I have played this hand in 25NL and not sure what strategy is the best on the turn and is very reasonable according to the range distribution after check-raising this connected board
- Pio choose the overbet sizing only
- Villan should call less vs the overbet hence their strategy is easier
- in practice they overfold these spot and I need to bet my QJ weak draw also ?
- as played, how do you play river ?
OOP turn strat
IP vs overbet
IP vs 3/4P bet
April 2, 2020 | 1:59 p.m.
I am playing 25NL FF in party poker and want to solve sims of SRP OOP after get called by IP player.
In GTO world the IP player need to play very condensed range and OOP need to check a lot of his range.
But IP player range has a lot of influence on the strategy. For example if IP calling 15% wide range and 3bet mainly AK,QQ+ we can cbet a lot and apply pressure.
how you think is the best way to study these spot ? what is the population preflop calling ranges here at the different stakes ?
April 1, 2020 | 5:31 p.m.
Dont you think this hand is too weak to take this line ? you kind of isolating your self vs a lot of pairs and better fd with the xr otf.
4 and 5 pribably not going to get you good pair on rivers and when you hit you can be dominated oop.
April 1, 2020 | 11:56 a.m.
I assume spades and diamonds to to block the J7ss J7dd and more of Jx suited hands
March 30, 2020 | 7:54 a.m.
that is the reason pio prefer bluffing with KQ ?
how much equity 67s or A7s have here ? its seem blocking villan 77 is major key here ..
March 30, 2020 | 4:43 a.m.
I have played this hand at mirco and want to know how population react to river bet.
flop and turn I guess villan call all Jx
otr villan need to play mixed start with his Jx - we need to overbluff / bet for value only ?
March 29, 2020 | 7:02 p.m.
how do you play the turn vs the population ?
A is good for my range and by looking at solver I think villan reach the trun with less Ax than he should to.
I decide to bet in order to get called by Qx,8x,6x less afraid from him having Ax like AJo,ATo and A2s-A5s.
What our river plan ?
March 27, 2020 | 8:41 a.m.
KQ has more showdown value. and in previous spot its better bluff because you arrive to the river with better pair although it not the nuts you wish too.
March 26, 2020 | 4:57 p.m.
I donk like the small bet otf. I dont think you get a lot by doing it. SB flat calling range is less wider than BB and on this board texture you not deny much equity by his folding.
Jeff_ what you think about the turn sizing ? Hero have very good hand by this turn is very bad if we look at ranges. villan range contain flush, TJs, 88, 99 and top of ranges closer. dont you think we need to bet small or x at high frequency ?
March 26, 2020 | 4:40 p.m.
I am assume that you have very small sample as well so don't over evaluate your HUD it can hurt you a lot. try to learn the population tendency and play accordingly.
March 26, 2020 | 4:33 p.m.
dont have much into on villan but i think we have the pot odds to call even against tight range.
I dont think I have enough EV by x/c and decide to turn this hand to bluff with ability to improve .
what you think about turn play ?
March 26, 2020 | 11:04 a.m.
The reason is the gutshots or the more higher cards to the 7 in BB range 8T 89 8J ? On K82 is same for Q72 ?
March 24, 2020 | 1:30 p.m.
If its all about our opponent errors vs our mixed sizing how we can explain spot where pio prefer one sizing only. BBvBTN Q72r PIO will used just the 1/3P size even if we allow bigger sizes. I understand the logic of protection and push equity on this board but we can bet bigger sizing with lower frequency and gain the same EV.
can you explain the theory ?
March 24, 2020 | 6:18 a.m.
Agree the fold preflop. The CO probably will get odds to call after you and you will be play OOP vs the CO and can be dominated with the FD.
In the river I think the population dont bluff here and you can fold the river with T high flush.
Im not sure about the turn as well. This flop hit the BB range and vs two opponent we dont have enough fold equity.
What you think about the lead ?
March 15, 2020 | 12:45 p.m.
The reason beihnd overbettong the trun is that it is polar distribution of ranges.
After IP cbet flop at high frequency in low sizing OOP need to x/r wide range.
When OOP just call the flop his range is capped on the turn and IP range have all the nuts as well as a lot of air and low equity hand. This lead IP to bet turn in low frequency with high sizing.
On this river OOP range not improving to something like flush or two pair hebce IP can shove with hands like AK,AA,KQ,JJ,KJ and maximize his value againt Kx
March 14, 2020 | 11:26 p.m.
Preflop you can 3bet 66-88 in mixed freq. you can add some suited connectors and 1 gapper in mix freq as well.
Otf I think population underbluff so you can overfold and call 88 with bdfd.
On flop start- you can 3bet somehand that need protection and have good equity like QQ-AA as villan can raise some 99-QQ vs the cbet.