Delayed cb facing XR OTT

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Delayed cb facing XR OTT

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $50.00 (Hero)
SB: $44.02
BB: $91.42
UTG: $167.39
MP: $135.67
CO: $49.25
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with A 8
3 folds, Hero raises to $1.12, SB folds, BB calls $0.62
Flop ($2.49) 5 Q 9
BB checks, Hero checks
Turn ($2.49) 5 Q 9 A
BB checks, Hero bets $1.85, BB raises to $7.92

Villain reg, XR vs cb OTT 12%
How often would you delayed cb this turn? I think, that i should X back weaker Ax hands more often than not, because facing XR sucks. I do also expect villain (especially reg) to XR here more often, cause my range OTT is capped. My range is one pair heavy (Ax combos) + i usually cb my FD's OTF + i bet as bluf on this card a lot. So i expect V often bet OTR after XR OTT (as played i think Bet folding turn is the play).
I think vs reg Xback turn is better option and vs recreational player is better bet (do not expect weaker player to XR here a lot cause they are ussualy passive + they are stations + get value from draws and weaker hands). What do you think?

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