NL10z BBvBU X/R Triple barrel bluff

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NL10z BBvBU X/R Triple barrel bluff

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $10.28
SB: $10.77
BB: $27.00 (Hero)
UTG: $13.33
MP: $10.80
CO: $8.45
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BB with J 8
3 folds, BN raises to $0.25, SB calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.15
Flop ($0.75) 4 3 7
SB checks, Hero checks, BN bets $0.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.60, BN calls $1.10
Turn ($3.95) 4 3 7 9
Hero bets $2.65, BN calls $2.65
River ($9.25) 4 3 7 9 3
Hero bets $22.50 and is all in, BN calls $5.78 and is all in

OTF: As solvers often suggest with such hands that have backdoor FDs and coordinate around the board, I picked my hand for a X/R bluff. Im pretty sure Im overdoing it sometimes, especially vs bigger sizings where theory also says to tone down X/R agression.

Turn: The thing about the turn is that by villain betting and him calling a reraise, his range will be narrowed so much here that my bet is probably marginal at best. He is still calling with all of his overpairs, FDs, maybe 7x still in case he thinks im full of shit but he could be also folding those MPs sometimes. The only thing that helps out here is my picked up equity, so that I have around 14%.

River: In case I want to triple barrel this, I shouldve probably sized down turn a bit more, so hes not priced in with half his stack to call with his overpairs. Its probably one of the worst cards against an aware opponent to bluff (we have less 33, his overpairs beat our two pairs like 74s or 43s that go for such a line) and I would probably not go with it on higher limits, but I think its still good enough.

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