Douggyfr3sh's avatar


157 points

Comment | Douggyfr3sh commented on Specifically Poker

+1 Love this question.

Oct. 26, 2017 | 11:08 p.m.

Comment | Douggyfr3sh commented on Specifically Poker

Q&A Question:

Do you think it is intelligent to heavily prioritize spending study time on mental game and performance aspects? I mean to the point of spending almost no time on technical study. I have a full-time day job that takes up 50 hr/wk and I'm committed to grinding 12 hrs/week of 2 tables 200NL Zone on Bovada (I often exceed this target). I have been studying about 5-8 hr/wk and for the past 3+ weeks, this has been almost entirely mental game/performance study. I have been studying Elliot Roe's content and putting a lot of time into meditation and yoga. I've always felt that mental game issues have been my biggest leaks, and since shifting my focus almost exclusively to these things, I have seen really good results. It's not a huge sample yet, but I feel like my results lately come directly from this shift in thinking and focus. If you think this is intelligent, how do we know when it's time to dial back in order to dedicate more time to technical study such as Pio analysis?

Oct. 24, 2017 | 12:37 a.m.

Good Morning!

It's almost 6 AM. I've been up for about two hours. I start a new job as a Software Engineer tomorrow, so I'm trying to adjust to a new schedule. I'm trying to really focus on balance and having a sustainable, healthy schedule that will make me happy.

After graduating from Hack Reactor a few weeks ago, I started a job search. I had my heart set on finding a fully remote work from home job, but that's not what happened. I interviewed at a large local software company just over a week ago. I went into this interview with the mindset that this position was not one of my top choices, and because of that I was able to be myself and felt no pressure or stress during the interview. I was super impressed by the project managers who interviewed me and also really liked some of the company benefits.

After receiving a great offer from this company, I negotiated to receive slightly more salary and also to work remotely from home 2 days per week after coming up to speed. The company also has a gym, a cafeteria, a game room, and laundry service in the office! I'm pumped to get started tomorrow and look forward to getting more aggressive with my bankroll now that I have a solid, stable income.

My New (tentative) Schedule

My new job is around a 45 minute commute from home, and is roughly a 9-5, so my weekday schedule is drastically changing starting today. Here's what it looks like:

4:00 AM: Wake Up, Medding, Coffee

4:45 AM: Grind 50NL Zone on Ignition

6:30 AM: exercise 3d/wk, study 2d/wk

7:30 AM: Leave for Work

6:15 PM: Home from work. Meditate. Study Poker/Software Engineering

7:45: Relax. Read, flexible time (may grind live cash 1-2 days/wk)

9:30-11:30 PM - go to bed (depends on day of week)

I plan to grind full Sunday schedules of MTT/Zone as much as I can and will start to grind Thursday night MTT sessions when I start working at home 2 days/week.

Goals this week

I'm gonna try to have one main goal per week to focus on in an attempt to build healthy habits. This week's primary goal is:

Medding twice daily, every single day

Sept. 4, 2017 | 10:09 a.m.

Watched this last night and it really helped me understand how I can run experiments in Pio to produce actionable results. Thanks Ben!!

Aug. 9, 2017 | 5:33 p.m.

Post | Douggyfr3sh posted in Other: Good 9-max SNG ROI in 2017?

Does anyone have a good feel for what top regulars are able to obtain for SNG ROI in normal 9-max SNGs these days?

To be more specific, I'm playing US sites and plan to reg mostly $10-$109 9man SNG both regular speed and turbo (but not hyper). I've put in meaningless volume so far (like 30 ish games). I am enjoying the format and like the ability to put in short sessions. I feel like I have an edge but I have researched wintates of regs and so far many of the regs I have played have win rates of like -1% to +2% over >1k games samples. This concerns me a little as I would want to be able to obtain an ROI much higher than this to pursue grinding SNGs. (Like 5% +). I know many high volume grinders can have around a break even ROI and still make a decent amount after RB, but for me to justify focusing on SNGs I think around a 5% ROI has to be sustainable. Otherwise, I'm incentivized to just stick with MTTs only.

Any insight would be appreciated, thanks!

Aug. 7, 2017 | 1:39 p.m.

