PLO10 checkdown a very nice hand (top2 and flushdraw)
Posted by Gambling_Poet
Posted by
Gambling_Poet
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO10 checkdown a very nice hand (top2 and flushdraw)
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
CO: $11.39
BN: $8.63
SB: $4.00
BB: $10.18 (Hero)
UTG: $17.29
MP: $11.50
BN: $8.63
SB: $4.00
BB: $10.18 (Hero)
UTG: $17.29
MP: $11.50
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is BB with
Q
T
J
A
, , , , , ,
Flop
($2.50)
T
Q
J
, ,
Turn
($2.50)
T
Q
J
8
, ,
River
($2.50)
T
Q
J
8
2
, ,
CO was a 90/10 fish, BTN was 40/20. So I give CO 90% and deduct a 2%3bet IP range to takes some of the AA out, and give CO a range of FI40%, deducting a 3bet IP range of 4%.
CO will have TT+ 24%, if he doesnt, BTN will have TT+ 37%, so the chances that at least one of them has it will be 24%+ 76%*37%=52%.
That is pretty high Id say, and the chances of taking the pot down on this board should be incredibly low. We do of course have a valubet, but there are many turn that will ruin everything so I decided to check and see, repeating the same on the turn, and ended up checking down a pretty strong hand.
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