Can't fold the flop, good value plus backdoor draws.
Std turn, I think you don't need too much protection or turn your hand into a bluff.
Std call on the river, these small bets are usually overbluffed, mainly on those discontinued lines of B X B. Also, villain might be value betting worse.
Jan. 16, 2019 | 2:18 p.m.
What about 4bet shoving pre?
There is a lot of dead money.
How do you create your calling range on preflop.
I doubt that you are calling with AKo to see a 3-way pot.
Idk how the villain perceives our range, too. We do have all the sets, turned straights, some two pairs, etc. Probably the JJ loses a lot of value due to villain's line (Squeezing, Cbetting in a 3-way pot, shoving turn.
Jan. 14, 2019 | 4:26 p.m.
One thing for sure is to pay attention in making some changes just by looking at your stats.
For example, you can't simply think "I'm gonna bluff more or defend more because my W$WSF is low", instead you should study the main posflop spots and by them understand how you are deviating from the optimal plays. And always try to observe a hand in the big picture, this hand belongs to this range and is facing the villain's range in this board, it will interacts this way, etc etc. Why am I check-folding a lot on the most rivers? Am I simply overfolding? Am I keeping my checking range too weak? IMHO self questioning the right issues will lead to better guided study.
Jan. 10, 2019 | 2:08 p.m.
How do you see his range?
How his range interacts with the board?
Does he have A7s, 97s, 87s, 76s, 75s, 77? I can't see other value combos in his line.
If BB is weaker, he has kind of a incentive to play a wider call3b range, then.
Also, he is XRaising when you decided to Cbet in a 3-way pot, a Cbet in a 3-way pot is perceived as a strong Cbet (even for small sizings).
Another thing is A77r flop. Which bluffing combos he could be using here? The board is really dry.
If he won't reach river with many bluffs, does he valuebet worse?
I know that if we fold top pair, we will be folding a big part of our range and this could lead to a overfold, but if villain has way more value combos and doesn't reach with enough bluffs and/or valuebet worse combos, we shall fold more than 1-alpha.
Jan. 9, 2019 | 11:20 a.m.
I found this topic at HM2's support forum, it will give more details on how these All-In Adj lines work.
Also, your friend is right.
It's possible that someone is running under the All-in EV and at the same time running hot, can you understand? Some people disconsider the orange/yellow line because it will only show how good/bad you are running when you are all-in and there is some split equity in the pot.
For example, Villain A is bluffing and Hero is slowplaying (or bluffcatching).
Villain A pots the turn and Hero calls. (hero has 95% equity on the turn).
Villain A rivered the nuts and hit the 5% and pots again. Hero calls and lose.
If you look into Hero's graph, the yellow line will be down, but it does not mean that Hero made a bad decision. If we suppose that in the same spot the Hero shoved turn and both players went all in on the turn and then the Villain rivered the 5%, now we would see the yellow line straight UP, but, again, it does not mean it was the highest EV strategy.
Jan. 8, 2019 | 11:36 a.m.
On the flop I like both checking or betting big.
Since this is a BvB spot, his calling range on the turn is much more wider than you think. It contains a lot of pairs, gutshots, draws, floats, etc. This is mainly because you checked the flop, somehow the villain perceives weakness when you check OTF and start barreling on the turn.
River I like betting again. You have no showdown value and you put a lot of pressure on two pairs, pairs, etc. If vaillain calls only with 7x, he will probably overfold, I imagine, which is a incentive to barrel a lot.
Jan. 8, 2019 | 11:17 a.m.
I like checking it back some overpairs on those flop because you make your checking range stronger. On the other range, betting will put you in a delicated situation OOP, there is lots of bad runnouts plus villain can easily over raise when he perceives you are betting with a high frequency in this board.
I don't see a problem checking the entire range here or spliting your best bluffs + best values in a polarized bet sizing.
Jan. 7, 2019 | 7:17 p.m.
Can't see villain valuebetting worse given the perceived range you're giving. He is facing a triple barrel and then he decides to raise on the river, this is strong.
You must have reads that he is doing this with worse vbets in order to call.
Jan. 7, 2019 | 7:14 p.m.
I like calling with these combos when both blinds are fishes.
Easy fold on the river unless you have notes that villain does bluff using this weird line.
As played, I think it's fine, bet large in order to gain max value.
Jan. 7, 2019 | 7:11 p.m.
Nice content, Mark!
Last week I was trying to understand how could I segregate the flops in different patterns.
Btw, this class was very useful.
Also, it's fun to observe how some boards are counter-intuitive through our eyes.
I'd like to see you turning this into a series.