What's Up!!!

Hey Everyone,

Since it has been forever since I posted in here and I have a few minutes this morning, I wanted to pop in and say hello.

I've been insanely busy studying to finish up my last few weeks at Hack Reactor and I'm currently developing a fully featured iOS mobile application for my final project. I've also been doing some blogging over at my personal site.

Finishing Strong

I plan to continue working hard for the next couple of weeks to finish Hack Reactor strong. To do that, I will need to continue grinding away at toy problems, writing good blogs, and independently learning. I won't have much time for anything else until I land a job!

But.... Poker?

Although I am having a great time at Hack Reactor, I have to be honest and say that I am missing poker. I have had very little time to study or play. Over the last few weeks I have started to ease back into studying MTTs a bit and playing a few sessions. I was a little worried that I would be behind the curve and not have much of an edge in MTTs after taking time off, but so far I am quite happy with my play and my results since stepping back into the ring!

Going forward I am planning to play large MTT sessions every Sunday and just study poker an hour-ish per day during the week. This should give me plenty of time to focus mainly on Software Engineering and still scratch that poker itch while studying the game.


Aug. 2, 2017 | 3:37 p.m.

Game started at: 2017/7/28 1:40:10
Game ID: 968677916 3000/6000 $5,000 GTD - Hyper Turbo Mega Stack, Table 5 (Hold'em)

Seat 1: caseymullah23 (317667).
Seat 2: Douggyfr3sh (258261). <----- BTN 43bb
Seat 3: knotpeyyin (59700). 10bb
Seat 4: always_wp (115700). 19.2bb
Seat 5: Zonker133 (58696).
Seat 6: billwalton (152725).
Seat 9: FatSkinnyGuy (181524).

Player Douggyfr3sh received card: [Qc]
Player Douggyfr3sh received card: [4c]

Player Zonker133 folds
Player billwalton folds
Player FatSkinnyGuy folds
Player caseymullah23 folds

Player Douggyfr3sh allin (257661) <------ WHYY?

So basically in this spot it is folded to me on BTN with Q4s and SB has 10bb BB has 19.2bb

I decided to jam in game and I think it's a mistake.

I can verify with HRC analysis that this is not a nash jam, however vs. population tendencies it is somewhere between neutral and extremely slightly +EV. So close that even if I play pure jam or fold in this spot Q6s should be the bottom of my jam range. However, I don't think I should play push/fold here and I think I should have a non all in opening range to like 2.35x with lots of hands in it.

How do you guys go about building a strategy in this spot and filling in our non-allin range with value and bluffs?

I can model this spot in HRC to give me a 2.33x and an all in option, but the result is wonky and it basically seems to strongly prefer a jam or fold strategy. Is that really optimal here?

Aug. 2, 2017 | 3:20 p.m.

Cool, thanks for the reply. When you say you use PIO for redoing preflop ranges, does that require the Edge subscription to do preflop solves, or are you able to do that with a pro or basic version?

July 4, 2017 | 12:05 a.m.


Your 3b or fold ranges look pretty solid. Would you mind sharing a little more about how you constructed them? I am also playing mainly a 3b or fold strategy in cash but my 3b ranges are much wider. I'm playing in anonymous zone pools where villains literally never have any sample on you so using very exploitative ranges PF makes a ton of sense, however having tighter ranges makes the postflop game tree more playable and easier to learn how to play many spots.

Also, I think it makes sense to use 2 3bet sizings- one for IP 3bets and one for OOP 3bets. I've personally been using 3x IP 4x OOP (so 4x from SB and BB).

July 3, 2017 | 11:42 p.m.

@ 11:40 where Toilet cold 4b's and you just move on to the next hand- IMO it would be valuable for the viewers if you play that HH out so we can see what sort of game flow/villain info you may have had in-game. If the cold 4b pot was one that you would have watched play out in-game for information purposes I think it would be great for us to be able to see it as well.

Great content as always, thanks!

July 1, 2017 | 6:54 p.m.

