Live 5/10/20 PLO

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Live 5/10/20 PLO

9 handed - hero (CO) 7.3k viewed as decent winning player with TAG tendencies. villain (BU) - 6.8k, good lag can be a little spewy sometimes. will also 3b fairly wide.

hero dealt AcKsTc4h in co. folds to LJ bad reg (2.2k) opens to 60. HJ folds, hero flats. Villain (BU) 3bs to 260 all blinds fold. bad reg and hero flat.

flop Qc4c2d - $815 pot

bad reg checks. hero??

do any of you feel strongly towards checking or leading in this spot? also thoughts on x/r or c/c vs villains cbet here with a spr of 8?

Checking will allow us to gain info from the bad reg as villian will likely be cbetting frequently in this spot. being oop with an spr of 8 vs a cbet I think my x/c range will be very NFD heavy with some Qxxx with some infrequent QQxx and rare 22xx and 44xx. I think villain should be able to play pretty well vs that range in pos. I will also have some rare 345x, 356x and A53x without clubs

x/r has merits but seems a bit spewy this deep.

I choose to lead 600. We should have more than enough equity here to bet call it off vs the bad reg's range here for the rest of his $1940 stack and can put pressure on a lot on the villains 1 pair hands with the bad reg left to act. we may get a little bit of deception value on clubs as I feel villain would expect me to x/c a lot of my FDS in this spot.

Villain flats 600, bad reg folds. villains range here should contain some Qxxx, nearly all FDs, AAxx, KKxx both with or without clubs and slow played QQxx and somewhat unlikely 44xx and 22xx

Qc4c2d turn 9d - $2015 pot - spr 2.95 - eff stack $5940

I'm really unsure about this spot. If we barrel turn I think I get a lot folds from his unimproved hands, but a lot of his Qxxx, AAxx KKxx will often pick up equity on this turn. Also if we get jammed on I'm unsure if we can profitably call off depending on our turn sizing. i think x/jamming turn is spewy vs his turn betting range as I think it will be a very strong range that wants to bet here. I think a x/c line protects our equity the best but if we face a large turn bet from a likely strong range its not an easy call as im not sure how good our implied odds will be on clubs and rivers that make us 2 pair my be tricky to play. Any thoughts on turn strategy in this spot would be greatly appreciated??

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