3bet pot facing river x/shove (200bb deep)

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3bet pot facing river x/shove (200bb deep)

CO: $330.20
BN: $112.45
SB: $212.60
BB: $225.80
UTG: $216.40
HJ: $344.90 (Hero)
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3, CO folds, BN folds, SB raises to $12, BB folds, Hero calls $9
Flop ($25.50) 7 7 A (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $12.50, SB calls $12.50
Turn ($50.50) 7 7 A 2 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $25, SB calls $25
River ($100.50) 7 7 A 2 3 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $50, SB raises to $163.10, and is all in

Stats of villan over 514 hands:

   VPIP = 24

   PFR = 21

   3bet = 6.3

I flatted the 3bet because I wasn't looking to get all in and didn't want to face a 5bet with over 200bb.

When he x/c the flop I put him on a range of:

QQ, KK and weak Ax - bluff catching/pot controlling

AA, A7s, 77- slow playing

He is representing a very narrow value range on river, AdAh + Ad7d + 7d7s = 3 combos.

Can't imagine him 3betting pre with 22 or 33 and even if he did, don't see him x/c the flop with them. 

Don't think he 3bets 77 either but could be possible.

I discounted flushes because people don't x/c the flop with draws when they have the initiative and are OOP.

He may also have x/r the turn or x/c the river with a flush some % of the time.

I also discounted trips because I think he would just cbet if he had them and not x/r the river when I can have a flush.

The only hand I beat is KK with the Kc turning itself into a bluff. KcKh + KcKd = 2 combos.

Whatawedo?



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