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you_are_a_stud

1 points

Nice vid Daniel.
One point I want to mention is that on the river nanonoko thinks that he has all of the Qsxs flushes so we can assume that  his bluffs will be more than 11 combo.  it would be like 15-16. so on the river In reality he is betting 23(value)  + 15(bluff) = 38 combos but he thinks that he is betting like 30(value) + 15(bluff).

If we assume that he is 3 barreling with only flushes + bluffs. So lets see, on the flop he has 5.3% flushes. For him it would be reasonable to bluff Ksxx Qsxx combos cause it blocks our value hands, so on the flop he has 4.9% Ksxx and  nearly 4% Qsxx. so OTF he is betting all of this stuffs. on the turn he drops some of his Qsxx combos and betting all flushes  + Ksxx + Qsxx(very small amount) . So on the river he ends up only flushes + Ksxx(bluffs) and it seams reasonable. But now assume that like it is in the video we have Qs7s and we are going to shove the river and  we want to balance it with some bluffs. it would be reasonable for us to balance it with shoving  some Ksxx combos cause it kills all of his nut flushes, but if we do this we are also blocking all of his bluffs, so if we are holding Ksxx we can assume that he is betting river with 100% flushes. so I think it would be better to bluff shove the river with Qsxx and Jsxx rather than Ksxx. what do you think about this? 

Aug. 18, 2014 | 12:29 p.m.

Hey Daniel, great analyze. Do you have flush draws in your c/c range on this flop? and if yes what is the % ? if you c/c some low scs(fd) on the flop then on the blank turn how are you dealing with second barrel c/c c/f or c/r?  thanks in advance. 


Aug. 16, 2014 | 9:57 p.m.

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