To Clarify- you use a HUD on stars but no HUD on other sites? Or no HUD across all sites when playing many tables? Would you be willing to comment a bit further on why you think using no HUD is a good decision when mass tabling? Personally, I go back and forth between using a HUD playing mostly ignition MTTs (anonymous site) and some volume on ACR. I feel that there is some value in using very simple HUD even on anonymous sites as PF stats don't take long to converge and it helps to easily identify fun player types rather than trying to memorize each player type across all tables. When you are not using a HUD, do you ever find yourself in spots where you wish you had some basic stats to make a decision easier? A basic example would be something like deciding what our sb vs bb strategy should be vs. an unknown BB. If you've played maybe 30-50 hands vs. bb some simple stats could be quite useful in deciding overall strat there. Any thoughts?

July 1, 2017 | 2:58 p.m.

Haven't read most of the other replies. My standard answer is that db merging is completely undetectable and unenforceable so therefore it should not be against TOS. However, I believe that ghosting (playing on someone else's account or instructing someone how to play through something like teamviewer) should pretty clearly be against TOS, even though this is also essentiallly undetectable and unenforceable. Where to draw the line here is a difficult decision.

June 30, 2017 | 6:26 p.m.

Nope, no more poker...

...well, almost. Last week I put in about 80 mins of online cash play and studied for around 30 minutes. This software engineering thing is going to take up all of my time for the next 12 weeks. I've been consistently putting in 13-15 hour days and won't stop. I don't really take "days off" when there is no class on Sunday either.

However, this weekend will be an exception. We are lucky enough to get a 2-day weekend with Monday being a holiday. I will probably get at least some volume in for that.

Hack Reactor has been incredible so far. I am learning a ton and growing a lot as a person. I am really enjoying the program and wake up every day excited to tackle the day's challenges. I've created a blog website at and will be using it to write about code, Hack Reactor, and life in general. Once in a while, I may throw in some poker content.

TL;DR version: putting poker away for the next few months. Becoming an elite software engineer. Getting a cool job. Then, maybe some poker?

May 26, 2017 | 8:27 p.m.

I'm still here!

What's up! Since my last post, I've been very busy and have been having a great time. I completed Hack Reactor pre course and started Day 1 today! I'm currently on my lunch break (1 hour in the schedule, 25 mins in reality) and thought I'd fire a quick update into this thread.

Last weekend I took a 3-day vacation trip to Texas where I entered my first Tough Mudder. I loved that experience and had an awesome time, and will definitely be entering more of these. I spent the remainder of the weekend in Austin. I had never been to Texas before and I absolutely loved Austin, like a lot. It is unique and has a really cool vibe. Maybe my favorite city of all time. I plan to write a much more detailed trip report of my Austin trip as soon as I can, and will link it here.

No More Poker?

I have played a grand total of 1 hour of poker over the past two weeks. I've been far too busy preparing for full-time coding and traveling to play or to study much.

My plan going into HR was to play 1 hour and study 1 hour of poker every weeknight and to play and study around 2 hours on Sundays. The program is incredibly intense and will be by far the most difficult thing I have ever done- and I need to make it my top priority. This could potentially mean some weeks with no poker at all, and may even mean little to no poker for the next 13 weeks. I'm okay with that, but for now, the plan is still to get an hour in each night. Time will tell whether this is sustainable. I bought enough WSOP action to at least keep some sweats going throughout the summer, so that will satiate my desire for poker somewhat.

Personal blog/website

I have the domain name and have started to build a personal website where I will write articles, blogs, vlogs, etc. to document my journey through Hack Reactor. I'll link here as soon as it launches.

Dat's all for now!

May 15, 2017 | 8:07 p.m.

Comment | Douggyfr3sh commented on Specifically Poker

Ohh mannn this is gonna be good!

May 4, 2017 | 10:54 p.m.

Final Week of Precourse

I'm currently taking a shit and typing on my phone (sometimes multi tasking can be good) so this will be pretty quick.

I had an OK week last week and was able to complete the second section of Hack Reactor precourse, and I'll be finishing up the final section this week. I didn't get any of it done yesterday and will need to grind hard the next few days since I'm leaving around 4 am on Friday to head to the airport for a flight to Austin, TX. I'm heading south to attend my first Tough Mudder event. This is going to be a 12 mile obstacle course and I'm not sure if it's going to be easy or will make me realize how woefully out of shape and skinny fat I am. I haven't really been training for it, and have no idea what to expect. No matter what I think it's going to be awesome. I'm planning to hang out in Austin for the weekend and have never been to Texas so it should be a lot of fun.

