If i calculated right I need him to fold around 60% + I have some equtiy against QQ/JJ/TT/99.
The reg was a bit light with the 4bets/ around 12%, and I interpreted some game flow 4bets in it, because I was a bit spewy (although that probably was a mistake and is a leak on my side).
I think he has a lot of AQ/AK combos which I want him to fold
(you could argue that he will check some of the AQ/AK combos although i would lean more towards a bet because otherwise his hand is kind of face up if he does not balance his checking range),
besides that some random bluffs and for value TT+. My logic is that his AQ/AK/Bluffs range is so big + my suckout equity that it justifies the shove. Am I right ? Thanks a lot in advance