100nl TP 3bet pot vs MP

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

100nl TP 3bet pot vs MP

BN: $120.52 (Hero)
SB: $100.84
BB: $74.94
UTG: $218.44
HJ: $101.25
CO: $102.73
Villain is a reg that folds 68% to the 3bet on a small sample 220hands... he is a 26/21 wwsf 61%
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q T
UTG folds, HJ raises to $3, CO folds, Hero raises to $9, SB folds, BB folds, HJ calls $6
Guess this hand shouldnt be on our 3betting range because when they call their range will be so much filled with Qx hands better than QT and we can get reverse implied odds but also we can make an argument that 3betting this hand is ok because we block combos that he would call vs our 3bet...
Flop ($19.50) 2 Q 4 (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero bets $10.50, HJ calls $10.50
std cbet for value imo, its kind of close but i think this is for value
Turn ($40.50) 2 Q 4 9 (2 Players)
HJ checks, Hero checks
Now that 9 hits on the turn he has more combos that we beat us if he is calling with 99s preflop and also i dont think we can go for 3 streets of value so we need to chek 1 street behind
River ($40.50) 2 Q 4 9 6 (2 Players)
HJ bets $21, Hero calls $21
Well... we need something like 25% equity to make this call but honestly which hands is he betting? i dont think he is betting 88,TT,JJ and he has like 3 missed flushdraw combos imo
Final Pot
HJ has A Q HJ wins $79.70

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