RunItTw1ce

5:30 you mentioned the preferred bet sizing choice is 2e for 57%. But there is a higher frequency of b33 going on. Why is the solver going small here on this K52-7double flush draw board? I think your thought process with your suits was good, but maybe more so for when you are IP and just stick to equity driven strategy OOP?

First congrats on getting back onto a full time schedule and prioritizing your health even while traveling.

I played a proper full-time schedule again, outside of traveling. I jumped straight back in, mixing 1k to 5k games right off the bat, but quickly realized I had taken on more than I was ready for.

Early in the month, I had a brutal session where I dropped $12k. I really felt like quitting.

I studied more, dropped back down to 1k, and committed to grinding it out.

I am surprised after running a CFP that a $12k swing, which given the stakes it is somewhere between 240 to 1200 big blinds swing would bother you that much. I remember you or Tom once told me to make it a goal to have 15, 20, or even 30 buyin downswings, so when they happen, which is inevitable, you are just completing your goal. This really helped me mentally with just accepting variance and not trying to control variance.

Solid video as always. Do you know if these two are done play each other?

I saw part of Frankie's video for Linus vs Prodigy results. I am not sure what the results are vs Asianflushie.

KQo, KK, QQ, AsXs, KsXs, Q8, Q3

Wouldn't most of these hands bet the flop?

Maybe not...

99 is a boat.

I'm confused by your statement. I thought we were talking about how KhKx was an "abysmal call." Only call off like KhXh or better here?

I had to check this for myself. A lot of the AKo without a club are folding the flop 57% of the time. Just continue more equity driven range OOP vs the 40% bet size. Turn it does favor b75 and b33 is almost never used. In general I was thinking whenever we donk bet its typically for a small size, so I was applying a blanket statement over too many scenarios. OOP BB vs BTN for example will probe the turn for a large size on range disadvantage Ax Kx turn and use more OB or X like 764cc-Kh board I assume BB as the PFC will use big bet or check if the flop checks through. When its another low card 8-2 then BB gets to use a small size. I think this was my confusion on the spot. I thought the king was so good for our range being we XC a lot of AK combos here and check most of our range on the flop, that we could donk bet this turn at a high frequency, which I wanted to use a small size for.

wizard link I put correct pot size and stack size. Left the preflop ranges as is.

32:15 I would have a hard time folding a flush here even though the board paired because the flop went XX. You mentioned 88 should bet the flop 96% of the time, so what are we really losing to besides some slow played hand 5% of the time?

28:08 T9h on T84r What are your thoughts on just calling the flop to see what he does on the turn? With the large 3bet preflop and large cbet about 70% pot. I assume the 3B-B70-Ai type line is going to be under bluffed where we can just fold a lot of turns if we don't pick up additional equity? Wizard Link likes the way you played it. And is calling a turn jam with 8x as well, but there are a lot of unnatural bluffs in theory that humans are not finding to make this +EV call. A2s A4s A5s all jamming. Some KTo QTo Jto jamming, which I don't think people are finding preflop a lot of the time. Other hands like Q9o J9o AQo AJo etc all jamming. A lot of unnatural bluffs on this turn.

When I did some node locking for top pair to jam the turn 75% of the time, gut shots 50% of the time. Then 2 pair, sets, and over pairs 100% of the time. T9s starts to mix in some folds. I think this is the route I would go down for either folding preflop vs the large 3bet, calling the flop and just folding the turn and not worried about being exploited since its under bluffed.

Node locked to not find the unnatural bluffs.

20:45 LJ plays X-R-Ai I agree with your analysis that 43d here should be an easy fold. It was MW on the flop. LJ has a natural flop check with range. So we can't reduce any flush draw combos from his range. On the turn hero choses b75 size and gets raised MW, so alarm bells are already going off. HJ folds. Then On the river we face a 2x pot jam.

Another spot I see people call off here "I have a flush, I can't fold. He could have the Ace of diamonds and be bluffing." When you focus on relative value instead of absolute value and just accept the fact that every node is under bluffed almost, this is just a bluff catcher and bluff catchers are all -EV against the pool.

The winning hand is always shown as well right? So I won't lose any sleep over not knowing what he had if I folded.

Even though you folded the flop on this hand, I think this hand is one of the best teachable hands for low stake players. I see this all the time! 14:40 when LJ raises preflop, LJ XR squeeze vs btn stab and BB call. Barrels turn 1/3 pot. Barrels river 1/3 pot and gets jammed on.

