Thin value bet (minraise) on river w 4th nuts on paired flush board
Posted by menofold
Posted by
menofold
posted in
Low Stakes
Thin value bet (minraise) on river w 4th nuts on paired flush board
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
MP: $62.81
CO: $23.81
BN: $30.04 (Hero)
SB: $111.57
BB: $41.63
UTG: $17.86
CO: $23.81
BN: $30.04 (Hero)
SB: $111.57
BB: $41.63
UTG: $17.86
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BN with
Q
2
Q
J
, , , , ,
Flop
($3.55)
7
K
K
, , , ,
Turn
($6.95)
7
K
K
2
,
River
($6.95)
7
K
K
2
Q
, , ,
Bad river call at the end. My plan was to raise / fold but my mind force my to call. It would have been the right moment to make a few min. brake from playing.
I do strongly believe a minraise we could get Villain (56/23/15) to call his whole leading range range -> NF+
I did use the Pokerjuice Tool - Shove vs SOR. The EV of these play would be +1,7$.
If he only calls w 22+ than the raise cost us 5,28$
If he was leading 22+ in the first place, which should be more accurate as he was potting on the river than we would lost 15$.
Regarding to low stakes:
Can we expect villain to lead pot with NF+ and get him to call his whole range?
Or is it more likely to face a min. 22+ pot lead on the river?
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