AJo Turn and Riverplay
Posted by Hans Wurst
Posted by Hans Wurst posted in Low Stakes
AJo Turn and Riverplay
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
BN: $67.52
SB: $50.85
BB: $139.22
UTG: $61.42
MP: $50.00 (Hero)
CO: $51.74
SB: $50.85
BB: $139.22
UTG: $61.42
MP: $50.00 (Hero)
CO: $51.74
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is MP with
A
J
, , , , ,
Flop
($10.50)
Q
J
6
,
Turn
($21.50)
Q
J
6
4
Hi everybody.
Preflop I should have folded, I misread the 3bet to 2,5x.
On the Turn I get pot Odds from 12:45,5 which means I need 26,4% EQ to call.
Against a range of KK-JJ,AQs,KQs,T9s,98s,AQo,KQo I have 23,3% EQ.
Do you think that is a range that Villain is likely to bet on the Turn (which would mean that Villain is only x/ring for value with AA)? Especially do think that AQo and KQo are standard 3bets?
If I keep all the AQ in his range but delete KQo frim his range I get 26,8% EQ
River
I need 27,6% EQ (28/101,5).
Even If I delete teh KQo from his range this would not be enough to call a riverjam. Therefore I should be folding teh Turn if it's close I guess.
What do you think?
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