ICM mistake?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

ICM mistake?

SB: Jon Doe: 0
BB: Player1 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 23, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 39: 30124
UTG: Player2 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 15, 3B: 7, AF: 1.7, Hands: 92: 71882
UTG1: Player3 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 12, 3B: 7, AF: 1.7, Hands: 191: 383804
UTG2: Player4 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 0.0, Hands: 54: 64660
UTG3: Player5 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 2.0, Hands: 63: 171670
LJ: Player6 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 9: 132296
HJ: Player7 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 5, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 42: 54466
CO: Hero - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 7, AF: 2.7, Hands: 70559: 118411
BN: Player9 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 13, 3B: 9, AF: 3.8, Hands: 96: 66687
Preflop (7500) (9 Players)
Jon Doe was dealt 4 4
Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe raises to 117911, Jon Doe calls 66187, Jon Doe folds, Jon Doe folds
Flop (191598) K Q 9 (2 Players)
Turn (191598) 3 (2 Players)
River (191598) K (2 Players)
Final Pot
Jon Doe wins 51724 , Jon Doe wins 144374
This is the very first hand of the final table. The field is pretty soft, and I feel as if I have a good edge over them. I have been pretty active, but have not been to showdown a lot.

1st pays 1.1k and 9th pays 115$. I am 4th in chips. Due to ICM and all other factors do you think this play with 44 is still good?

In any other stage in a tournament I do this, and find it to be standard. But can we fold here knowing that the 3 players to the left of us are very short, and we can move up the pay ladder without playing many hands?

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