Bronson
24 points
I don't really like it. Ok, if he's observant he'll know he can't barrel you that often when you check and your 66-TT will gain from this. But on the other hand if he really is observant he'll raise your flop cbets or float you (given he knows you don't have the top of your range when you cbet). And i guess you want to cbet this flop a lot ?
March 10, 2015 | 8:13 p.m.
If CO and BTN are somewhat in line preflop, it's like 3betting BTNvsCO pretty much, and i guess you would do that, right ?
I donno, i think i still like my preflop play here
March 9, 2015 | 9:44 a.m.
Villain is fish. I want to get it HU with him. He will call a lot of dominated hands (QJ, QT, KJ,KT), that's why i don't make it 3x so it seems cheaper for him to call these hands .
March 9, 2015 | 9:36 a.m.
good luck!
March 8, 2015 | 9:30 p.m.
gaucan, that's not constructive. no need to flame a user for posting a spot that seems so standard to you
March 8, 2015 | 9:33 a.m.
FriendlyCritter, your analysis looks good and it's probably best to check back this versus unknown fish.Though I'm not sure that most fish will call 33-66 on this board.
Yes, probably good to cbet on 952r, though we're gonna get called by more Ahighs (AT, Ax with wheel draw). I would probably cbet J82r too, because we get more folds OTF and can vbet on all K turns and maybe even Q turns.
March 6, 2015 | 2:42 p.m.
forgot to say he opens 28% in CO
reasoning for a bet would be tot get value from 55,77, 89s-8Qs (total of 22 combos) and protect against overcards (not that imp because with that high cbet he will probably cbet a lot of them)
if he cks back weakish one pairs A7s-A2s, A9o, TT-KK ( 47 combos) i'm actually valuecutting myself hard (and the vast majority of players are checking back those hands)
man, i need to put these hands into equilab before i post them, thank you!
March 6, 2015 | 2:06 p.m.
actually nevermind, i know bluffing river is bad
what about the cbet vs this kinda unknown fish?
March 6, 2015 | 12:19 p.m.
BB: $64.52
UTG: $64.87
MP: $52.10 (Hero)
CO: $50.00
BN: $50.00
March 6, 2015 | 12:04 p.m.
CO: $61.16
BN: $64.87
SB: $55.27 (Hero)
BB: $50.11
UTG: $50.00
March 6, 2015 | noon
I don't really expect him to snap bet as a bluff on this turn card and i also don't expect him to bet weaker hands for value.
AK-ATss (3 combos, you block Q), AK with a "s" (4combos), 67ss (1 combo), AsQ (3 combos), AsJ (4 combos), maybe KJss KTss (2 combos), so around 17 flushes that beat you.
It's frustrating that his stats say he's a betting monkey in 3b-pots, but i'd probably fold this on the turn. Also sample is too small to base our play on them.
March 5, 2015 | 5:45 p.m.
I would fold preflop this hand vs a guy that calls a lot of 3bets and 3bet him merged.
I find it's pretty hard to play this hand with ck/c on flop; i know you're not getting called by worse if you cbet and gto-wise it should probably be a ck/c. But cbetting also has some merits: make him fold hands like QJ, AT etc. that have 6 outs (25% equity since you probably ck turn too), make the pot bigger for when you hit your 5 outs.
March 5, 2015 | 10:41 a.m.
Over this sample it could just be variance, as in you got a lot of good bluffing spots.
There are players that win big with negative red lines and there are players that win big with positive red lines so don't waste energy on these lines. Try to play as good and as much as you can, maybe post some hands, read some hands.
It's looking really good till now, good luck!
March 5, 2015 | 9:59 a.m.
To me it seems loose preflop. Maybe if we were 140bb+ deep i would call the sqz.
I also wouldn't bet the turn.
March 3, 2015 | 1:25 p.m.
Pre-flop is a spew more or less. This somehow surprised me, because i'm also 3-betting this hand vs regs thinking it connects well with flops and makes nut hands. Maybe 3-betting worked some time ago but not in today's games. I checked hm2 and it seems i'm making money 3betting suited connectors SBvsCO but the sample is small so i wouldn't put too much weight to it.
