I think calling is not good, mw sucks in this spot as you've said. Ok to fold considering the blinds are short and a cold 4b will be awful imho, I can be wrong sometimes tho, but if I believe I have an edge against the maniac I will be isoing a lot, another important point is what he think of us (I am just gonna assume you are playing regular table and have some history at this point), because most of the time we will lose money bluffing marginal hands if he can't grasp a tight/strong perceived 3b range (or just not being calling station / high WTSD stats), and thus getting exploiting by his overly aggro bets.
Nov. 8, 2017 | 2:33 p.m.
Thanks for the input, Georg!
I agree with folding pre, I'd do that for sure, but it was a limped pot and I was in the big blind, and after post-flop I will not be closing the action because still there are two players left after me, and I will be OOP during the whole thing haha
IP and closing the action it will be a lot easier to decide between calling and raising depending on villain type for sure!
Nov. 3, 2017 | 3:47 p.m.
I think 1/4 bet will induce a lot of bluffs, would you be betting this size OTT with QJ here?
I am kind in between check/calling or betting big and then consider folding if he raises, the problem with betting is that we are not comfortable calling a raise and against possible maniacs we will be exploited a lot, hence I'm inclined to c/c with this player, even though I wouldn't like to call a psb as you said he could.
If villain is super aggro AND fish, he can be bluffing a couple of hands that we beat or at least have good equity to call, but I don't like folding when blocking the nuts.
Oct. 24, 2017 | 2:50 p.m.
BB: $15.66 (Hero)
Oct. 23, 2017 | 7:47 p.m.
River don't bring a full house, which I think would be your concern when you bet turn, you are basically extracting value from KKxx who is trying to re-draw, so most of the time you are turning your hand into a bluff imo.
I'd prefer not to bet turn in order to bluffcatch river or when he checks then value bet against KK+, he can be bluffing AhAxx or in some scenarios even having the nut flush.
As played I'd fold this spot, no info on villain and it seems a decision more on the player dependent side, also your bet turn made the pot too big for a bluff to be decent imho, and for sure a note on him.
Oct. 23, 2017 | 7:34 p.m.
CO: $30.44 (Hero)
Oct. 17, 2017 | 5:54 p.m.
I recommend watching some Leszek Badurowicz's videos on stats, it helped me quite a lot when setting up a HUD.
I've built mine on OM2 just to have it done, but truth is that most stats you will need a big sample, so I'd suggest starting with a few ones that shows a player tendency and as you start making decisions based on those, then you carry on adding more and more;
e.g. Name / Tot hands / Agg Factor
VPIP / PFR / 3bet / Fold to 3bet
Flop Cbet / Flop Fold to CB / Flop Check-Raise / Flop Donk Bet
These are few I check on almost always. GL
Oct. 17, 2017 | 5:16 p.m.
Villain is on the tighter side
I'd rather bet flop then, he has a strong range and would be calling at least one street in such texture with most of his range, I think sizing around half pot or less is nice, so he can even try to exploit bluff raise us and maybe 2nd barrel turn on that run out, on which I'd be calling again cos there is no FD now and I prefer to keep his bluffing range.
Although as played I don't see why raise the river when he pot, the raise itself would have got hands like KK/QQ to fold (which is already bizarre of thinking that he might value bet these when he could x/c river sometimes, lol imho) and your size would make a possible (but least expected) AA to re-think it and more often fold, that's why just calling is fine here with the second nuts.