HUPLO 400, facing turn x/r, exploitative fold #2?

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HUPLO 400, facing turn x/r, exploitative fold #2?

BB: Player1: $1256.81
SB: Hero: $533.19
Preflop ($6.00) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt 5 9 T 4
Hero raises to $10, Player1 calls $8
Flop ($24.00) 4 5 4 (2 Players)
Player1 checks, Hero bets $16.45, Player1 calls $16.45
Turn ($56.90) Q (2 Players)
Player1 checks, Hero bets $36, Player1 raises to $132.30

Same session than in this post.

Villain is a PLO 400 reg. I have played him for 700 hands in the past, and he had somewhat aggro stats. I have him tagged as a bad player, but can't quite remember why (yes I know, great note-taking!). His OOP VPIP is 90%.

This said he has been playing this particular session in loose-passive style. He has made some very questionable oop flop calls of a c-bet. He has shown the goods in the only three hands where he has shown aggression so far.

My image is slightly aggro. I am down two buy-ins now (see post linked above), so my opponent is probably expecting me to be more aggro than usual.

I am near the top of my range, meaning that a fold here would make little sense GTO-wise. But my opponent hasn't shown anything funky so far, and in my experience this type of player is rarely bluffing this type of spots.

His flop calling range is most-likely some sort of overpair, a wrap, 4x, 55. AA & KK wouldn't raise turn. So I guess that the question reduces to "is this type of straightforward reg turning a wrap or say JJ-TT into a bluff".

Can I find a fold here or am I just going crazy?


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