How far to take exploitable stats?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

How far to take exploitable stats?

Example: I was just in the BB holding 75s and the SB opened slightly over the minimum (about 4.18).
He's been opening 92% of SBs over a large sample, and folding to 3-bets 80% of the time, and he's got low 4-bet stats.

So this is pretty much the perfect opponent to be going crazy against with 3-bets, assuming he doesn't adjust.

On the other hand, 75s has solid playabilty post-flop, and I'm getting a fantastic price.

Flatting is for sure +EV, and 3-betting is profitable under the circumstances I mentioned.

So how should I approach these spots? Go for maximum exploitation, until I feel my opponents start adjusting, or simply play what would be a fairly standard game, and exploit just enough, so Villian doesn't really feel the need to change his game, while still exploiting him a bit.

My plan is probably to 3-bet a slightly more polarized range, which should be fairly bluff heavy.


Thoughts?


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