I see this all the time from recs with KhKx (LJ's hand) where they have "2 pair" and "flush blocker." Maybe btn is turning AhQx into a bluff etc. Just some insane logic. Even when it doesn't make sense, people just tend to have "it" when they raise on the river. I assume we can fold some small flushes here as well? Just continue boats and good flushes?

8:00 on 764cc-Kx board I just think of the spot as would this opponent try and make me fold AK here? This tells me that he is almost never bluffing. My main question would be would he over play a worse hand like KQc-KTc or as you mention chopping with other AK combos 20% of the time.

I'm not sure what to think of you XC40% - D75% line. Seems like a big donk size where I would usually expect something like 1/3 pot.

40:30 T#2 after you turn XR JT on the Q92-A board. Are you bluffing any rivers? I'm always scared to bluff the river if they call a big turn bet.

21:55 T#1 J93r-6dd board with AK do you prefer not having a diamond to OB the turn unblocking some of the calling range? I would typically only bet AdKx or AxKd here as a future bluff when diamond completes the river. Having a club here in your hand seems good as well unblocking some bdfd. So like AKdd or AKcc would be my hand choices for suited broadways that are barreling the turn. Not sure about XdXc combos.

Also do you find it strange getting dealt AhKc back to back hands same table and then AKo on T#2 as well? Earlier in the video you had AhQh on both tables. Out of all the possible combinations seeing this twice in the first 20 minutes of the video seems strange to me.

21:00 T#2 when LJ opens 3.5x and HJ calls. I like your fold in the BB with Q9s, but can you elaborate on the thought process here for folding the BB with Q9s? Part of me wants to call because I am playing in a live environment with 25 hands per hour. I see the HJ has a 75 vpip and I want to be in more pots with them, so calling 2.5 more bb here doesn't seem too bad, but the SPR will be lower than usual and oop vs 2 players. I assume we are still defending SCs, PP and suited broadways QTs here? Are you defending A7s hands as well? I've seen some wiz sim for MW that fold A8s-A6s.

18:45 folding 88 SB vs LJ. What do you think about just 3betting half the time with ATs KTs QJs QTs JTs AQo and calling the other half of the time and throwing in 88/77 into this calling range? I know in a pure 3B/F strategy from the SB your fold is fine in theory. Just feels like it takes so much discipline to fold here.

45:00 another spot on triple broadway board where I'm over folding vs a triple barrel. The turn depolarized 1/3 bet on flush completing card, then polarizing the river is a bit strange. Not sure if that is going to be more bluff heavy or not. For a couple months I was only using 1/3 as my bet size on the turn with 2 pair, sets, flushes, bluffs etc when its flush completing. I was missing value on the river though because I would stay depolarized to about 2/3 pot. So 33-33-66 line. What are your thoughts on depolarizing turn and then polarizing the river?

26:00 good break down of folding AK on this board vs most recreationals and only calling vs aggro recs who slow play dry boards and fast play the turn when its more wet. So aggro recs XR range on the flop is more bluff heavy on dry boards.

33:55 why are we checking A62cc so much instead of b25? If you used a tighter more linear 3bet range would this board still be checking? Nice call down here. I think I would fold in this spot again vs a BBB line on a triple broadway. Just feels severely under bluffed. We gave villain rope, but I'm a chicken in this spot.

37:00 you mentioned opponent is a MDA opponent using B70-B125 line BvB. You mentioned the OB on the turn is the "correct" play. I struggle with this because is it the correct play in theory or the correct play in MDA? I assume MDA doesn't want to cap your range, so it would use a smaller turn size to keep your range wide enough on the river where villain can OB and have more FE.

42:40 when the fish snap jams the river vs your X-B-B line you mentioned the river is polarized to 2 pair+. Are the fish snap jamming bluffs vs a double barrel? I considered the fish calling preflop and the check on the flop to be a more passive player, so when passive player raises, I just give them credit and fold unless I have a strong hand.

12:25 not to be result oriented, but I think I fold this vs 3x pot shove, bbb, triple broadway board. Villain has to turn a lot of QT, KT, maybe some 9cXc hands into bluffs. I think people choose cheaper bluff price usually. Where the previous 2 hands you are only calling 2/3 pot on the river.