I'm off to study recursion and check/raising the turn. Later!

Goals this week:

-Finish Hack Reactor precourse
-Attend and complete my first Tough Mudder
-Secret goal

May 2, 2017 | 12:34 p.m.

Hack Reactor is Officially Official

What's Up!

Have been continuously very busy for the past weeks. I've been working really hard on software engineering work and also wrapping up my previous job. I had my last day on Friday, and for the next few weeks, I'm splitting my time between mostly studying code and cleaning my apartment and minimalizing my life as much as I can before starting the grind of full-time software engineering school. So far I have gotten rid of hundreds of household items and actually will need to rent a roll-away dumpster sometime next week to throw out a ton of stuff. This process has been very calming and enjoyable. I had my readiness interview for HR yesterday, which is the last real gate to full acceptance to the program. It's officially official!!

Meh Poker

Poker has been going somewhat shitty lately. I haven't had time to study and when I do put in sessions I'm distracted. My results have reflected this. I'm really hoping that after this week I will be able to focus a bit more on studying poker a few hours a day, and I still would like to grind 1-2 hrs per night while in school to stay somewhat fresh. I really wanted to transition into cash games to make this easier, but the NL zone games are just not going well at all. I'll figure out a schedule and a game over the next few weeks, but for now, I am in regression. I'm confident I will turn it around but it is frustrating at the moment.

Poker Software

I have some ideas about some simple poker apps and tools I want to try to make, and I hope to get started on one of those near the end of next week. If anybody has a suggestion for a relatively simple software tool that doesn't exist yet please PM or post here if you're willing to share it!

Goals for the week:

-Complete Section 2 of HR precourse
-Cut all ties with previous job (return company owned equipment, etc)
-ACTIVELY Watch at least 5 poker training videos and take very good notes
-Spend at least 2-3 hours starting to build a poker app

April 25, 2017 | 5:50 p.m.


Had a super busy past couple of weeks so I missed posting in here on Monday. I started part-time Hack Reactor work this week and have been doing a lot of coding related tasks, and also put in a decent amount of volume at the zone games- with poor results. I do feel like I have run quite bad this week, but also my discipline was questionable and I likely lost more than I should have due to calling too often in a lot of spots. I didn't get much poker studying done and feel shitty about that- I did a lot of coding stuff but also played more hours than I needed to and easily could have studied poker more. Finding balance is really hard and continues to be a big challenge.

This weekend the grind is all about hammering out code and deliverable assignments, and Sunday evening I'm going to attend a live event/live podcast recording with The Minimalists. Probably little to no poker stuff going on this weekend.

Next Week

Next week is my LAST WEEK at my job! I'm looking forward to finishing up there and having a few weeks off before diving into full-time hyperintense coding school. It is going to be a busy and stressful week, and I'm going to have to work all day and come home and code all night if I want to stay on track for the goals I've set myself regarding completing the pre-course work as soon as possible. I basically have around 100 hours of work that I want to get finished by the end of next week (not counting the hours I have to be at my day job). LFG!!

Goals - Done by 4/23

-Complete HR precourse Units 1 & 2
-Finish reading at least one current book
-Study poker at least 3 hrs
-NO poker volume goals- may not play any poker at all for the next week

April 15, 2017 | 1:12 p.m.

Just found this series after your recent release, loved this video and looking forward to the rest. This type of video is something I personally have been looking for and feel has loads of value. PS +1 for keeping bad beat voice :)

April 6, 2017 | 9:19 p.m.

Cultivating Incentive

Yesterday I had an awesome day. I returned a call from the billing office at the local hospital, expecting it to be about something annoying like my billing failed or they want me to start paying more for some outstanding medical bills. I was delighted to find that they wanted to inform me of a current incentive offer - I could pay 50% of my outstanding debt and have the other half forgiven, but only if I pay by the end of this month. I generally pay as little as possible on these bills, since I have many other ones and these ones have zero interest. I owe about 2.3k on these and only having to pay half would snap save me over 1k and wipe out a decent chunk of debt. I was excited to hear about this and determined to come up with the $1150 to get it done.

