I think checking flop here is pretty good as you can get more value from villain bluffing t & r. Also allows him to catch up since you crush the flop. Think betting flop is fine though as we get value from weaker Ax but most the time he folds to cbet unless he holds a 5 which has us in bad shape
Feb. 19, 2017 | 8:42 p.m.
Think I would get this all in on the flop against pot sized donk bet. Plenty of bad turns for your hand and I don't think SB folds to your shove and can call with much worse/draws which you are a favourite against OTF.
Oct. 13, 2016 | 11:09 a.m.
I think folding to a raise on these boards is too exploitable. I would call the raise and probably fold turn if he barrels. I've been in some similar situations myself where villain (mostly Russian) will raise boards similar to this then give up the turn with most of his bluffs. Make a note and move on
Oct. 4, 2016 | 5:07 p.m.
Oct. 4, 2016 | 10:58 a.m.
So in this instance, villain flat calls the initial raise which limits some things in his range (premium hands are very likely to 3bet). Furthermore, he just calls your squeeze bet, which again reduces his range. So you have to think about what types of hands will flat call both times. In my opinion he would have many middling pairs maybe 77-TT and then some broadway combinations. Your ability to construct his potential range like this will give you the upper hand in situations like these where you have position on the button and the betting lead.
Oct. 1, 2016 | 1:37 p.m.
I think you should at least cbet flop here as you are uncapped vs villain capped range. Probably looking to double barrel
Sept. 30, 2016 | 2:33 p.m.
GL buddy :) I've found that taking frequent breaks are having a positive impact on my win rates. Usually play morning session ~ 2hrs, lunch break/take dog for walk, mid afternoon session ~ 2hrs, break and go for a run outside & eat evening meal then finish off with final sessions anywhere from 2-5hrs. As soon as I feel tilted/bored I am stopping immediately.
Sept. 30, 2016 | 12:53 p.m.
BB: $10.58 (Hero)
Sept. 26, 2016 | 9:26 p.m.
UTG: $4.90 (Hero)
Sept. 19, 2016 | 3:48 p.m.
1) Not a spot you might come across much but I'm calling here for sure
2) Your opponent has only 10bb so his push range is pretty wide here including most PP (maybe 44+), worse aces (A5s+, ATo), worse king combinations (KQo, KJs). Since you have already invested 2bb and the pot is now 13bb, you only need to call an extra 7bb to win the pot. The pot odds mean that you only need 36% equity in order for this to be a profitable call. If you think about the many worse hands he might shove and the times it may be a flip, this is a call. Occasionally you may find you are dominated by AK and AQ but you are 30bb deep and losing another 10bb is not a disaster for you. Remember in MTTs survival is important.
3) An easy jam preflop with 14bb stack. You explain that the table is loose and you are scared to be called but this is a standard shove in this spot. Sometimes your shove will win you the blinds and antes which increases your stack to around 17bb which is a good result. Other times you will be called sometimes be worse pocket pairs (if you opponents are loose you might expect a call from 55+) in which case you double your stack to around 30bb which increases your chances of winning more $.
Hopefully other people might look into some of the other hands for you and advise. My advice would be to watch Twitch streams (there are loads to choose from) in order to improve your short stacked thinking and increase your MTT knowledge.
Sept. 19, 2016 | 11:06 a.m.
River to me seems bluffy. Given you have under repped your hand by checking back twice, do you honestly believe he is over shoving for value here? IMO he would bet smaller for value with his nutted hands like sets of TT. Wouldn't he bet around $9 ish?
Sept. 18, 2016 | 8:53 p.m.
I have never played on Bovada but I don't think this is a very good play at all. Do you not have any stats on your opponent? His 3bet % and cbet after 3bet % should give you an idea whether or not he is bluffy in these spots.
Generally though, given no reads on opponent, this appears to be a -EV bluff. His pocket pairs TT+ likely snap (if we take your assumption that he is a fish) and there are some hands that fold KQ, AJ AQ AK etc. Furthermore, he is 3betting your UTG open which should tighten up his range (assuming he is aware that UTG opens a tighter range also).
There will likely be people who can offer a more detailed insight into this spot.
Sept. 18, 2016 | 8:41 p.m.
I don't think he barrels like he did on such a dry board with any bluffs so maybe there is a case for folding the turn (more stats on villain would help you here). But river is obv a fold. Pre flop is fine as 4bet/GII would be pretty terrible
Sept. 10, 2016 | 5:21 p.m.
MP: $2.85 (Hero)
BN lost and shows a full house, Deuces full of Threes.
SB wins $7.97
Rake is $0.29
Sept. 6, 2016 | 1:32 p.m.
SB: $5.65 (Hero)
Sept. 3, 2016 | 3:26 p.m.
I don't think getting JJ in here for 100bb is very profitable. Comment before me suggests villain's range is very nutted - I agree. Calling would be the worst option IMO as jacks out of position into 4bet pot is near impossible to play. Fold and move on