Flop overpair vs check/push (overbet)

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Flop overpair vs check/push (overbet)

UTG: $609
LJ: $276.20
HJ: $609
CO: $648.44 (Hero)
BN: $808.31
SB: $736.90
BB: $240
18/16 Regular
Preflop ($9.00) (7 Players)
Hero was dealt A A
UTG raises to $18, LJ folds, HJ folds, Hero calls $18, BN folds, SB calls $15, BB folds
I decided to non3bet due to his high fold3bet, and there is Squeezers at blinds
Flop ($60.00) T 7 K (3 Players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $38.39, SB folds, UTG raises to $591, and is all in, Hero folds
I need to win 44% of the times, and I don't have any read of the villain
Final Pot
UTG wins $133.98
It depends how wide we set the villain's range to decide it's a easy fold, easy call, or borderline call/fold

MP2 39.23% AdAs
MP3 60.58% KK, TT, 77, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, Ah9h, Qh9h, Jh9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h

From that range, I can remove KK, add some missclick/tilt combos and I would have a better decision

Help me assigning him range!

Greetings :)

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