The problem, however, is that I'm currently on a very tight budget and have just enough savings to get through the long stretch of unemployment and schooling I have coming up. I also had a short poker bankroll and would have to move down and be sad if I took 1k of that away. I ended that phone call with a determination to get the money together and a strong feeling of happiness washing over me. I had found true, powerful incentive.

After the call, I went about my daily tasks. I did a little poker studying, and yesterday evening I fired up a session of MTTs and a little cash. I have been playing without a HUD for the past few days since my main PC has crashed, playing on Ignition only. It has felt really good to not use a HUD lately and I feel like it has forced me to pay attention more and to think on a more fundamental level. I fired up one MTT I am surely not rolled for (a $250 40k GTD) and also a few smaller ones. I played some of the best poker I've ever played. I was focused, optimistic, and ruthless. I cashed in the 250 and took 2nd in a 25k GTD for a total profit on the day of over $3500. I'll be using 1k of this to reduce my debt by 2k, and I've now built some momentum and feel really good about my game.

I've felt this sort of incentive-induced exceptional play on a few occasions in the past. When I made my mind up that I wanted to attend a coding boot camp, I priced out the best ones and figured out how much money I would need to get it done. I talked with a friend about how much I needed and how I would come up with a way to get it. I needed to make 20k in around 4 months or so to make it happen. I was motivated. Incentivized. I had a fire lit under my ass. 10 days later, I had made 23k in MTTs. I played very well in a few big events and had the biggest month of my life. I had done it!! Of course, within 2 weeks I had shit 10k taking shots at mid-high stakes cash games and spent most of the rest on bills, tuition, etc. - but I felt very intrigued by how much the incentive I had created for myself improved my play.

How can we consistently cultivate true, authentic incentive? I think if we can figure out how to do this we can give ourselves a massive edge in performance and mindset.

April 5, 2017 | 6:34 p.m.

Hey man I will post those specs when I have more free time. I went with AMD for MoBo and CPU because its cheaper than Intel and performs well. However, my PC has crashed and can't be used right now! It's very tilting and I don't know what is wrong with it at the moment.

April 5, 2017 | 6:17 p.m.

Week In Review - 3/27 - 4/2

Whatsup RIO. I had an extremely frustrating week full of technical issues and didn't accomplish most of my goals because of this. A few days ago, my poker computer crashed and now it won't stay turned on for more than ~20 minutes without freezing. This prevented me from doing any Pio work and made me want to cry. I also didn't watch any of the Sauce toy game series, but did watch a bunch of other videos mostly focused on live play. I also did some preflop range work and played well over 15 hours. I was able to complete all of the website changes I had hoped to and a few extra, so there's that!

Yesterday I had an interesting session. I played PLO cash, NL cash, and some MTTs. IMO I performed well in all of these. At the end of the night (around 1 am), I was down on the day and week and feeling kind of shitty. I was thinking about going to bed, but I decided to take a 5-10 minute break and then get one more session in first. I 4-tabled 100-200NL Zone which has historically not gone well, but was able to profit about 1k in around 90 minutes! This was a nice feeling to grind back and turn my week into a profitable one. Hopefully it gives me some positive momentum I can harness to make this week a good one!

My girlfriend leaves in two days for a month long tour of Asia, which means lots of grinding time for me coming up. Gonna be burning the midnight oil quite liberally for the next month.

Goals- Week Ending 4/9


-Digest episodes 1-3 Sauce's Toy Gaming
-Play 15+ hours
-Finish off / revisit PF ranges (barring computer failures)


-Gym 3x
-Finish Hack Reactor software setup/paperwrok
-Complete 1 chapter JS study / 3 JS problems

April 3, 2017 | 2:12 p.m.

Hey Tyler,

Again I would love to see more zone live play, but I was also thinking it would be really great to see a theory video discussing the math behind how rake effects constrict our preflop ranges. If this has already been done you can disregard, but I haven't seen any videos like this on the site. I think it would be interesting to see for example how often SB and BB have to both fold for BTN to open a marginal hand in high rake games compared to lower rake.

