Betting on River...how to calculate exactly with optimal bluff frequency and value figured in?

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Betting on River...how to calculate exactly with optimal bluff frequency and value figured in?

Say we need 33% optimal bluff frequency in a spot.  We bet 10 combos of value that have 80% vs an opponent's calling range.

Do these 10 combos turn into 8 value combos and 2 "bluffs"?

If it does, to get to 33%, we need to add 2 extra combos of bluffs.  Totaling 8 value combos, 2 "bluffs" (losing value hands) and 2 extra combos of bluffs.  8 value, 4 bluffs, 33% optimal bluff frequency.

However, vs our opponent's pure bluffcatchers that all our value hands beat, we still have 10 value vs 2 bluffs, so only a 17% bluffing frequency.  This seems wrong.  So I am wondering what exactly do we need to consider on river bets.


Loading 4 Comments...

Be the first to add a comment

You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.

This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy