25NL [FR] Betting out TPGK vs fish

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

25NL [FR] Betting out TPGK vs fish

Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - http://www.handconverter.com/hands/2769635
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

CO: $43.44 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 2,2, Hands: 41123
BTN: $33.29 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 2,2, Hands: 55102
SB: $29.91 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 3,1, Hands: 42895
* Hero (BB): $33.84 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 5, AF: 3,6, Hands: 17512
* UTG: $25.10 - VPIP: 40, PFR: 18, 3B: 12, AF: 3,0, Fold to CB IP: 38 Hands: 104
UTG+1: $38.01 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 2,6, Hands: 6528
UTG+2: $10.00 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 2, AF: 1,5, Hands: 326
MP1: $8.72 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 2,3, Hands: 12846
MP2: $13.51 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 18, 3B: 10, AF: 2,6, Hands: 151

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with Qd Ad
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.25, 4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, UTG calls $1.25, MP1 calls $1.25

Flop: ($4.60) 7h Jh As (3 players)
Hero bets $4.21, UTG calls $4.21, MP1 folds

Turn: ($13.02) 6h (2 players)
Hero bets $6.25, UTG raises to $12.50, Hero folds

It seems to me the last decision OTT is quite easy since a minraise from fish usually means strength. However, I'm more interested in the scenario that the fish would call me OTT and the river turns a brick. Shall I put him all-in OTR? Will he call with enough worse hands (won't the 3 hearts scare him)? Shouldn't we play for pot control OTT/OTR with flush possibilities out there?

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