March 29, 2017 | 3:47 p.m.

Great video Tyler!

As a U.S. player it is nice to see some video content on the games I play in. Would love to see some more like this!

March 29, 2017 | 3:08 a.m.

Goals: Week ending 4/2/17


-Digest episodes 1-3 of Sauce's Toy Game series
-Complete in-depth texture analysis of one SRP spot using pio 49 flops subset
-Complete preflop range designing for all spots
-Play min. 15 hours


-Complete changes on two websites I'm working on that I've been putting off

March 28, 2017 | 4:39 p.m.

Post | Douggyfr3sh posted in Chatter: Poker and Code, Code and Poker


A little over 9 months ago, I started a journal here on RIO titled "Rebounding from failure to crush life and MTTs". When I started that journal, I was in a rough place. I had just come off a 15 month shot at playing poker professionally. I had quit a good job to play MTTs full time, and failed miserably. I won't go into too much detail here (if interested, you can follow the link and view my last journal). Basically, I was around 15k in debt to my backers and was nearly completely broke IRL. I had to get another job and was just starting out with that at the time.

Shortly after starting that Journal, I binked a 12k WSOP main event package off-stake and took cash instead of the seat to pay off my makeup and get out of my backing arrangement. Since then I have had some pretty good success in online MTTs, but had a lot of issues which caused me to spew some of the winnings off and be in general pretty unhappy with the pace of my Poker success and improvement.


I have many terrible habits and not so many good ones, and I think this is really holding me back from my potential. I hope that a key theme in this journal is me working on and improving those bad habits. I'm addicted to Nicotine gum (been chewing it for over 5 years), which causes random swings in mood and hunger level. Which is -EV both in life and poker. Last year I quit on two different occasions for over a month and then started doing it again. I would like someday to quit for good. I also smoke too much pot. I live in Maine where marijuana is now legal, my whole family smokes, and I live above a medical marijuana dispensary. Weed is all around me and always has been, and I indulge too often. Don't get me wrong- I really enjoy getting high and don't think I will ever quit entirely. However, I would like to relegate use to social events and relaxation time. I would like to stop smoking while studying, grinding, and in general doing anything that requires critical thinking. I also stress eat late at night while playing A LOT. I often end up fasting all day the following day after a binge and not eating until dinner time (7 PM or later) with the help of a bulletproof coffee in the morning. This seems sub optimal and I often wake up with heartburn because that's what happens when you eat a pint of ice cream and 12 jalapeno's and some chips with salsa and an english muffin with peanut butter and a handful of cereal and a banana at 2 AM. In the past I have also not exercised much and have not lived life mindfully. This has gotten better and I am exercising more and meditating somewhat regularly, but there's still room for plenty of improvement here as well.


Today, as I start this new journal- I am coming upon another phase-shift in my life. I will be quitting my current job in 3 weeks. Starting in May, I will be attending Hack Reactor full time to become a software engineer! This is something I have been thinking about for over a year. I was introduced to the idea of coding boot camps through old-school HU boss Haseeb "DogIsHead" Qureshi. I started reading his blog just before he went to a coding bootcamp, after finding it through his poker book. This was around the time I was going broke in poker. At that time I actually taught myself some front end web development for a few weeks and made around 1k freelancing before I was too broke and had to find a consistent income. I loved working with clients and have always loved coding, so I'm finally going for it as a career. I have barely enough money to survive through the 3 months of class and 1-3 months of job search afterwards, but I'm used to going broke at this point and am beyond certain that this is the right path for me. I'm very excited and can't wait to get started.

About this journal

I hope to use this journal to get some of my thoughts out onto paper throughout the week in an attempt to prevent monkey-mind from running my life so much. I will also write here about my experiences attending an elite coding boot camp, and, of course, about poker. I have been transitioning into Cash more lately and have been really enjoying the Zone games on Ignition. I plan to continue playing those a lot as well as some MTT volume. I'll also post random stuff in here, like trip reports, maybe the occasional HH, etc. I plan to keep it pretty casual and am not sure where it will go.