What would you consider a good 3-betting range SBvsCO if CO is reg opening 26% and folding to 3bets 55% ?
Feb. 25, 2015 | 9:54 p.m.
BN: $60.14
SB: $47.03
BB: $51.00 (Hero)
UTG: $66.37
Feb. 23, 2015 | 5:27 p.m.
I'm also having problems in this spot.
On flop it seems he wants to go to showdown with AK, then on turn he bets. And now i'm also thinking of calling turn because it doesn't make much sense.
But i guess a valuebet with AK on this turn isn't really nonsensical (i know i sometimes do it, but smaller sizing).
Then maybe he could have a hand like TT that he wanted to stackoff preflop and didn't bet the flop fearing a ck/r?
What are your thoughts?
Jan. 21, 2015 | 7:01 p.m.
UTG: $53.93
MP: $53.29
CO: $63.42
BN: $54.04 (Hero)
SB: $47.75
Rake is $1.07
Jan. 21, 2015 | 4:36 p.m.
MP: $52.50
CO: $53.01 (Hero)
BN: $46.75
SB: $54.96
BB: $27.25
Jan. 21, 2015 | 4:29 p.m.
why not ? feel like there is more value?
or would you bet at all? i would definitely bet a bigger sizing on K or Q
i used that sizing to be sure i get calls wider (55-77, any 8 46-K4, flushdraws of course would call more) and as a kind of block bet (wouldn't want to face a river bet from him). do think this is flawed logic?
Jan. 20, 2015 | 6:16 a.m.
BN: $50.00
SB: $53.75 (Hero)
BB: $60.90
UTG: $58.40
MP: $50.00
Jan. 19, 2015 | 2:20 p.m.
SB: $60.06
BB: $43.99
UTG: $102.59 (Hero)
MP: $52.25
CO: $50.75
Jan. 19, 2015 | 2:15 p.m.
wouldn't 3b/5b as std with babyPP. yep, 88 and A9s should be in there.
what about the SBvsCO example?
thanks
Jan. 12, 2015 | 10:41 a.m.
Really good thread. I think these are the spots that matter a lot if we want to get a better winrate at 50-100-200NL.
So i'll ask some questions about SB vs Late steals and hopefully get the discussion going.
Probably having a 3bet or fold strategy SBvsBTN is ok and as i see you're advocating a more linear range so i'm going to try this 12.5%: AA-99,44-22,AKo-AJo,KQo-KJo,AKs-ATs,A5s-A2s,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs. I put in some baby PP to 3b/5bet shove sometimes.Do you think this range is ok?
Now for SBvsCO i'll throw in some examples with preflop stats+postflop because i think our strategy should vary depending on opponent:
Ex1: Villain opens 2.5x, and villain has stats:
His agg% f/t/r: 37/32/33, wtsd 28. Which hands would you 3bet? Which would you call? (considering BB to reg)
Jan. 12, 2015 | 9:45 a.m.
Villain isn't repping 6x. He cold called a 3b preflop OOP, shouldn't have any 6x.
Jan. 12, 2015 | 8:54 a.m.
Given his raise size he's probably a fish. They are usually passive (std fish would not raise 66-JJ or fds) and also play a lot of hands that smash this board A2o, 67o, 2pair sets. You also block the nutFD. I might just fold flop.
Jan. 11, 2015 | 7:29 p.m.
Flat call pre agains 60% seems good, wouldn't ever 3bet Q9o BvB.
Folding probably turn isn't that bad against this player "wtsd 28%, wwsf 45%". Maybe with some recent dynamic (tilted) he could try to bluff here? But it would still be pretty ambitious to bluffcatch river ...
Jan. 11, 2015 | 7:16 p.m.
Close to 0% folding equity on turn so i wouldn't shove.
It's nice that we see vids, hand review threads with all kinds of good-aggro play but i feel that i also misapply a lot of stuff and get myself in bad spots and forget to think about where the money really comes from.
Where i'm trying to get at ... Do you honestly think there's EV in raising SBvsBB vs an aggro player with K2o?
And in my experience these guys also call small 4bets IP.
March 12, 2015 | 3:44 p.m.