Solid video setting up a lot of BBX spots on bad runouts. Then bluff catching against players who are trying to represent something that you block or they have only a low frequency of in their range. Well played!

I'd size up all my hands here no just the KK to remain balanced though

If the player is a fish, what is the point of remaining balanced and sizing up all your hands here? I was thinking maybe like AKs AQs don't mind seeing the flop. AKo AQo play worse oop, so can size up. QQ JJ TT don't mind villain folding so maybe size up with those. But Keep AA / KK more of a large but not too large of a size? Old Sauce123 video he actuallyed sized down with TT from his normal size because there are so many bad flops for JJ-99 region, he wanted to leave more room postflop, so he might go like 9bb with TT and 11 bb with AK. I know preflop is just a small EV difference whether you go small or big, it probably doesn't matter too much. Just curious about your thoughts on it, the being balanced part.

One last Example Steffan on the button is known for using 2bb to 5bb sizing depending on what he wants to accomplish. I'm thinking our 3bets could be similar strategy depending on player profile, stack size, off suit or suited, what we want the SPR to be, etc. Can pretty much do whatever we want since they are going to under 4bet regardless of what size we choose preflop.

15:40 would you ever 3bet the flop being you have the over pair advantage on 953 3BP IP? And OOP shouldn't be playing XR very often with sets?

26:30 you mentioned you would use a larger 3bet size. Are you going $150 because it's a fish? Given its roughly 100bb effective, do you have any concern about 3 betting larger and being more face up against the fish? Maybe go as big as 18bb or 18% of our stacks vs fish, given what the fish showed down with? Or is the 12bb enough to keep the fish's range wide where they are going to make a lot of mistakes postflop? I want to go big enough where we are still getting lots of value postflop, but I don't want to go so big, where they start folding hands like Ajo KQo T8s etc if they are a sticky fish.

Please use black background and white font in the future for your power point slides, much easier on the eyes. In the beginning having the white mouse curser and white background where you were trying to show a 30k downswing on the graph, its hard to follow the mouse, so you can get like a yellow circle around your mouse when you are trying to point to stuff, that would be helpful. Jericho does this in his videos, so its easier to point to what he is trying to help us visualize.

Looking forward to seeing some of your own hands, maybe reviewing some live stream footage of other pros and critiquing their strategies.

Quick update just looking at HCL tracker Luda has taken a $500,000 downswing recently. I'm not 100% certain what month of last year HCL got GFX (hole cards no longer available in real time). I want to say it was in August? Where Luda did win 200-300k after GFX came into play for HCL show. But since then 500k downswing.

Also looking at previous streams Luda used to avg 61 vpip, which is now down to 51 vpip. Why did he tighten up? Just a little bit. Still a very fish vpip. But I find it a little surprising that vpip gets lower and he starts to lose now that GFX is in play.

Poker cheater Valeriy Pak

Reddit link

2+2 link

This guy I saw him playing at Venetian the last two weeks as well. He went deep Day1 of the $1600. Was only a small field where top 5 cash. I believe the prize pool was 1.5M guaranteed. Then the day or so before he also went deep in like a $600. I left around 2am and they were still playing final 2 tables. I have no idea how, but he was sitting in seat 1 still. Still had the same ring and clothes on as the other tourneys. The floor was notified and they were in communication with the Wynn staff because the Wynn had an investigation on this Pak guy as well playing $5/$10 almost always seat 1 and building his stack up to $10-$20k every session. I have a buddy who played in the game with him all of last summer. There was no smoking gun, so valeriy was never banned by the Wynn, but people should be aware of possible pin hole camera in his ring.

Hendon Mob Not that impressive but looks like he is cashing in all the venetian tourneys I saw him play at least. One of the venetian dealers says he always has piles in the 2/5 game as well in the back when he deals to him. To be fair when I saw him playing 2/5 he was in seat 1, but he didn't have a big stack.

There is no smoking gun of this guy, but players need to be aware.

41:39 when Gab defends 62o Hunter Cichy you guys already made a deal where everyone gets like 2nd place money and you guys play it out for $15k for 1st right? So there is no 2nd place at this time? Doesn't make his defend good, but I remember some shenanigans after the deal was made. Edit* Never mind you discuss the deal 52:30 on this video.