Grind Setup

Since I'll be basically living at my computer for the next 4+ months, I've recently invested some time & buy-ins into improving my setup. No Sauce-Esque treadmill YET, but I thought it would be fun to show it off a bit here:

In the picture you can see my new Autonomous sitting/standing motorized desk. I also picked up an ErgoStool from them to replace the withered chair in the photo. The Mac Mini is for coding. Not in the photo is my newly build desktop PC which I made with two goals in mind: keeping it cheap and running Pio Sims quickly. I'm an idiot and decided I could build a PC on my own basically without reading any instructions first, so it took me weeks and a few parts replacements to get it up and running. Pro tip: Spend a good amount of time Googling solid state drives before buying one :). Also, connect CPU power before trying to turn on a new PC.

I hope to have some fun posting in here and would love if any of my posts end up helping someone else! Please feel free to PM me or post here if interested in coding/software engineering and how to prep for a boot camp interview!

March 28, 2017 | 4:30 p.m.

Thanks Ben, great analysis obv. Are you just XR in anonymous pools because we don't have to worry about balance? I think that a smallish XR probably gets called by 66+ with a high frequency in these games, however it is going to likely have the effect of shutting down villain on later streets, and could cap our earning potential vs. these subpar hands. I think that most Ax are calling XR most of the time but again are going to go into shut down mode pretty often, maybe calling a second barrel unimproved some of the time.

I don't really have much of a reason to believe that the flop sizing reduces KK-66 and in fact vs. this sizing I would tend to think they could for sure have all those combos and are less likely to have strong Ax (although weak Ax makes sense). I disagree that KK-66 is infrequent given villain's line once we get to river. I could be wrong about this, but the database analysis I have done so far seems to suggest that pool tendencies make this a spot where those hands are likely. To be more specific:

1- the pool massively over cbets in general
2- this flop sizing is generally on the weaker side (80-120% pot I would rule out 66-KK much more)

However, I have seen many players tend to x back PP under TP on this type of texture- although I think in an UTG vs BB situation my range has enough hands that are just T,J hi type hands w. equity vs hands like 66-99 so villain should be willing to cbet a high frequency here to deny me equity with those hands.

A lot of this is pretty assumptive, and I'm still learning how these pools play. I think a good check here would be to try and figure out in general what ranges look like for CB IP, X turn lines on this sort of texture. I don't really know how to do that yet, but I'll figure it out :).

March 28, 2017 | 3:15 p.m.

What's up / End thread

Just re-reading my last post above and thinking over my last few weeks makes me think that it is probably pretty irrational to continue to torture myself over not focusing on MTTs. I've been putting in more and more volume in cash lately, and haven't paid much close attention to results or evbb/100 or any of that nonsense. I have felt for the past month or so like the games I have been mostly playing (100-200NL Zone) are very beatable but that I just fucking suck.

Then the other day I looked at my results. Over my first 30k hands at these levels my EVbb/100 is +0.12 and my actual bb/100 was around -2.10. Being break even over a somewhat reasonable sample would probably not be very exciting for most people, but it made me pretty happy to see this. I just jumped into cash and have not put in enough work yet, and already I'm playing break even. This sample also includes a LOT of spew and mental leakage. Seeing this made me feel pretty optimistic. Cash just works better for me, and soon MTTs will be a non-option due to time constraints. I have about 45 days before I start school 66 hours/week, and by that time I want to have a large sample of beating cash for a good clip. That is now my focus. It seems fitting to start up a new journal at this point as my goals and direction are changing and I will be undergoing a ton of life changes through the remainder of this year, so I'm gonna do that.


March 28, 2017 | 2:58 p.m.

Here's my shot at it:

Overbetting makes sense here if villain has enough combos OTR that will call inelastically (in other words they will call much larger sizings with the same frequency they will call smaller with). frequency (call overbet) * $ > frequency (call small bet) * $. Villain has to be calling pretty significantly less often to the overbet to make it not good.

March 24, 2017 | 8:11 p.m.

Thanks. To clarify, I did solve preflop with HRC and then applied an equity realization % to the solution. I'm not sure if that's what you mean by a solver. The only other better way I am aware of is to do a full preflop Pio solve, but that requires very significant financial and time investments (and a very powerful /RAM heavy computer)

March 23, 2017 | 6:55 p.m.

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