plo50: Set ip on StraightC Turn - what to do?
Posted by Nagelring
Posted by
Nagelring
posted in
Low Stakes
plo50: Set ip on StraightC Turn - what to do?
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
CO: $112.25
BN: $52.45 (Hero)
SB: $50.20
BB: $83.21
UTG: $145.01
MP: $84.76
BN: $52.45 (Hero)
SB: $50.20
BB: $83.21
UTG: $145.01
MP: $84.76
MP seems to be fishy, 60/26 over 43 hands. low cbet so far (4/10)
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is BN with
J
5
J
9
, , , , ,
Flop
($3.50)
Q
J
3
, , , ,
Turn
($9.44)
Q
J
3
A
,
Hey guys,
PF is kinda loose i know, but with a big fish in the SB and a nit in the BB can't be that bad.
F: seems standard
T: I did some PJ analysis, if we assume that villain opens w 40% of hands and ch/c the Flop with: dd,T9+,KT+ excluding Add:3+,J3+,KT9+:(3+,dd),AA:T9+ theeeeeen he will have AA+ 30% of the time (23% Eq for Hero) ott and a flush or straight Draw 65% of the time(72% Eq for Hero).
So how to proceed from here? Easy Bet/Fold and next hand or do we have some other options?
Glad to here some comments :)
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