most likely call at least one barrel on later streets, which allows to us to realize our equity vs 99-QQ and prevent us making folds vs his 78hh/67hh type hands on the flop.

I'm not saying the default strategy isn't good, (sqz/ bet 1/3 pot), you can't just use it in every situation especially vs Fishes/rec, you don't need to try to balance that much.

think our 4bet is way to big, we are only 140BB effective anyway. and what do you think SB's calling range pre?
don't think we should bet flop vs this kind of villain in this particular spot. We are going to get c/jammed so often

Not in love with the sqz though, Rest looks fine, probably bet the flop a little smaller

raise the flop or flat the turn.
as play, I probably just c/f, think he is gonna play his range pretty honestly on the river

how are you playing your AA/KK/QQ/AK/KQ on this flop?
I assume you always betting KQ/QQ, betting sometimes with AK/AA and sometime checkinng and always checking KK?

having said this, I think our range is well protected and agreed that you don't have much fold equity especially if you bet 1/4 of the pot, he is gonna peel all Qx and most gutters.
So i check back this flo, and looking to bet or call at least one more barrel depending on runout and villain's sizing

because obv it sounds like RIO has bigger balls than other sites

looks like a easy call given your line.
tbh I don't really like your call on the turn, there are gonna be many river that you hate.

if he opens mp 27%, JJ would be a 3bet even vs a 4x,
as played, just call flop, not much value in raising and you could already be drawing dead.

At first glance I would think this is always a c/f. But then I thought about our range with consist of nothing better than flush, and with flush, I think we are jamming > 90%. Which means we are mostly always c/f this river after we check, with villain to make a exploitive jam when checked too. But I'm not sure about jamming ourselves. As villain is probably folding 99-jj, and never folding a flush. So maybe there are some incentive to considering c/c with some of our range as his incentive for jamming river is so high

I mainly play MTTs, just jump into zoom whenever I feel like, I know ur SN and we haven't had any big pot together.

anyway that's what I thought, he got tons of 86s/78s/98s/T8s/ type as well as QQ+ that might also choose this sizing as we almost never hit this board.
with his bluffs, usually it's some hands with decent equity, at least FD or some 45s/A4/A5 type, So I felt it might be okay to overfold a bit in this kind of spot vs some good regs and you will just be running into a lot of tough river spot.

well, he raised over ur ob not pile over it.. so definitely stronger. and I don't think we need to ob this turn as we have the Kd and blocking AK which could be one of his 3bet pre.

and AxJs, I think he would start by betting flop.
so you basically looking at drawing one outer against 3 combo of QQ or you are way ahead .

so just bet normal sizing ott

well you are repping a boat otr and bet close to pot and he still jams....
why would he ever jam a flush on the river

yeah people said things about sizing pre.
who would c/r AK9 in a 4b pot.. not like he is gonna b/c AQ on that flop.
just bet.

turn could be a check raise if you took this line.
and bet the turn way bigger as played

yeah and lose to AK and take like a man,

easiest snap ever,
go with 88+,AJs+ would never be wrong here.

why is your 4b sizing so small? don't think he is folding anything pre, and post I think you missing a check somewhere, KQ is not a handed you can get 3 streets value on this runout.