how many guys said the same thing in 2009?
May 6, 2019 | 6:14 p.m.
you're a total joke
Saulo have all of his life in poker basically here on RIO since NL5. Never hide any downswing or anything.
now that all of your shitty arguments makes even less sense (if that is possible cuz you never made any fucking sense) you came with the most looser argument of all :~FAKE GRAPH~
and besides of that you need a fake to trash talk other players
thats how you perceived for everyone. do a favor to yourself and get the fuck out of here you stupid coward hater
Feb. 18, 2019 | 4:21 p.m.
Nov. 30, 2018 | 11:15 p.m.
Well, first of all you have to setup some parameters to say what a “missed boat” should mean. Means that you can’t be a multi millionaire anymore? That you can’t afford a good living in a 1st world country? That you can’t won even one penny at the long run? Well, of course you can’t aim to won billions with poker, or win cristiano ronaldo’s salary, but you still can aim a pretty gold living.
1- poker online will never be dead unless some facts could occur simultaneously:
a) technology have gone so far ONLY IN ONE WAY than “super bots” are not stopabble anymore. (here i mean that “super bots” tech have gone that far and the ways to stop them for some reason, don’t).
b) people do not like to play recreationally anymore
c) rake is even higher
d) laws issues makes more than a half of countries closed markets.
Some importants things i think i should mention:
1- People even at online highstakes are playing not even close to GTO, that “everyone is unexploitable” paranoia is insanse, humans will never be able to do it. And here again we are only considering NLHE and forgetting about other ways of poker like PLO who is a lot more complex to “solve” than NLHE. And of course all of that even counting with the fact that nlhe is somehow possible for a human to masterize it at all, which it isn’t.
2- We can’t forget that online poker is a billionaire industry. There are serious companies putting all their chips on it, companies growing up now and planning to work for several years. Its not like that for a billionaire industry to disappear.
3- Again. It really deppends of parameters of what is easy and what is good money/good lifestyle for you. And more important: what tools do you have to do it. Some people may think its too hard cuz they dont have a safe finnancial spot and are not able to make some the recquired sacrificies to achieve a poker life without it. There are soooo many variables in that! Mental is everything. If you are not happy, feeling lost, anxious about a life that you will soffer with a non-certain source of income than of course is too painful and too stressfull and too hard. If you want that poker would be like a regular 9-5 job you’re losing your time, it will never be. Its different.
Aug. 25, 2018 | 2:25 a.m.
I agree with Dan A , without zoom 4 tabling would be too low even for recs. About that, with the bot thing, do you think zoom/non-zoom have some impact in that? I know you already said that will not have zoom at the beggining, but i really think that zoom prevents more teamplay and bots than regtables.. do you have another point that im missing here?
Btw, another good policy by RIO, i really think it will be a success, anyone who is concerned about poker ecossystem will agree with you. I think the "pro-community" should stop being so sellfish in the short-term (cuz obviously your decisions are better for poker players in general at the long term, they being regs or recs). The most importante thing in the world is not you having the volume you want with all the comfort you want at only one site.
Aug. 2, 2018 | 4:55 p.m.
It's a good mindset to have in some manner, to not be surprised if a breakeven stretch or a downswing comes, of course, but just be sure that you're not like "anxiously expecting" for it to come like if you "don't desurve" those 10bb and thought times are inevitable, you know? I think those are two different ways to deal with it. I mean, imho you should enjoy a lot this moment, be proud as fuck of your graph (cuz its really awesome), be ready IF tought times come, but dont deal with it like if you're Always waiting for it to come, cuz you dont even know if it will come. It really feels to me that you're Always in the defense like "i dont know how reliable 45k hand sample per position is". IMO? is a lot. almost 300k hands at 10bb is A LOT. And about pools diferences, of course 200nl is tougher but imo is not that much, of course there's better regs and the reg/fish ratio is worst in general (but like you said, sometimes it dont), but the rake is lower and you as a nick fanboy too for sure realized that the majority of the pool have the same leaks, so imo you shouldnt be that surprise that you have the same WR.
There's a famous sentence that we use in brazil but im pretty sure its worldwide that says "Tell a lie often enough and it will become the truth". Who said those games are not beatable at such winrate? who said to you that 200z should be way tougher than 100z for you to be surprised with your wr at it? who said 500z is way tougher than 200z? who said nosebleed players are GTO robots not humans totally unexploitable? the same guys who never had a "run" like yours in not even 20k hands, maybe? :)
July 18, 2018 | 10:56 a.m.
the chance that you're just running hot and ure not a huge winner is just soooooo little that i cant believe you actually believe in it. that's pretty humble in some manner but the way im seeing you talk i can actually think it's probably your only big leak.
