NL 50 set vs river raise

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL 50 set vs river raise

UTG (Hero): $61.34 (123 bb)
MP: $54.53 (109 bb)
CO: $50.00 (100 bb)
BU: $50.00 (100 bb)
SB: $118.53 (237 bb)
BB: $56.25 (113 bb)

Hello opp is weak reg 19/16/6,7 BU cc 5%, BUvsEP 3b 4% ,WWSF 44% over 20k hands

Pre-Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with 9♥ 9♠
Hero raises to $1.50, 2 players fold, BTN calls $1.50, 2 players fold

Flop: ($3.75) 9♦ T♠ 2♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $1.17, BTN calls $1.17

Iam cbetting whole range on this flop

Turn: ($6.09) 6♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $4.86, BTN calls $4.86

78got there but there is still alot of value from pp,JTs,T9s, some turned fds and maybe QJs

River: ($15.81) K♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $8, BTN raises to $28

On this R maybe i should bet a little bit bigger? 2pairs or set is never folding i dont think he is able to xr bluff OTR against this line
We need around 28% to call his river raise
Against very optimistic raising range TT,66,KTs,QJs,T9s,87s we have 38% but i dont think he is going to xr river with T9s and KTs which maybe isnt even in his range and against TT,66,QJs,87s our equity falls down to 21%

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