47:00 if opponent over folds KK-88 and 7x on the flop vs a XR, on the turn do we only barrel OESD+ and don't barrel any GS? Should we also just block bet the turn with our 8+ out draws since IP is narrowed to AX or FD?

Luke Johnson I just wanted to give a shoutout to one of the smoothest layouts I have seen by any coach on this site. The table colors and background are easy on the eyes. You have jurojin for 8 hot keys preflop and post flop with an additional 4 hot keys from the site available at the click of the mouse. You have the jurojin line layout showing the raise size preflop as well as percentage of the pot they bet each street. Your hud is transparent, so no distractions from the matrix of numbers unless you hover over it. Overall, just a fantastic layout! I am looking forward to more of these videos. I had a similar layout on wsop, but I went vertical with the line layout so it's easy for me to tell what street they bet X% of the pot.

29:40 (T3) do you usually XC this river vs a BXB line? I'm trying to develop a bluff catching system, where in this spot I would fold because 1) you are up against EP range. 2) Double broadway board 3) Ace high texture being static they are going to slow play top pair more often.

Where I am more likely to call if I was against CO, BTN or SB in this spot. Also in the past I had a heuristic of bluff catching 3rd pair ace kicker or better (Too much SDV to fold) and anything worse as a bluff catcher I would fold or bluff raise. On this A52-7-J board facing b27-X-b67 line what do you think about bluff raising to like 24bb?

12:33 (T2) with the 97 when IP uses a small 1/2 pot river float bet, which is likely a weaker hand, why do you choose such a large 150% XR size if you are up against likely a weaker range?

27:30 (T2) with A4 even though you have a lot of strong hands in your range to merit the big size, nearly 400% pot. If overbets are over folded to on the river, shouldn't we size down when we have value? I'm also considering the fact he didn't raise your 16% turn donk bet, so likely a weaker range.

Overall, with these two hands there is a pattern of me going smaller when I have value because I think opponents range is weaker or maybe they are risk averse to calling larger bets. Not sure how bad this is on my side of things.

In your High Stakes Crusher Takes Over 50NL Rush & Cash – It's Not Fair video (14:22) there was a spot where you overbet shoved the river as a bluff in a spot that makes zero sense but you said it doesn't matter because they over fold. I'm trying to apply that same logic to when we have value and use B70-B150 and save our B200+ shoves for when we have bluffs. Unless we are playing against the same reg everyday, I don't see how they ever build up a big enough sample to know what we are doing.

8:18 (T2) is exactly how I feel in live poker. When the line and bet size is sus I want to bluff catch. However, they need to be bluffing 1/3 of the time here for the bluff catcher to be at least 0EV. I don't know if I'm a genius at times or just a dummy with no discipline in these spots. I would probably still fold your hand being the bet size is greater than b75, triple broadway, & multiway. There are several spots however, where I make these calls.

If you are playing on a table full of fish who under 3bet, wouldn't we want to open larger preflop? You mentioned you want to go smaller and cbet at a higher frequency. Any thoughts on splitting your RFI size depending if there are fish in the blinds or not? If fish are in the bilnds the sample size is going to be relatively small, so should we even worry about balance with raising premiums bigger 3x to target the fish?

Tyler Forrester

The only argument against B200 is that you are going to get jammed on here roughly 10%-15% of the time, which means your straight flush draw isn't that pertinent (only coming into play the 17% or so of the time they call). B200 really isn't a theoretical play here, because IP should have sets and J9s and pretty high frrequencies and B200 is basically claiming they have sets+ about 2-3% of the range.

Can you elaborate a bit more. This went over my head. B200 is bad because they have sets or straight more than 2-3% of the time? Wizard shows set is about 8% and 2 pair less than 1%, but apparently never has J9s in the preflop range. I would agree with you that because the flop started MW as well and preflop ranges should be wider. There should be more J9s in range as well as hands like 8d8x in range as well, given villain had 6d6x in this hand. So if they have 2 pair+ 10-15% of the time and jam the turn vs B200, we have to fold our combo draw? I thought we would have enough Equity to call off here? Not loving it, but would call off.

Hero's range on the turn. B75 seems like a popular bet size in solver land here. A little bit of B125, but nothing bigger. I was also thinking (hindsight) maybe we don't want to use B200 because a lot of rivers are bad for us and IP can take away the pot on a lot of bad run outs? So we don't really want to bloat the pot OOP?

Villain's range if hero checks the turn