"Many times this year i have been telling to myself that you are just running hot, and this cant be sustainable. And i still think that way" lol bro, really? you're a crusher, believe in it, stop self sabotaging, IMHO you should not even think about seat more at 100NL, and this is not gonna bring any benefits for me cuz i def know who you are, i play against you at 200z and if it gonna bring some more confidence to you so yeap, you're for sure one of the best regs at 200z (there are not many goods imho with aldo respect with the others), so stop the bullshit bro xD
GL and congratz
July 9, 2018 | 9:50 p.m.
I already made myself the same question and what i've found is:
2) i believe not. the solution would be to lock all turns/rivers and see the EV changes, OR you can see the deviations and the EV changes in your whole strategy or in some combos changes with 1 aleatory turn or river and estimate if its enough to be higher EV than the other line if the deviations occurs in other turns/rivers too.
3) no, its not minimal and you should worry a lot about it.
June 20, 2018 | 5:52 p.m.
hey nick! long time, good to see you here! :)
i saw you talking a lot about "the apps" in the past, and i didnt find anything in poker detox applications where it tells WHERE your students are going to play. Can you answer that? Who decides it, you/your team or the students? Why this is not mentioned? Thanks!
June 4, 2018 | 9:32 p.m.
I will use this post subjetct to give my 2cents about all this reflection, hope you read, Phill.
I've been following all the threads about RIO poker, about the rake discussions and I have always been concerned about poker ecossystem and all that involves it. I'm a professional pokerplayer for 3 years and a half ~, and I admitt that I have no idea of (lol) how much it costs or how much it needs to be invested to create a poker site. BUT, it seems to me that this 'old way' of how things are going simply doesent fit anymore, or if it fits, it fits in a bad and "lazy" way. We're used to an ecossystem that gives the operator, lets say, 7bb/100 (a lot of games are way more than that), when the average reg can make 2bb or 3bb, its simply insane, and more insane than that is that the rec that wants to PLAY, pay for everything, and it just, obviously, makes the game thougher and the average and lazy reg forced to get better. If you make a very silly comparison between other activities, sports or e-spoorts, they all have another source of income. People watching, ads and etc. Maybe poker is not that cool to watch, but poker operators could be WAY more creatives than that, instead of just send the bill to the recs. And I believe (with all my non-knowledge lol), but just seeing how much an average rec lost to support operators+regs that people still wanna play, A LOT! But it doesn't mean that they need to pay the margin operators are aiming, and if those margins were smaller we would have easier games (better for recs and regs), more recs winning in the short-term, most fun, more people willing to play.
I grew up railing railheaven and dreaming about being a poker professional, its just not possible that poker sites could not monetize all that hype that could have in highstakes games in some manner.. paying to watch those games with all cards revealed, mandatory streams with a highstake game rake free that you only can watch paying, i dont know.. and besides of that just stay with the old-fashioned-lazy way, rake every hand, rake every hand.. even those apps are showing us that could have another way to look to this scenario. I dont have the solution, maybe poker is not that popular anymore, who knows, but we really should try to expoit something else.
About the already published policies, i think RIO is choosing the best way to protect the longevity of the games and i'm VERY happy about it. I loved the auto-seat and 1 option buy-in thing. If recs are more incentivized to play in annonymous no hud games, then annonnymous no hud it should be. If you're a reg and hud and bumhunting are essential to you, i really think you should do something else. I already played all type of environments and they all have they're pros and cons. I just think non-annonnymous games are more fun to 'feel' the game, to know which players are playing which games, who are growing up and etc, but i think its more a ego reg battle and it doesnt have more value than a non-hud annonnymous experience for the rec. And maybe you're keeping it to phase 2 highstakes games (:
sorry about my 3rd world country english xD
May 28, 2018 | 8:25 p.m.
i have pt4 :/ dont know now if its right lol. i used the filter "pot size big blinds between 0 and 1.5". i saw a lot of hands that i lost at hand reports, i believe this is the same filter, no?
ok, now i've tried this filter
(Player Won Hand OR Player Lost Hand) AND (Amount Won / Lost BB Between -1.50 and 1.50) and it looks like this lol. so confusing, anyone can help me here? =p
April 21, 2017 | 6:45 p.m.
hey nick! i'm winning a lot in 1-4, 4-10 and 10-20 with blueprints strategies for sure with a lot of stabs, probs, raise cbet, xr and cbetting 1/3 against overfoldings.. but i'm loosing a ton in 20-30bbs and 30-100bbs. do you think this is co-related? because when we face resistance against a field who overfolds a lot, i tend to give up and it seems that is interfering on my médium/big pots. pots > 100bbs i'm winning a lot, probably against fields overplay's.