JoyO

Is this bluff too much? When villain bets HP on this turn I believe he is betting a weaker pair that will fold in some spots. Villain has a turn and river bet of 50-60% so I think I won't get to show down easily if I call the turn and there are some holdings like AK, weak pairs, and bluffs I can get to fold.

I could see villain doing this with a lot of Ax like A5s+, A9o+, 66, 77, KT/s, K9s, Q9s, QT/s.
I thought that with the nut flush blocker and a blocker to some QJ I could represent a straight and fold out some weaker holdings that would bet HP on the hand. The only issue I could see is that with hands like Q9 and QT he also has a blocker that is relevant and could potentially hero call, however I think those hands are too weak to call a river jam.

I think this board works well for my range, but I'm not sure if I should be bluffing with AJ here. Maybe I should only be bluffing with AJs in this spot instead.

Hero (SB) ($26.61)
BB ($21.48)
UTG ($19.80)
MP ($21.01)
CO ($31.57)
Button ($24.47)

Preflop: Hero is SB with As, Jh
1 fold, MP raises $0.70, 1 fold, Button calls $0.70, Hero calls $0.60, 1 fold

Flop: ($2.30) 4s, 8s, 9c (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $0.95, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.95

Turn: ($4.20) 10c (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $2.10, Hero raises $6.50, MP calls $4.40

River: ($17.20) 6d (2 players)
Hero bets $18.46 (All-In), MP calls $12.86 (All-In)

Total pot: $42.92

UTG is limp folding a lot of hands and I only have BB to get through who has 42% VP. I think I can complete or raise, but since I am such a small stack compared to rest I felt I could shove ahead of their ranges and either get folds and collect dead money or get called and have good ev. Not sure if this is a mistake in retrospect and I should wait for a better spot in a FT with weak players.

2250/4500 Ante 500 NL - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

CO: 62.16 BB (VPIP: 34.50, PFR: 4.81, 3Bet Preflop: 3.85, Hands: 604)
BTN: 102.45 BB (VPIP: 53.75, PFR: 35.06, 3Bet Preflop: 10.53, Hands: 81)
Hero (SB): 21.02 BB
BB: 63.25 BB (VPIP: 42.17, PFR: 5.00, 3Bet Preflop: 2.56, Hands: 84)

4 players post ante of 0.11 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.94 BB) Hero has Ac 4c
CO calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 20.91 BB and is all-in, BB calls 19.91 BB, fold

Flop : (43.27 BB, 2 players) Kc Kh 9s

Turn : (43.27 BB, 2 players) Td

River : (43.27 BB, 2 players) 3h

Hero shows Ac 4c (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 31%, Flop 23%, Turn 14%)

BB shows Jh Ah (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 69%, Flop 77%, Turn 86%)

BB wins 43.27 BB