2.5/5 PS Zoom bluff

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

2.5/5 PS Zoom bluff

BN: $626.39
SB: $577.40
BB: $607.46
UTG: $1613.88 (Hero)
HJ: $1448.29
CO: $513.54
Preflop ($7.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q 9
Hero raises to $15, HJ calls $15, CO folds, BN calls $15, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($52.50) A 9 4 (3 Players)
Hero checks, HJ checks, BN bets $29.58, Hero calls $29.58, HJ folds
So, I'm pretty new to messing around in these games and thus I don't have a ton of stats on any of the players. From what I can tell there are only regs around the table for this hand. As far as my ranges go, I'm pretty much always check/calling AA and 99 on the flop at least, as well as like AJ/ATs type of hands.
Turn ($111.66) A 9 4 4 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $79.46, Hero calls $79.46
So the turn brings another 4 and gives me the flushdraw. It's a "good card" for me since he can only have 2 combinations of sets since I block a 9. Well, that is given the fact that he didn't overcall AA, but I guess he wouldn't do that with any significant frequency. I'm obviously not thrilled when he bets again, but I do have a good hand for calling to be able to get to the river with some flushes when a third club hits, as well as having some hands to fold when it bricks. This is also how I would play my AA/99 looking to c/r AI on the river.
River ($270.58) A 9 4 4 K (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $195.47, Hero raises to $1489.84, and is all in
The river is a pretty interesting card. So, the positive thing is that he shouldn't have AK and neither of us should have KK a high %, even though it's a lot more in my range, because he will NEVER have it, while I can actually have it. If I did get here with KK, I guess it would be without the Kc, since he could barrel some KQcc-KTcc on the turn if he bet the flop. The negative things are that I block AQ which may or may not squeeze on the button (don't really know the meta in these games) and that I block clubs if he bet something like 56cc on the flop. He can also have 2 combos each of A9s and A4s, even though A9s would pretty much be a bluff catcher with good blockers on the river. Also, I don't think he wants to bluff a lot on this river, even though he could want to try to get me off a split or something with his Ax. So, since my blockers are somewhat good I decided to c/r AI. As a balance play I think it's fine. I think I want to do some bluffing here since my range is pretty strong, but it might be super spewy if he is really nutted on the river. It's 305-ish more for him to call. And yeah, I don't except him to have a lot of combinations of 4s, but I could be wrong in that assumption.

Spewy or OK?

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